Joe Burrow
vs Jameson Williams
2026 · Week 5 · Half-PPR
The crowd’s lean
Week 5No weekly comparisons recorded for this pair.
This week
WEEK 5Burrow
at MIA
Oct 11 · 1:00 PM ET
Williams
at ARI
Oct 11 · 4:25 PM ET
20.6
Projected
10.8
Projected
Half-PPR
projection
2026 season, per game
2025 season, per game
Full game log & past seasons +
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | ATT | CMP | YD | TD | INT | RuYD | RuTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | — | 15.2 | QB20 | 35 | 25 | 254 | 1 | 1 | 20 | — |
2 | — | 16.2 | QB15 | 31 | 20 | 207 | 2 | — | -1 | — |
3 | — | 22.6 | QB10 | 37 | 28 | 282 | 3 | — | 13 | — |
4 | — | 25.7 | QB2 | 54 | 39 | 428 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 1 |
Earlier seasons (2025, 2024)
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | ATT | CMP | YD | TD | INT | RuYD | RuTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | CLE | 8.8 | QB28 | 23 | 14 | 113 | 1 | — | 3 | — |
2 | JAX | 7.0 | QB30 | 13 | 7 | 76 | 1 | — | — | — |
3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
6 | BYE | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
12 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
13 | BAL | 19.2 | QB11 | 46 | 24 | 261 | 2 | — | 8 | — |
14 | BUF | 25.4 | QB3 | 36 | 25 | 284 | 4 | 2 | — | — |
15 | BAL | 7.5 | QB30 | 39 | 25 | 225 | — | 2 | 5 | — |
16 | MIA | 29.0 | QB5 | 32 | 25 | 309 | 4 | — | 6 | — |
17 | ARI | 20.4 | QB11 | 31 | 24 | 305 | 2 | — | 2 | — |
18 | CLE | 22.1 | QB5 | 39 | 29 | 236 | 3 | 1 | 17 | — |
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | ATT | CMP | YD | TD | INT | RuYD | RuTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | NE | 8.1 | QB29 | 29 | 21 | 164 | — | — | 15 | — |
2 | KC | 17.2 | QB10 | 36 | 23 | 258 | 2 | — | 9 | — |
3 | WAS | 25.4 | QB7 | 38 | 29 | 324 | 3 | — | 4 | — |
4 | CAR | 17.3 | QB10 | 31 | 22 | 232 | 2 | 1 | 10 | — |
5 | BAL | 34.8 | QB2 | 39 | 30 | 392 | 5 | 1 | 1 | — |
6 | NYG | 19.8 | QB13 | 28 | 19 | 208 | — | — | 55 | 1 |
7 | CLE | 14.9 | QB16 | 25 | 15 | 181 | 2 | — | -3 | — |
8 | PHI | 13.9 | QB23 | 37 | 26 | 234 | 1 | 1 | 15 | — |
9 | LV | 30.1 | QB1 | 39 | 27 | 251 | 5 | 1 | 11 | — |
10 | BAL | 33.7 | QB1 | 56 | 34 | 428 | 4 | — | 6 | — |
11 | LAC | 29.0 | QB2 | 50 | 28 | 356 | 3 | — | 28 | — |
12 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
13 | PIT | 20.3 | QB11 | 38 | 28 | 309 | 3 | 1 | 9 | — |
14 | DAL | 25.6 | QB3 | 44 | 33 | 369 | 3 | 1 | -2 | — |
15 | TEN | 18.8 | QB10 | 37 | 26 | 271 | 3 | 2 | — | — |
16 | CLE | 22.0 | QB11 | 30 | 23 | 252 | 3 | — | 19 | — |
17 | DEN | 37.0 | QB1 | 49 | 39 | 412 | 3 | — | 25 | 1 |
18 | PIT | 14.0 | QB18 | 46 | 37 | 277 | 1 | 1 | -1 | — |
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | TGT | REC | YD | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | — | 6.5 | WR46 | 9 | 4 | 45 | — |
2 | — | 4.3 | WR68 | 4 | 2 | 33 | — |
3 | — | 6.9 | WR54 | 4 | 4 | 49 | — |
4 | — | 13.2 | WR19 | 8 | 6 | 102 | — |
Earlier seasons (2025, 2024)
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | TGT | REC | YD | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | GB | 4.6 | WR61 | 5 | 4 | 23 | — |
2 | CHI | 17.8 | WR10 | 4 | 2 | 108 | 1 |
3 | BAL | 5.3 | WR55 | 3 | 2 | 43 | — |
4 | CLE | 4.7 | WR61 | 8 | 2 | 40 | — |
5 | CIN | 1.5 | WR89 | 1 | 1 | 9 | — |
6 | KC | 15.6 | WR13 | 7 | 6 | 66 | 1 |
7 | TB | 0.0 | WR154 | 2 | — | — | — |
8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
9 | MIN | 14.6 | WR14 | 6 | 4 | 66 | 1 |
10 | WAS | 20.9 | WR3 | 7 | 6 | 119 | 1 |
11 | PHI | 17.7 | WR6 | 7 | 4 | 88 | 1 |
12 | NYG | 0.0 | WR110 | 3 | — | — | — |
13 | GB | 23.4 | WR4 | 10 | 7 | 144 | 1 |
14 | DAL | 13.8 | WR15 | 9 | 7 | 96 | — |
15 | LAR | 22.9 | WR3 | 10 | 7 | 134 | 1 |
16 | PIT | 9.5 | WR30 | 9 | 5 | 70 | — |
17 | MIN | 4.7 | WR55 | 3 | 2 | 37 | — |
18 | CHI | 10.4 | WR19 | 8 | 6 | 74 | — |
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | TGT | REC | YD | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | LAR | 21.9 | WR5 | 9 | 5 | 121 | 1 |
2 | TB | 11.9 | WR23 | 11 | 5 | 79 | — |
3 | ARI | 0.7 | WR116 | 3 | 1 | 9 | — |
4 | SEA | 15.0 | WR18 | 2 | 2 | 80 | 1 |
5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
6 | DAL | 16.2 | WR15 | 4 | 3 | 76 | 1 |
7 | MIN | 0.1 | WR104 | 1 | 1 | -4 | — |
8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
10 | HOU | 6.8 | WR39 | 5 | 3 | 53 | — |
11 | JAX | 20.6 | WR7 | 6 | 4 | 124 | 1 |
12 | IND | 9.3 | WR28 | 7 | 5 | 64 | — |
13 | CHI | 7.1 | WR50 | 7 | 5 | 28 | — |
14 | GB | 10.5 | WR31 | 8 | 5 | 80 | — |
15 | BUF | 11.2 | WR28 | 5 | 3 | 37 | 1 |
16 | CHI | 23.5 | WR4 | 7 | 5 | 143 | 1 |
17 | SF | 22.0 | WR9 | 8 | 5 | 77 | 1 |
18 | MIN | 6.4 | WR60 | 8 | 6 | 34 | — |
Expert takes
“Burrow is projected for around 19.6 points in an offense that’s throwing the ball 36-plus times a game. When a quarterback is that entrenched as the engine of his offense, a tough matchup on paper isn’t enough to scare me off. Burrow’s also sitting in a game with a 27-point implied team total for Cincinnati, which tells me the market expects Cincinnati to move the ball regardless of what Jacksonville’s defensive numbers say.”
Matty Kiwoom· Oct 1, 2026“The Bengals’ run game has struggled this season, and Joe Burrow has had at least 31 attempts in every game.”
Tera Roberts· Oct 11, 2026“Joe Burrow finished as the QB2 after throwing for 428 passing yards against the Jacksonville Jaguars .”
Jordan Pullett· Oct 10, 2026
See 12 more
“Bengals Bengals QB Joe Burrow had 58 passing attempts in the loss to the Jaguars on Sunday, but feels that the team can throw it even more going forward.”
Wyatt Grindley· Oct 5, 2026“Burrow had an underwhelming opener, but he’s tallied 489 passing yards (244.5 per game), 7.45 adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A), five passing touchdowns, and zero interceptions in two subsequent contests, scoring 19.88 DraftKings points per game and 19.88 FanDuel points per game in the last two weeks. The Bengals lost a shootout last week, and the Jaguars have the firepower to push Burrow into a ceiling performance through the air. His top passing-game weapon will be featured in the core studs.”
Josh Shepardson· Oct 1, 2026“Joe Burrow may not be a must-start this week, but Chase Brown , Ja’Marr Chase , and Tee Higgins are all auto-starts.”
Jordan Pullett· Sep 25, 2026“According to the Fantasy Points Data Suite 2.0, among 33 quarterbacks with at least 20 dropbacks, Burrow ranks: 13th in passing yards per game (230.5) 19th in adjusted net yards per pass attempt (6.14 ANY/A) Tied for 14th in passing touchdowns (three) 10th in expected passing touchdowns (3.5) 21st in rushing yards per game (9.5) Interestingly, the Bengals are just fifth in pass rate over expected (6.3% PROE) this year. That’s still pass-happy, but Cincinnati tied for first in PROE (7.9%) from 2023 through 2025. Their defense is better, and the washed-up, Aaron Rodgers -led Steelers are unlikely to push Burrow and Cincinnati’s offense into a shootout.”
Josh Shepardson· Sep 25, 2026“Joe Burrow nearly gifted Tampa Bay a pick-six, the Buccaneers heavily guarded Chase, and Burrow simply could not connect with his WR1. That extra attention also opened things up elsewhere: TE Mike Gesicki finished with five catches for 78 yards and a TD as Tampa Bay focused on containing Chase and Tee Higgins . Look, that does not completely let Chase off the hook.”
Brooke Morgan· Sep 16, 2026“Joe Burrow’s health has been a concern in recent years, but I’ll bank on him playing a full season with one of the easiest schedules in football. I believe 4,500 yards and 40 touchdowns are more than doable.”
Richard Janvrin· Aug 23, 2026“But if Bengals QB Joe Burrow, who missed nine games last season, enjoys a season of good health, McPherson should have his fair share of FG and PAT opportunities.”
FantasyPros Staff· Aug 15, 2026“When Joe Burrow was healthy, he was a top-three quarterback last season”
Richard Janvrin· Aug 6, 2026“The pivot to more under-center passing won’t be as natural and certainly might not be anywhere near as successful for the Bengals, because Burrow clearly isn’t as comfortable and doesn’t perform as well. In fact, if we go back the last three years, Burrow’s under-center dropbacks average just 3.6 air yards, which ranked dead last: #69 out of 69 qualifying QBs. His time to throw of 2.81 seconds was the #5 fastest out of 69 QBs, and he threw just 17% of passes 10+ yards downfield, also ranking dead last.”
Warren Sharp· Aug 4, 2026“Zac Taylor wants the Bengals to play more from under center in 2026. Unfortunately, Joe Burrow under center is precisely where this offense struggles most, which is why the Bengals haven't used it often of late. How much the Bengals choose to pivot to under-center passing and how much Burrow can improve on these dropbacks might have a large impact on their fortunes in 2026.”
Warren Sharp· Aug 4, 2026“Overvalued: Joe Burrow, Quarterback (QB4, Pick 59 OVR) Now, this isn’t to say that I don’t like Joe Burrow, or that I don’t think that Joe Burrow is a talented player; I just think that Joe Burrow is capped insofar as he doesn’t rush at all, and the Bengals’ offensive line isn’t strong enough for him to be a consistent top-four player without the rushing.”
Jeff Krisko· Jul 25, 2026“Of the top-10 quarterbacks based on LTV, Burrow is the one quarterback with little to no rushing upside, making him the quarterback I would want to trade away.”
Jonathan Lange· Jul 21, 2026
“Jameson Williams has been off to a tepid start this season. He averages 6.2 targets per game, but that has amounted to only one game with over 50 receiving yards and zero touchdowns. He is averaging 9.7 PPR points per game.”
John Hesterman· Oct 11, 2026“Last year, Williams had a 22% target-per-route run rate and 2.31 YPRR against single high. Carolina has been tough against perimeter wide receivers, but they just lost Jaycee Horn , so take these numbers with a grain of salt. Carolina has allowed the sixth-fewest yards per target and fourth-fewest fantasy points per opportunity to perimeter wide receivers.”
FantasyPros Staff· Oct 3, 2026“Among WRs with 80+ routes run, Jameson Williams ranks eighth in air yards per target. Despite the Panthers having the seventh-highest blitz rate, they are closer to league average when it comes to time to throw, allowing 2.87 seconds. That is important because giving Jared Goff more time in the pocket should allow Jameson Williams to actually get downfield for big plays and hopefully some yards after the catch.”
Colt Williams· Oct 1, 2026
See 10 more
“According to the Fantasy Points Data Suite, Williams ranks fourth on the team in target share at just 14.7%. He hasn’t shown the same explosiveness we are used to seeing. Last year, he created 6.75 yards after catch per reception; this year, through three games, it’s virtually nonexistent at 0.30.”
Kyle Zeigler· Sep 30, 2026“Jameson Williams has reminded fantasy managers that he is a boom/bust play, but he faces the Jets, Panthers, and Cardinals and could bounce back.”
Jordan Pullett· Sep 25, 2026““I’m not sure why Jameson Williams is off to a slow start (I know he’s had a few drops), but the reasons I like him haven’t changed. He’s still a very talented player on a team whose defense is expected to struggle. Because of that, the Lions will have to pass plenty in the fourth quarter.”
FantasyPros Staff· Sep 23, 2026“You don’t have to look hard to find fantasy enthusiasts who, using these two weeks and some splits from last season, argue that Williams is straight-up useless with Sam LaPorta healthy. But Williams’ usage — 92% route rate, 16% target share, 31% air yards share — is still excellent, especially given the Lions’ overall offensive efficiency. He’s scored just 10.8 half-PPR points on 26.8 expected points, per the Fantasy Points Data Suite.”
Ted Chmyz· Sep 23, 2026“Williams had a 23.1% target share and a fantastic 36% first-read share, but he had two drops and secured only one of his three contested targets. He also had one red zone target and two deep targets. The big takeaway is that his utilization was WONDERFUL, but Williams produced a wet-fart stat line with 45 scoreless receiving yards because of a bad game.”
FantasyPros Staff· Sep 16, 2026“Williams had 23.1% of the team's targets (WR25) with 54.2% of the air yards (WR6). He did have the big drop, but 33.3% of his targets were also uncatchable. Although he did have the shot play that he put down, Williams still got access to a favorable part of the target tree, rather than solely living downfield.”
Rich Hribar· Sep 15, 2026“Jameson Williams has incredible speed and can turn a five-yard screen pass into a 40-yard gain. Williams ranked 10th in the NFL with 441 yards after the catch (YAC) last season.”
Steve Krebs· Sep 5, 2026“However, the former Alabama star can also be a weekly winner. Last season, Williams scored 17.3 or more fantasy points in 41.2% of his games, including over 26.2 twice during the final six weeks, but both contests came with Sam LaPorta sidelined.”
Mike Fanelli· Sep 3, 2026“Jameson Williams (WR – DET) “ Jameson Williams has probably been my most frequently drafted player. Don’t write off Williams’ late-season surge in 2025 as a byproduct of TE Sam LaPorta ‘s back injury.”
FantasyPros Staff· Aug 27, 2026“Jameson Williams (WR – DET) | Over 1,028 Receiving Yards + Over 208.4 Fantasy Points We close out our recommendations with a player who’s sure to be completely overlooked because of his name rather than his production. Jameson Williams finished last season with 65 receptions and turned that into 1,100 yards.”
Steve Krebs· Aug 25, 2026
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