Josh Allen vs Bijan Robinson

“Josh Allen feels fortunate that the team has QB coach Bo Hardegree to add experience and new concepts to the playbook. Allen noted that while the playbook may be similar to what he's been in for the last eight years, there are a lot of different nuances this year, and Hardegree brings knowledge from his previous stops in the league.”

“Paying up to get a surefire QB only worked for Josh Allen. Even then, the gains don't outweigh the losses: Sure, Allen got 3.2 more PPG over QB10, but I'd rather have Caleb Williams and $31.”

“Allen has finished as the QB1 or QB2 every season over the past six years, despite not having a big-name No. 1 wide receiver since Stefon Diggs was traded away. Yet, the superstar quarterback hasn't needed an elite set of weapons because of his touchdown production, totaling at least 39 passing and rushing scores in six consecutive seasons.”

“Josh Allen is listed as the QB1, which is fine and fairly standard, but his ADP is 4.42. Allen finished with about 43 more points than Matthew Stafford last season. At MFL, you need to spend a top-five pick to acquire him, which doesn't make any sense from a fantasy football perspective.”

“Josh Allen is coming off his lowest passing yardage since 2019 (3,668), and for the past three seasons, he's not broken the 30 passing touchdown barrier. Allen sustains his value purely through rushing touchdowns with 41 in the last three seasons.”

“Josh Allen was worth his QB1 capital, returning value on his ADP as the only top-seven quarterback in ADP to finish as a QB1.”

“He's either finished as the fantasy QB1 or QB2 for the last six straight seasons. In Superflex? Allen is the top player on the board. Even over Jahmyr Gibbs and Bijan Robinson.”

“The pinnacle of consistency, Josh Allen has been living at the top for years now. In fact, he finished as the QB1, QB2, and QB1 in 2023, '24, and '25, respectively.”

“You cannot blame Josh Allen's overall performance as the reason they cannot seem to accomplish their goals of making it to and then winning the Super Bowl.”

“If you look at the 24 quarterbacks with at least 50 playoff pass attempts since 2020, Allen is the #1 most efficient quarterback in the playoffs. #1 in EPA per play (+0.15) #1 in success rate (50%)”

“Josh Allen's 18.5 ADP is the problem, as the quarterback position has never been deeper for fantasy players, with Brock Bowers (19.6), Nico Collins (19.7), and Omarion Hampton (19.8) having a later ADP than Allen despite all three should getting drafted over the superstar quarterback.”

“Allen is the only one with an ADP inside the top 50 picks among the five elite quarterbacks.”

“Robinson will no longer have to contend with Tyler Allgeier for snaps; instead, he gets the far less imposing Brian Robinson Jr. as the RB2. The runway is wide open for Bijan to capture even more redzone opportunities without Allgeier in the fold.”

“Robinson has been a fantasy star since entering the NFL, posting a top-nine PPR finish every year of his career. The superstar had 366 touches for 2,298 scrimmage yards despite splitting work with Tyler Allgeier, and will have a workhorse role under new head coach Kevin Stefanski.”

“Robinson is viewed as a clear extension priority for the Falcons, who are poised to take the interesting step of firing a GM but extending his first three first-round picks.”

“Allgeier is familiar with backing up an elite running back prospect, as he shared time with Bijan Robinson in Atlanta for three seasons.”

“Robinson has been a fantasy star since entering the NFL, posting a top-12 non-PPR finish every year of his career. Furthermore, the former Texas star finished as the RB4 in 2024 and the RB3 last season despite totaling only seven rushing touchdowns. Yet, the superstar had 366 touches for 2,298 scrimmage yards despite splitting work with Tyler Allgeier.”

“Many executives around the league believe Atlanta's former coaching staff under Raheem Morris "tamped down the production" of Robinson. Executives think the running back will get an extension before Week 1, with one anonymous executive stating: "If you tagged Pitts and you extended London, that tells me Bijan is next. He's the best football player on that roster."”

“Bijan Robinson is the top taken player according to Yahoo's mock auction data. He is projected to have a value of $62, meaning Yahoo thinks $62 is a spot-on price for what his stats are projected to be. But Bijan is going for an average auction value of $71.4. That's over 15% higher than his projection!”

“Where Robinson can take the leap is simple — touchdowns. Robinson scored only seven rushing touchdowns, which resulted in the lowest touchdown rate (2.4%) among the top seven running backs in fantasy.”

“Last year's PPR RB2 in fantasy points per game, and now free from Tyler Allgeier, Bijan Robinson feels primed to take a big step forward in 2026. Robinson led the league in missed tackles forced (75), with 27 more than any other player, while also ranking in the top five in rushing yards, explosive run rate and yards per carry, while topping the league in yards after contact per attempt (3.06).”

“Gainwell ranked fourth among all backs in receptions in 2025, trailing only the dual-threat elites of Christian McCaffrey, Bijan Robinson and Jahmyr Gibbs.”

“Bijan Robinson got the nod at 1.01 here. Worm pointed directly to Atlanta's new play caller and Robinson's elite talent profile as the deciding factors. Even in a three-receiver league where someone like Ja'Marr Chase could easily justify the top spot, Robinson's combination of workload and explosiveness ultimately won out.”

“Atlanta's coaching changes could finally unlock the every-down role fantasy managers have been waiting for. Robinson has already produced elite numbers despite sharing goal-line work in previous seasons. If that usage shifts fully in his favor, he could challenge for the overall RB1 finish in fantasy football.”