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Joe Burrow
vs TreVeyon Henderson

2026 · Week 5 · Half-PPR

Joe Burrow
QB · CIN
TreVeyon Henderson
RB · NE

The crowd’s lean

Week 5

No weekly comparisons recorded for this pair.

This week

WEEK 5

Burrow

at MIA

Oct 11 · 1:00 PM ET

Henderson

vs LV

Oct 11 · 1:00 PM ET

20.6

Projected

9.5

Projected

Half-PPR
projection

2026 season, per game

BurrowHenderson
19.9Fantasy pts7.1
4Games3
293Pass yds—
1.8Pass TD—
—INT—
2.8Carries12.7
10Rush yds47
3.5Yds/carry3.7
—Targets—
—Receptions—
—Receiving yds—
—Touchdowns—
BurrowHenderson
17.4Fantasy pts11.1
8Games17
226Pass yds0
2.1Pass TD0.0
0.6INT0.0
1.8Carries10.6
5Rush yds54
2.9Yds/carry5.1
0.0Targets2.5
0.0Receptions2.1
0Receiving yds13
0.0Touchdowns0.6
Full game log & past seasons +
Joe Burrow
2026 game log
WKOPPFPTSRANKATTCMPYDTDINTRuYDRuTD
1
—
15.2
QB20
35
25
254
1
1
20
—
2
—
16.2
QB15
31
20
207
2
—
-1
—
3
—
22.6
QB10
37
28
282
3
—
13
—
4
—
25.7
QB2
54
39
428
1
2
6
1
Earlier seasons (2025, 2024)
2025 game log
WKOPPFPTSRANKATTCMPYDTDINTRuYDRuTD
1
CLE
8.8
QB28
23
14
113
1
—
3
—
2
JAX
7.0
QB30
13
7
76
1
—
—
—
3
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
4
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
5
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
6
BYE
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
7
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
8
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
9
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
10
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
11
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
12
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
13
BAL
19.2
QB11
46
24
261
2
—
8
—
14
BUF
25.4
QB3
36
25
284
4
2
—
—
15
BAL
7.5
QB30
39
25
225
—
2
5
—
16
MIA
29.0
QB5
32
25
309
4
—
6
—
17
ARI
20.4
QB11
31
24
305
2
—
2
—
18
CLE
22.1
QB5
39
29
236
3
1
17
—
2024 game log
WKOPPFPTSRANKATTCMPYDTDINTRuYDRuTD
1
NE
8.1
QB29
29
21
164
—
—
15
—
2
KC
17.2
QB10
36
23
258
2
—
9
—
3
WAS
25.4
QB7
38
29
324
3
—
4
—
4
CAR
17.3
QB10
31
22
232
2
1
10
—
5
BAL
34.8
QB2
39
30
392
5
1
1
—
6
NYG
19.8
QB13
28
19
208
—
—
55
1
7
CLE
14.9
QB16
25
15
181
2
—
-3
—
8
PHI
13.9
QB23
37
26
234
1
1
15
—
9
LV
30.1
QB1
39
27
251
5
1
11
—
10
BAL
33.7
QB1
56
34
428
4
—
6
—
11
LAC
29.0
QB2
50
28
356
3
—
28
—
12
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
13
PIT
20.3
QB11
38
28
309
3
1
9
—
14
DAL
25.6
QB3
44
33
369
3
1
-2
—
15
TEN
18.8
QB10
37
26
271
3
2
—
—
16
CLE
22.0
QB11
30
23
252
3
—
19
—
17
DEN
37.0
QB1
49
39
412
3
—
25
1
18
PIT
14.0
QB18
46
37
277
1
1
-1
—
TreVeyon Henderson
2026 game log
WKOPPFPTSRANKATTYDTDTGTRECRYDRTD
1
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
2
—
13.6
RB9
16
76
1
—
—
—
—
3
—
3.4
RB44
8
23
—
1
1
6
—
4
—
4.2
RB47
14
42
—
2
—
—
—
Earlier seasons (2025)
2025 game log
WKOPPFPTSRANKATTYDTDTGTRECRYDRTD
1
LV
8.1
RB26
5
27
—
6
6
24
—
2
MIA
5.0
RB42
3
10
—
2
2
30
—
3
PIT
6.2
RB36
11
28
—
3
3
19
—
4
CAR
11.6
RB25
7
32
1
2
2
14
—
5
BUF
3.7
RB43
6
24
—
3
2
3
—
6
NO
4.1
RB42
9
27
—
2
1
9
—
7
TEN
0.5
RB69
2
5
—
—
—
—
—
8
CLE
5.5
RB34
10
75
—
—
—
—
—
9
ATL
10.7
RB20
14
55
—
6
4
32
—
10
TB
27.5
RB4
14
147
2
1
1
3
—
11
NYJ
29.8
RB3
19
62
2
5
5
31
1
12
CIN
9.6
RB21
18
66
—
4
3
15
—
13
NYG
10.1
RB30
11
67
—
4
3
19
—
14
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
15
BUF
29.1
RB3
14
148
2
3
2
13
—
16
BAL
1.7
RB61
5
3
—
1
1
9
—
17
NYJ
8.2
RB24
19
82
—
—
—
—
—
18
MIA
17.3
RB7
13
53
2
—
—
—
—

Expert takes

Joe Burrow
  • “Burrow is projected for around 19.6 points in an offense that’s throwing the ball 36-plus times a game. When a quarterback is that entrenched as the engine of his offense, a tough matchup on paper isn’t enough to scare me off. Burrow’s also sitting in a game with a 27-point implied team total for Cincinnati, which tells me the market expects Cincinnati to move the ball regardless of what Jacksonville’s defensive numbers say.”

    Matty Kiwoom· Oct 1, 2026
  • “The Bengals’ run game has struggled this season, and Joe Burrow has had at least 31 attempts in every game.”

    Tera Roberts· Oct 11, 2026
  • “Joe Burrow finished as the QB2 after throwing for 428 passing yards against the Jacksonville Jaguars .”

    Jordan Pullett· Oct 10, 2026
See 12 more
  • “Bengals Bengals QB Joe Burrow had 58 passing attempts in the loss to the Jaguars on Sunday, but feels that the team can throw it even more going forward.”

    Wyatt Grindley· Oct 5, 2026
  • “Burrow had an underwhelming opener, but he’s tallied 489 passing yards (244.5 per game), 7.45 adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A), five passing touchdowns, and zero interceptions in two subsequent contests, scoring 19.88 DraftKings points per game and 19.88 FanDuel points per game in the last two weeks. The Bengals lost a shootout last week, and the Jaguars have the firepower to push Burrow into a ceiling performance through the air. His top passing-game weapon will be featured in the core studs.”

    Josh Shepardson· Oct 1, 2026
  • “Joe Burrow may not be a must-start this week, but Chase Brown , Ja’Marr Chase , and Tee Higgins are all auto-starts.”

    Jordan Pullett· Sep 25, 2026
  • “According to the Fantasy Points Data Suite 2.0, among 33 quarterbacks with at least 20 dropbacks, Burrow ranks: 13th in passing yards per game (230.5) 19th in adjusted net yards per pass attempt (6.14 ANY/A) Tied for 14th in passing touchdowns (three) 10th in expected passing touchdowns (3.5) 21st in rushing yards per game (9.5) Interestingly, the Bengals are just fifth in pass rate over expected (6.3% PROE) this year. That’s still pass-happy, but Cincinnati tied for first in PROE (7.9%) from 2023 through 2025. Their defense is better, and the washed-up, Aaron Rodgers -led Steelers are unlikely to push Burrow and Cincinnati’s offense into a shootout.”

    Josh Shepardson· Sep 25, 2026
  • “Joe Burrow nearly gifted Tampa Bay a pick-six, the Buccaneers heavily guarded Chase, and Burrow simply could not connect with his WR1. That extra attention also opened things up elsewhere: TE Mike Gesicki finished with five catches for 78 yards and a TD as Tampa Bay focused on containing Chase and Tee Higgins . Look, that does not completely let Chase off the hook.”

    Brooke Morgan· Sep 16, 2026
  • “Joe Burrow’s health has been a concern in recent years, but I’ll bank on him playing a full season with one of the easiest schedules in football. I believe 4,500 yards and 40 touchdowns are more than doable.”

    Richard Janvrin· Aug 23, 2026
  • “But if Bengals QB Joe Burrow, who missed nine games last season, enjoys a season of good health, McPherson should have his fair share of FG and PAT opportunities.”

    FantasyPros Staff· Aug 15, 2026
  • “When Joe Burrow was healthy, he was a top-three quarterback last season”

    Richard Janvrin· Aug 6, 2026
  • “The pivot to more under-center passing won’t be as natural and certainly might not be anywhere near as successful for the Bengals, because Burrow clearly isn’t as comfortable and doesn’t perform as well. In fact, if we go back the last three years, Burrow’s under-center dropbacks average just 3.6 air yards, which ranked dead last: #69 out of 69 qualifying QBs. His time to throw of 2.81 seconds was the #5 fastest out of 69 QBs, and he threw just 17% of passes 10+ yards downfield, also ranking dead last.”

    Warren Sharp· Aug 4, 2026
  • “Zac Taylor wants the Bengals to play more from under center in 2026. Unfortunately, Joe Burrow under center is precisely where this offense struggles most, which is why the Bengals haven't used it often of late. How much the Bengals choose to pivot to under-center passing and how much Burrow can improve on these dropbacks might have a large impact on their fortunes in 2026.”

    Warren Sharp· Aug 4, 2026
  • “Overvalued: Joe Burrow, Quarterback (QB4, Pick 59 OVR) Now, this isn’t to say that I don’t like Joe Burrow, or that I don’t think that Joe Burrow is a talented player; I just think that Joe Burrow is capped insofar as he doesn’t rush at all, and the Bengals’ offensive line isn’t strong enough for him to be a consistent top-four player without the rushing.”

    Jeff Krisko· Jul 25, 2026
  • “Of the top-10 quarterbacks based on LTV, Burrow is the one quarterback with little to no rushing upside, making him the quarterback I would want to trade away.”

    Jonathan Lange· Jul 21, 2026
TreVeyon Henderson
  • “TreVeyon Henderson will split the workload with Rhamondre Stevenson again this week. In their three games together this season, Henderson has had a 43.5% snap rate, a 42.7% rushing share, and a 31.1% route share (2.2% target share). I’d expect Henderson to help out more on early downs this week, with Stevenson taking more of the passing downs.”

    FantasyPros Staff· Oct 10, 2026
  • “Last week, Henderson finished with nine touches and 29 total yards while having a 33.3% snap rate, a 30.8% rushing share, and a 27% route share (3.2% target share). Henderson has gotten off to a disappointing start again this season on a per-touch basis. Among 43 qualifying backs, he is 27th in explosive run rate, 42nd in yards after contact per attempt, and 39th in missed tackle rate.”

    FantasyPros Staff· Oct 3, 2026
  • “Henderson played 60.4% of the snaps with 57.1% of the rushing attempts and a 40.7% route share.”

    FantasyPros Staff· Sep 26, 2026
See 12 more
  • “Henderson played 13 more snaps and had 10 more carries than Rhamondre Stevenson , possibly because Stevenson lost a fumble on New England’s first possession of the game. But Stevenson is regarded as the far better pass blocker, and the Patriots’ offensive line has not done a great job of handling pressure this season. It’s going to be very hard to predict the workload split between Henderson and Stevenson.”

    Pat Fitzmaurice· Sep 25, 2026
  • “According to Nathan Jahnke , Stevenson played on New England’s first four snaps of their opening drive before losing a fumble, and TreVeyon Henderson played 21 out of 25 snaps across five subsequent drives while Stevenson recorded just six snaps during that stretch. Stevenson wasn’t completely mothballed, but he opened the door for Henderson, and the speedy second-year pro took advantage of the opportunity. Henderson played 33 snaps, ran 12 routes and carried the ball 16 times for 76 yards and a touchdown.”

    Josh Shepardson· Sep 21, 2026
  • “Henderson played 60% of the snaps and received 61.5% of the backfield opportunities on his way to 13.6 PPR points. Stevenson, on the other hand, scored only 4.3 PPR points while getting 30.8% of the backfield opportunities on 36.4% of the snaps. Stevenson is a solid back, but Henderson has the higher ceiling; it shouldn’t surprise anyone if he commands the majority of the backfield for the rest of the season.”

    Wyatt Bertolone· Sep 20, 2026
  • “More importantly, Henderson is an injury to Stevenson away from being a league winner and a top-10 running back.”

    FantasyPros Staff· Sep 5, 2026
  • “According to Fantasy Points Data, his 5.6% explosive run rate last season was higher than Saquon Barkley (4.6%) and Travis Etienne Jr. (3.5%). More importantly, Henderson is an injury to Stevenson away from being a league winner and a top-10 running back.”

    Mike Fanelli· Sep 3, 2026
  • “TreVeyon Henderson finished his rookie season as the RB24 in fantasy points per game, but it wasn’t nearly that productive for fantasy managers when you look at the full breakdown of how it unfolded. In Weeks 10-11, Rhamondre Stevenson wasn’t active, and Henderson feasted with 60.3 combined PPR points, which accounted for 29.2% of his overall fantasy production for the season.”

    FantasyPros Staff· Sep 1, 2026
  • “TreVeyon Henderson (RB – NE) All offseason, TreVeyon Henderson was drafted several spots ahead of Rhamondre Stevenson , but the gap has narrowed significantly.”

    Evan Tarracciano· Aug 31, 2026
  • “” – Ryan Linkletter ( Blitz Sports Media ) TreVeyon Henderson (RB – NE) “I didn’t think I would be taking much TreVeyon Henderson , but at an RB26 ranking, it’s hard to find more talented players or those with more upside. Henderson is being called by many the bust of the year already, and he does have some risk, but so do Tuten, Warren, and Price, who may be bench players at the end of the year.”

    FantasyPros Staff· Aug 30, 2026
  • “While fantasy players had high hopes for him as a rookie, Henderson was unstartable for most of the year, finishing as the RB21. His 12.1 PPR fantasy points per game average was lower than Kenneth Gainwell’ s (13) and Rhamondre Stevenson ‘s (12.8).”

    Mike Fanelli· Aug 15, 2026
  • “Including the playoffs, Treveyon Henderson scored no more than 8.2 PPR points in six of his last seven games.”

    Wyatt Bertolone· Aug 3, 2026
  • “Henderson could eat into Stevenson’s workload more in 2026 if he can take another step and payoff as an RB2, but he ‘s best viewed as an upside RB3.”

    FantasyPros Staff· Jul 28, 2026
  • “TreVeyon Henderson (RB – NE) Henderson is currently going 58th overall, a full 20 picks ahead of his own backfield mate in the rankings. Last year’s split tells the story: while his teammate was healthy, Henderson managed just 6.6 fantasy points per game across the first eight weeks.”

    FantasyPros Staff· Jul 25, 2026

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Past weeks
Draft history and ADP
ADP 54.7
Joe Burrow
QB · CIN · QB4
ADP 58.2
TreVeyon Henderson
RB · NE · RB25
VS
The crowd's leanAll time
63.8% would rather draft Burrow over Henderson
63.8%Burrow
36.2%Henderson
Based on 47 comparison results