Joe Burrow vs Christian Watson
2026 draft comparison · half-PPR
Updated Aug 26, 2026
Should you draft Joe Burrow or Christian Watson?
Last season — 2025, per game
Full game log & past seasons
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | ATT | CMP | YD | TD | INT | RuYD | RuTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | CLE | 8.8 | QB28 | 23 | 14 | 113 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
2 | JAX | 7.0 | QB30 | 13 | 7 | 76 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
6 | BYE | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
12 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
13 | BAL | 19.2 | QB11 | 46 | 24 | 261 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 0 |
14 | BUF | 25.4 | QB3 | 36 | 25 | 284 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
15 | BAL | 7.5 | QB30 | 39 | 25 | 225 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
16 | MIA | 29.0 | QB5 | 32 | 25 | 309 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 0 |
17 | ARI | 20.4 | QB11 | 31 | 24 | 305 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
18 | CLE | 22.1 | QB5 | 39 | 29 | 236 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 0 |
Earlier seasons (2024)
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | ATT | CMP | YD | TD | INT | RuYD | RuTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | NE | 8.1 | QB29 | 29 | 21 | 164 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 0 |
2 | KC | 17.2 | QB10 | 36 | 23 | 258 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 0 |
3 | WAS | 25.4 | QB7 | 38 | 29 | 324 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
4 | CAR | 17.3 | QB10 | 31 | 22 | 232 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 0 |
5 | BAL | 34.8 | QB2 | 39 | 30 | 392 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
6 | NYG | 19.8 | QB13 | 28 | 19 | 208 | 0 | 0 | 55 | 1 |
7 | CLE | 14.9 | QB16 | 25 | 15 | 181 | 2 | 0 | -3 | 0 |
8 | PHI | 13.9 | QB23 | 37 | 26 | 234 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 0 |
9 | LV | 30.1 | QB1 | 39 | 27 | 251 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 0 |
10 | BAL | 33.7 | QB1 | 56 | 34 | 428 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 0 |
11 | LAC | 29.0 | QB2 | 50 | 28 | 356 | 3 | 0 | 28 | 0 |
12 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
13 | PIT | 20.3 | QB11 | 38 | 28 | 309 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 0 |
14 | DAL | 25.6 | QB3 | 44 | 33 | 369 | 3 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
15 | TEN | 18.8 | QB10 | 37 | 26 | 271 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
16 | CLE | 22.0 | QB11 | 30 | 23 | 252 | 3 | 0 | 19 | 0 |
17 | DEN | 37.0 | QB1 | 49 | 39 | 412 | 3 | 0 | 25 | 1 |
18 | PIT | 14.0 | QB18 | 46 | 37 | 277 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | TGT | REC | YD | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
8 | PIT | 10.5 | WR30 | 4 | 4 | 85 | 0 |
9 | CAR | 6.8 | WR48 | 4 | 2 | 58 | 0 |
10 | PHI | 5.5 | WR47 | 4 | 2 | 45 | 0 |
11 | NYG | 18.6 | WR5 | 5 | 4 | 46 | 2 |
12 | MIN | 7.4 | WR36 | 7 | 5 | 49 | 0 |
13 | DET | 16.3 | WR12 | 10 | 4 | 80 | 1 |
14 | CHI | 22.9 | WR5 | 4 | 4 | 89 | 2 |
15 | DEN | 4.4 | WR67 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 0 |
16 | CHI | 2.7 | WR85 | 6 | 2 | 17 | 0 |
17 | BAL | 19.8 | WR5 | 6 | 5 | 113 | 1 |
Earlier seasons (2024)
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | TGT | REC | YD | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | PHI | 8.8 | WR35 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 1 |
2 | IND | 0.0 | WR163 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | TEN | 7.7 | WR46 | 2 | 2 | 67 | 0 |
4 | MIN | 0.0 | WR157 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
6 | ARI | 14.3 | WR19 | 4 | 3 | 68 | 1 |
7 | HOU | 1.0 | WR100 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 0 |
8 | JAX | 5.9 | WR61 | 6 | 4 | 39 | 0 |
9 | DET | 7.2 | WR44 | 7 | 3 | 37 | 0 |
10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
11 | CHI | 17.0 | WR10 | 4 | 4 | 150 | 0 |
12 | SF | 0.4 | WR97 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | MIA | 7.7 | WR44 | 4 | 2 | 67 | 0 |
14 | DET | 11.4 | WR28 | 7 | 4 | 114 | 0 |
15 | SEA | 7.1 | WR47 | 6 | 3 | 56 | 0 |
16 | NO | 2.3 | WR93 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
18 | CHI | 0.0 | WR132 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Latest takes
“Joe Burrow’s health has been a concern in recent years, but I’ll bank on him playing a full season with one of the easiest schedules in football. I believe 4,500 yards and 40 touchdowns are more than doable.”
Richard Janvrin· Aug 23“After a slow start in a Joe Burrow -less offense, Chase Brown finished as the RB7 in PPG from Week 7 onward (18.”
FantasyPros Staff· Aug 22“Chase also gets to play with Joe Burrow , one of the best pure passers in the game.”
FantasyPros Staff· Aug 22
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“For Pollard to find his way into the top-12, we need a Drake Maye / Joe Burrow -esque second season from Ward.”
Ellis Johnson· Aug 19“Joe Burrow paired with Ja’Marr Chase is obviously a nightmare matchup to go head-to-head against, but the variance the pair would inject into your lineup is prohibitively high in this format. An explosive game from them will only truly save your season when the rest of your team lays some eggs.”
Joe Harris· Aug 18“But if Bengals QB Joe Burrow, who missed nine games last season, enjoys a season of good health, McPherson should have his fair share of FG and PAT opportunities.”
FantasyPros Staff· Aug 15“The trio of Joe Burrow , Ja'Marr Chase , and Tee Higgins forces defenses to respect the passing game.”
Curtis Hirsch· Aug 11“When Joe Burrow was healthy, he was a top-three quarterback last season”
Richard Janvrin· Aug 6“Joe Burrow (QB – CIN) According to Sharp Football Analysis , the Bengals have the second-easiest schedule this season, which bodes well for a passing attack featuring Ja’Marr Chase and Tee Higgins”
Richard Janvrin· Aug 6“For example, fantasy players would need to use four of their first five or six picks to build a Cincinnati Bengals stack of Ja’Marr Chase , Chase Brown , Tee Higgins , and Joe Burrow”
Mike Fanelli· Aug 6“Lamar Jackson , Jayden Daniels , Joe Burrow , Baker Mayfield , and Kyler Murray all were selected as top-12 players at the position and finished double-digit slots behind expectations in terms of points per game.”
Rich Hribar· Aug 5“Round 1: Joe Burrow (QB – CIN) To kick things off at No. 4 overall, I went with Joe Burrow .”
Richard Janvrin· Aug 5“Even with a modest target share, Higgins maximizes his opportunities in one of the NFL’s premier passing offenses led by Joe Burrow .”
FantasyPros Staff· Aug 5“The pivot to more under-center passing won’t be as natural and certainly might not be anywhere near as successful for the Bengals, because Burrow clearly isn’t as comfortable and doesn’t perform as well. In fact, if we go back the last three years, Burrow’s under-center dropbacks average just 3.6 air yards, which ranked dead last: #69 out of 69 qualifying QBs. His time to throw of 2.81 seconds was the #5 fastest out of 69 QBs, and he threw just 17% of passes 10+ yards downfield, also ranking dead last.”
Warren Sharp· Aug 4“Zac Taylor wants the Bengals to play more from under center in 2026. Unfortunately, Joe Burrow under center is precisely where this offense struggles most, which is why the Bengals haven't used it often of late. How much the Bengals choose to pivot to under-center passing and how much Burrow can improve on these dropbacks might have a large impact on their fortunes in 2026.”
Warren Sharp· Aug 4
“Christian Watson (WR – GB) | ADP: 71.2 ( WR 30) Last season, Christian Watson was the WR15 on a points-per-game basis among wide receivers with at least nine games played. He averaged 13.2 PPR fantasy points per contest, despite averaging only 5.5 targets per outing after missing the first seven weeks recovering from a torn ACL.”
Mike Fanelli· Aug 25“Christian Watson tore the ACL in his right knee on January 5th, 2025. He made his season debut for the Packers on October 26th, 2025. Watson’s ability to return from reconstructive knee surgery so quickly would have been impressive on its own, but he wasn’t done there. Instead, Watson balled out.”
Josh Shepardson· Aug 24“Christian Watson has never been healthy for a full season, but when he’s out there, he gets targeted plenty. In the off chance he plays a full season, Watson could have a massive season.”
Richard Janvrin· Aug 23
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“With Romeo Doubs signing with the New England Patriots, this has more than cleared the way for Christian Watson to be the No. 1 WR in the Packers’ offense. Of course, Watson needs to stay healthy, though, which has been easier said than done.”
Richard Janvrin· Aug 18“Christian Watson is one of the easiest players in fantasy football to label as risky. He has missed time in every NFL season, sat out the first seven weeks last year, and has never produced more than 620 receiving yards.”
Javier Manzanera· Aug 14“The Jets have not added any talent at wide receiver that will truly threaten Wilson’s targets, and if he starts 2026 like he started 2025, he will be on pace for 150+ targets, 1,200+ yards, and 12+ touchdowns, which will make him a league-winning pick as WR19!!” – Adam Dove ( The Fantasy Couriers ) Christian Watson (WR – GB) “With Romeo Doubs gone and Tucker Kraft working his way back from injury, Christian Watson has a clear path to more targets.”
FantasyPros Staff· Aug 11“Christian Watson (WR – GB) Going as the WR29, 65th overall, one analyst has him as high as WR20 and would consider him as early as round four.”
FantasyPros Staff· Aug 10“On a recent podcast, I touted Packers WR Christian Watson as a high-upside player worth pursuing. The FantasyPros social media team clipped part of my Watson spiel and posted it on several platforms. An overwhelming number of the replies cited Watson’s extensive injury history – he’s missed 20 games in his four NFL seasons – and rejected the premise that Watson was worth drafting.”
FantasyPros Staff· Aug 9“This season, the team WR1 picks are going in the WR3 range or later: DJ Moore, Mike Evans, Carnell Tate, Christian Watson, Marvin Harrison Jr, Brian Thomas Jr, Alec Pierce, and KC Concepcion.”
Rich Hribar· Aug 6“Fantasy Football Research & Advice Fantasy Football Expert Rankings 2026 Fantasy Football Draft Kit Fantasy Football Trade Analyzer Fantasy Football Value Players to Target Christian Watson (WR – GB) ADP: 65 | (WR30) The biggest knock on Watson is health”
Kyle Zeigler· Aug 6“Watson has the potential to be special. And his current cost assumes he’ll miss a few games.”
FantasyPros Staff· Aug 6“Early reports indicate that Christian Watson, Jayden Reed , and Matthew Golden will run the majority of the routes with fewer substitutions following the departure of Romeo Doubs and Dontayvion Wicks .”
Curtis Hirsch· Aug 5“Christian Watson (GB) Christian Watson got the bag this offseason and should be considered the clear WR1 for the Green Bay Packers.”
FantasyPros Staff· Aug 5“20 come from two buckets: Hyper-specified role players (Stefon Diggs, Rashee Rice) Guys with other top 24 or strong ancillary target competition (Both Rams WRs, Jameson Williams, CeeDee Lamb, Tee Higgins, Quentin Johnston with Ladd McConkey/Keenan Allen) You may notice there’s one guy on this list who fits in neither, and it’s Thundering Herd legend Christian Watson (shout out to NDSU).”
Tony Martin· Jul 30“His target share and first-read share should go up this season with Romeo Doubs and Dontayvion Wicks gone and Watson likely getting promoted into a full-time role.”
FantasyPros Staff· Jul 28