Joe Burrow
vs Davante Adams
2026 · Week 5 · Half-PPR
The crowd’s lean
Week 5No weekly comparisons recorded for this pair.
This week
WEEK 5Burrow
at MIA
Oct 11 · 1:00 PM ET
Adams
vs BUF
Oct 12 · 8:15 PM ET
20.6
Projected
14.0
Projected
Half-PPR
projection
2026 season, per game
2025 season, per game
Full game log & past seasons +
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | ATT | CMP | YD | TD | INT | RuYD | RuTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | — | 15.2 | QB20 | 35 | 25 | 254 | 1 | 1 | 20 | — |
2 | — | 16.2 | QB15 | 31 | 20 | 207 | 2 | — | -1 | — |
3 | — | 22.6 | QB10 | 37 | 28 | 282 | 3 | — | 13 | — |
4 | — | 25.7 | QB2 | 54 | 39 | 428 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 1 |
Earlier seasons (2025, 2024)
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | ATT | CMP | YD | TD | INT | RuYD | RuTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | CLE | 8.8 | QB28 | 23 | 14 | 113 | 1 | — | 3 | — |
2 | JAX | 7.0 | QB30 | 13 | 7 | 76 | 1 | — | — | — |
3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
6 | BYE | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
12 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
13 | BAL | 19.2 | QB11 | 46 | 24 | 261 | 2 | — | 8 | — |
14 | BUF | 25.4 | QB3 | 36 | 25 | 284 | 4 | 2 | — | — |
15 | BAL | 7.5 | QB30 | 39 | 25 | 225 | — | 2 | 5 | — |
16 | MIA | 29.0 | QB5 | 32 | 25 | 309 | 4 | — | 6 | — |
17 | ARI | 20.4 | QB11 | 31 | 24 | 305 | 2 | — | 2 | — |
18 | CLE | 22.1 | QB5 | 39 | 29 | 236 | 3 | 1 | 17 | — |
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | ATT | CMP | YD | TD | INT | RuYD | RuTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | NE | 8.1 | QB29 | 29 | 21 | 164 | — | — | 15 | — |
2 | KC | 17.2 | QB10 | 36 | 23 | 258 | 2 | — | 9 | — |
3 | WAS | 25.4 | QB7 | 38 | 29 | 324 | 3 | — | 4 | — |
4 | CAR | 17.3 | QB10 | 31 | 22 | 232 | 2 | 1 | 10 | — |
5 | BAL | 34.8 | QB2 | 39 | 30 | 392 | 5 | 1 | 1 | — |
6 | NYG | 19.8 | QB13 | 28 | 19 | 208 | — | — | 55 | 1 |
7 | CLE | 14.9 | QB16 | 25 | 15 | 181 | 2 | — | -3 | — |
8 | PHI | 13.9 | QB23 | 37 | 26 | 234 | 1 | 1 | 15 | — |
9 | LV | 30.1 | QB1 | 39 | 27 | 251 | 5 | 1 | 11 | — |
10 | BAL | 33.7 | QB1 | 56 | 34 | 428 | 4 | — | 6 | — |
11 | LAC | 29.0 | QB2 | 50 | 28 | 356 | 3 | — | 28 | — |
12 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
13 | PIT | 20.3 | QB11 | 38 | 28 | 309 | 3 | 1 | 9 | — |
14 | DAL | 25.6 | QB3 | 44 | 33 | 369 | 3 | 1 | -2 | — |
15 | TEN | 18.8 | QB10 | 37 | 26 | 271 | 3 | 2 | — | — |
16 | CLE | 22.0 | QB11 | 30 | 23 | 252 | 3 | — | 19 | — |
17 | DEN | 37.0 | QB1 | 49 | 39 | 412 | 3 | — | 25 | 1 |
18 | PIT | 14.0 | QB18 | 46 | 37 | 277 | 1 | 1 | -1 | — |
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | TGT | REC | YD | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | — | 4.1 | WR69 | 6 | 3 | 26 | — |
2 | — | 35.5 | WR2 | 10 | 8 | 195 | 2 |
3 | — | 17.2 | WR12 | 13 | 7 | 137 | — |
4 | — | 5.2 | WR64 | 9 | 4 | 32 | — |
Earlier seasons (2025, 2024)
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | TGT | REC | YD | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | HOU | 7.1 | WR45 | 8 | 4 | 51 | — |
2 | TEN | 19.6 | WR9 | 13 | 6 | 106 | 1 |
3 | PHI | 13.1 | WR20 | 8 | 3 | 56 | 1 |
4 | IND | 13.6 | WR19 | 6 | 4 | 56 | 1 |
5 | SF | 11.3 | WR25 | 11 | 5 | 88 | — |
6 | BAL | 5.9 | WR43 | 9 | 4 | 39 | — |
7 | JAX | 24.0 | WR5 | 8 | 5 | 35 | 3 |
8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
9 | NO | 20.5 | WR4 | 7 | 5 | 60 | 2 |
10 | SF | 16.7 | WR13 | 8 | 6 | 77 | 1 |
11 | SEA | 6.6 | WR42 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
12 | TB | 20.7 | WR7 | 8 | 5 | 62 | 2 |
13 | CAR | 19.8 | WR7 | 5 | 4 | 58 | 2 |
14 | ARI | 4.9 | WR49 | 6 | 4 | 29 | — |
15 | DET | 9.1 | WR33 | 9 | 4 | 71 | — |
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | TGT | REC | YD | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | LAC | 8.4 | WR38 | 6 | 5 | 59 | — |
2 | BAL | 21.5 | WR6 | 12 | 9 | 110 | 1 |
3 | CAR | 6.0 | WR54 | 9 | 4 | 40 | — |
4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
7 | PIT | 4.5 | WR52 | 9 | 3 | 30 | — |
8 | NE | 7.4 | WR50 | 6 | 4 | 54 | — |
9 | HOU | 18.6 | WR8 | 11 | 7 | 91 | 1 |
10 | ARI | 6.1 | WR44 | 13 | 6 | 31 | — |
11 | IND | 10.2 | WR34 | 7 | 6 | 72 | — |
12 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
13 | SEA | 15.1 | WR18 | 12 | 5 | 66 | 1 |
14 | MIA | 21.4 | WR7 | 11 | 9 | 109 | 1 |
15 | JAX | 38.3 | WR1 | 12 | 9 | 198 | 2 |
16 | LAR | 16.3 | WR13 | 13 | 7 | 68 | 1 |
17 | BUF | 7.2 | WR51 | 8 | 5 | 47 | — |
18 | MIA | 17.8 | WR9 | 12 | 6 | 88 | 1 |
Expert takes
“Burrow is projected for around 19.6 points in an offense that’s throwing the ball 36-plus times a game. When a quarterback is that entrenched as the engine of his offense, a tough matchup on paper isn’t enough to scare me off. Burrow’s also sitting in a game with a 27-point implied team total for Cincinnati, which tells me the market expects Cincinnati to move the ball regardless of what Jacksonville’s defensive numbers say.”
Matty Kiwoom· Oct 1, 2026“The Bengals’ run game has struggled this season, and Joe Burrow has had at least 31 attempts in every game.”
Tera Roberts· Oct 11, 2026“Joe Burrow finished as the QB2 after throwing for 428 passing yards against the Jacksonville Jaguars .”
Jordan Pullett· Oct 10, 2026
See 12 more
“Bengals Bengals QB Joe Burrow had 58 passing attempts in the loss to the Jaguars on Sunday, but feels that the team can throw it even more going forward.”
Wyatt Grindley· Oct 5, 2026“Burrow had an underwhelming opener, but he’s tallied 489 passing yards (244.5 per game), 7.45 adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A), five passing touchdowns, and zero interceptions in two subsequent contests, scoring 19.88 DraftKings points per game and 19.88 FanDuel points per game in the last two weeks. The Bengals lost a shootout last week, and the Jaguars have the firepower to push Burrow into a ceiling performance through the air. His top passing-game weapon will be featured in the core studs.”
Josh Shepardson· Oct 1, 2026“Joe Burrow may not be a must-start this week, but Chase Brown , Ja’Marr Chase , and Tee Higgins are all auto-starts.”
Jordan Pullett· Sep 25, 2026“According to the Fantasy Points Data Suite 2.0, among 33 quarterbacks with at least 20 dropbacks, Burrow ranks: 13th in passing yards per game (230.5) 19th in adjusted net yards per pass attempt (6.14 ANY/A) Tied for 14th in passing touchdowns (three) 10th in expected passing touchdowns (3.5) 21st in rushing yards per game (9.5) Interestingly, the Bengals are just fifth in pass rate over expected (6.3% PROE) this year. That’s still pass-happy, but Cincinnati tied for first in PROE (7.9%) from 2023 through 2025. Their defense is better, and the washed-up, Aaron Rodgers -led Steelers are unlikely to push Burrow and Cincinnati’s offense into a shootout.”
Josh Shepardson· Sep 25, 2026“Joe Burrow nearly gifted Tampa Bay a pick-six, the Buccaneers heavily guarded Chase, and Burrow simply could not connect with his WR1. That extra attention also opened things up elsewhere: TE Mike Gesicki finished with five catches for 78 yards and a TD as Tampa Bay focused on containing Chase and Tee Higgins . Look, that does not completely let Chase off the hook.”
Brooke Morgan· Sep 16, 2026“Joe Burrow’s health has been a concern in recent years, but I’ll bank on him playing a full season with one of the easiest schedules in football. I believe 4,500 yards and 40 touchdowns are more than doable.”
Richard Janvrin· Aug 23, 2026“But if Bengals QB Joe Burrow, who missed nine games last season, enjoys a season of good health, McPherson should have his fair share of FG and PAT opportunities.”
FantasyPros Staff· Aug 15, 2026“When Joe Burrow was healthy, he was a top-three quarterback last season”
Richard Janvrin· Aug 6, 2026“The pivot to more under-center passing won’t be as natural and certainly might not be anywhere near as successful for the Bengals, because Burrow clearly isn’t as comfortable and doesn’t perform as well. In fact, if we go back the last three years, Burrow’s under-center dropbacks average just 3.6 air yards, which ranked dead last: #69 out of 69 qualifying QBs. His time to throw of 2.81 seconds was the #5 fastest out of 69 QBs, and he threw just 17% of passes 10+ yards downfield, also ranking dead last.”
Warren Sharp· Aug 4, 2026“Zac Taylor wants the Bengals to play more from under center in 2026. Unfortunately, Joe Burrow under center is precisely where this offense struggles most, which is why the Bengals haven't used it often of late. How much the Bengals choose to pivot to under-center passing and how much Burrow can improve on these dropbacks might have a large impact on their fortunes in 2026.”
Warren Sharp· Aug 4, 2026“Overvalued: Joe Burrow, Quarterback (QB4, Pick 59 OVR) Now, this isn’t to say that I don’t like Joe Burrow, or that I don’t think that Joe Burrow is a talented player; I just think that Joe Burrow is capped insofar as he doesn’t rush at all, and the Bengals’ offensive line isn’t strong enough for him to be a consistent top-four player without the rushing.”
Jeff Krisko· Jul 25, 2026“Of the top-10 quarterbacks based on LTV, Burrow is the one quarterback with little to no rushing upside, making him the quarterback I would want to trade away.”
Jonathan Lange· Jul 21, 2026
“Davante Adams – 13 targets, 7 rec Tyler Higbee – 11 targets, 8 rec It is not surprising to see Adams posting double-digit targets for a second consecutive week in the absence of Puka Nacua . It was supposed to be Terrance Ferguson earning extra targets at TE, but after suffering an ankle injury, it was Higbee that stepped up instead. It’s also worth noting that Konata Mumpfield surprised with eight targets on Sunday night, though he will likely lose any fantasy appeal once Puka returns.”
Aaron Larson· Sep 29, 2026“Rams No. 2 receiver Davante Adams had a decent day then (three catches, 56 yards and a touchdown), but the 33-year-old was spectacular during Nacua’s absence over the past couple of weeks.”
Connor Byrne· Oct 1, 2026“Davante Adams has run 182 routes without Puka Nacua on the field since last season. On those plays: • 36.4% target share • 41.0% early-down target share • 57.1% air yard share • 3.10 yards per route run • 10 TD Most rushes hitting 15+ miles per hour this season (Next-Gen Stats): 1. Bhayshul Tuten (18) 2.”
The FF Newsletter· Oct 1, 2026
See 7 more
“With Puka Nacua out, Adams has answered that question loudly. He’s winning at all three levels — short, intermediate, and deep — all over the field. Watch this and tell me it looks like a 33-year-old receiver: Davante Adams got it and got going for 49 yards!”
Jon Machado· Sep 30, 2026“Davante Adams is a must-start with Puka Nacua not expected to play, and Terrance Ferguson is an interesting play at TE.”
Jordan Pullett· Sep 25, 2026“Puka’s long-term injury status should be fine, but Adams is a WR1 if Puka misses any more time with a potential suspension. Parker Washington Parker Washington has proven that he is clearly the Jacksonville Jaguars ’ best WR. Washington is second in the NFL in target share and third in air yards (37%) through two weeks.”
Jordan Pullett· Sep 23, 2026“Davante Adams – 10 targets, 8 rec Terrance Ferguson – 9 targets, 6 rec The Rams bounced back on Monday night after their dud in Australia. Adams posted double-digit targets for the first time since Week 5 of last season and turned them into two TDs and nearly 200 yards. As for Ferguson, the second-year TE more than doubled his highest single-game target output from last season, when he never saw more than four.”
Aaron Larson· Sep 22, 2026“Injury Report RAMS Out: S Kamren Kinchens Doubtful: WR Jordan Whittington Questionable: WR Puka Nacua GIANTS Questionable: CB Deonte Bank, LB Micah McFadden Top Captain Plays Davante Adams $13,200 Adams is my favorite CPT under the Puka-out assumption. He led the NFL with 14 receiving TDs last season, and I want exposure where the Rams’ passing production runs through him after he was buns against the 49ers last week. This feels like a bounce-back spot.”
Chris Cash· Sep 21, 2026“Davante Adams (WR – LAR) Inside Sean McVay’s pass‑heavy offense, Davante Adams remains a high‑end fantasy player. Even while playing next to Puka Nacua’s historic WR1 season, Adams scored 14 touchdowns in 14 games.”
Lawrence Iacona· Aug 27, 2026“He’s only finished outside the top 15 of fantasy receivers once since 2015, and that was due to an injury-shortened campaign back in 2019. Adams has eclipsed the 1,000-yard receiving mark in six of the past eight seasons (missing out on his seventh by only three yards).”
Evan Tarracciano· Aug 26, 2026
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