Jaylen Waddle
vs Tyler Warren
2026 · Week 5 · Half-PPR
The crowd’s lean
Week 5No weekly comparisons recorded for this pair.
This week
WEEK 5Waddle
at LAC
Oct 11 · 4:05 PM ET
Warren
at PIT
Oct 11 · 1:00 PM ET
10.1
Projected
8.8
Projected
Half-PPR
projection
2026 season, per game
2025 season, per game
Full game log & past seasons +
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | TGT | REC | YD | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | — | 0.7 | WR103 | 3 | 1 | 2 | — |
2 | — | 17.8 | WR12 | 10 | 8 | 138 | — |
3 | — | 5.4 | WR64 | 7 | 2 | 10 | — |
4 | — | 12.0 | WR25 | 6 | 5 | 35 | 1 |
Earlier seasons (2025, 2024)
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | TGT | REC | YD | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | IND | 5.0 | WR57 | 5 | 4 | 30 | — |
2 | NE | 15.3 | WR14 | 6 | 5 | 68 | 1 |
3 | BUF | 12.4 | WR23 | 6 | 5 | 39 | 1 |
4 | NYJ | 6.3 | WR47 | 6 | 3 | 48 | — |
5 | CAR | 20.0 | WR4 | 9 | 6 | 110 | 1 |
6 | LAC | 12.8 | WR17 | 8 | 6 | 95 | — |
7 | CLE | 2.0 | WR86 | 4 | 1 | 15 | — |
8 | ATL | 18.4 | WR4 | 6 | 5 | 99 | 1 |
9 | BAL | 11.2 | WR27 | 9 | 6 | 82 | — |
10 | BUF | 16.9 | WR11 | 7 | 5 | 84 | 1 |
11 | WAS | 6.7 | WR40 | 7 | 3 | 52 | — |
12 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
13 | NO | 5.5 | WR48 | 6 | 3 | 40 | — |
14 | NYJ | 15.6 | WR10 | 7 | 5 | 50 | 1 |
15 | PIT | 3.6 | WR72 | 4 | 2 | 26 | — |
16 | CIN | 9.7 | WR29 | 9 | 5 | 72 | — |
17 | TB | 0.7 | WR118 | 1 | — | — | — |
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | TGT | REC | YD | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | JAX | 13.7 | WR17 | 5 | 5 | 109 | — |
2 | BUF | 6.5 | WR39 | 4 | 4 | 41 | — |
3 | SEA | 4.6 | WR68 | 5 | 4 | 26 | — |
4 | TEN | 5.6 | WR60 | 6 | 4 | 36 | — |
5 | NE | 6.6 | WR48 | 8 | 4 | 46 | — |
6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
7 | IND | 1.6 | WR93 | 2 | 1 | 11 | — |
8 | ARI | 6.5 | WR56 | 6 | 4 | 45 | — |
9 | BUF | 6.6 | WR46 | 2 | 2 | -4 | 1 |
10 | LAR | 7.1 | WR35 | 6 | 3 | 57 | — |
11 | LV | 4.7 | WR57 | 3 | 2 | 37 | — |
12 | NE | 24.4 | WR3 | 9 | 8 | 144 | 1 |
13 | GB | 9.3 | WR36 | 4 | 4 | 53 | — |
14 | NYJ | 16.4 | WR16 | 12 | 9 | 99 | — |
15 | HOU | 0.0 | WR138 | 2 | — | — | — |
16 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
17 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
18 | NYJ | 7.0 | WR52 | 9 | 4 | 44 | — |
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | TGT | REC | YD | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | — | 8.8 | TE14 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 1 |
2 | — | 11.4 | TE10 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 1 |
3 | — | 10.2 | TE13 | 10 | 9 | 55 | — |
4 | — | 6.6 | TE21 | 5 | 5 | 41 | — |
Earlier seasons (2025)
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | TGT | REC | YD | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | MIA | 11.4 | TE5 | 9 | 7 | 76 | — |
2 | DEN | 9.9 | TE7 | 7 | 4 | 79 | — |
3 | TEN | 5.3 | TE22 | 5 | 3 | 38 | — |
4 | LAR | 15.8 | TE3 | 6 | 5 | 70 | — |
5 | LV | 12.4 | TE11 | 4 | 4 | 44 | 1 |
6 | ARI | 15.3 | TE3 | 9 | 6 | 63 | 1 |
7 | LAC | 14.9 | TE6 | 5 | 4 | 69 | 1 |
8 | TEN | 7.3 | TE13 | 5 | 4 | 53 | — |
9 | PIT | 5.1 | TE29 | 7 | 5 | 26 | — |
10 | ATL | 13.9 | TE5 | 10 | 8 | 99 | — |
11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
12 | KC | 7.0 | TE14 | 7 | 5 | 45 | — |
13 | HOU | 9.7 | TE11 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 1 |
14 | JAX | 2.7 | TE29 | 6 | 2 | 15 | — |
15 | SEA | 3.4 | TE34 | 6 | 3 | 19 | — |
16 | SF | 4.5 | TE24 | 9 | 3 | 30 | — |
17 | JAX | 6.8 | TE20 | 5 | 5 | 43 | — |
18 | HOU | 5.1 | TE24 | 8 | 5 | 26 | — |
Expert takes
“Waddle has a 19.3% target share, 1.70 YPRR, two red zone targets, four deep targets, and a 28.2% first-read share. It has been tough when you can see Waddle getting open on film, but he can’t toss the ball to himself. If Bo Nix can get himself together this week, Waddle could have a nice game, but that’s a huge question mark.”
FantasyPros Staff· Oct 8, 2026“His 8.0 FPPG are well below every other receiver on your roster, and even though I have voiced my concern over Denzel Boston ’s season-long outlook, Waddle is no more than your WR4…arguably your WR5 behind Matthew Golden , so I would have no hesitation in trading him away for a solid RB2 who may also be currently underperforming; but who could you target? We can split this list into “ guys who are significantly underperforming compared to their draft spot ” and “ guys who are significantly overperforming compared to their draft spot ”…with both offering potential for a bargain. Let’s start with the underperformers.”
PaulMarnie· Oct 3, 2026“Nix/Waddle is a bet on DEN getting its TDs through the air, and I would keep that as a secondary tournament build.”
Chris Cash· Oct 10, 2026
See 8 more
“Jaylen Waddle was the prince who was promised to solve all of Denver’s offensive issues and to finally be the joker that Sean Payton craved for the Broncos. Unfortunately, over four games, he has as many weekly finishes below 5.5 half-PPR points as he does above 12.0. half-PPR points While it can be frustrating to see that kind of return from Waddle, it’s abundantly clear when you look at the film and the stats that this isn’t on him.”
Tom Strachan· Oct 8, 2026“This year, we have JK Dobbins swearing to the old gods and new that he will play 17 games, and a rookie RB Jonah Coleman getting rave reviews in camp (ready to step in when Dobbins does inevitably get hurt); Jaylen Waddle is exactly what this team needs offensively , offering up YAC opportunities, strong route running in the short + intermediate part of the field, and a level of improvisation with Nix that Franklin + Mimms just weren’t able to offer.”
Ryan Steinberg· Sep 13, 2026“Waddle should get a wonderful infusion of volume this season, moving from an offense that was 29th in neutral passing rate to one that was fourth in that metric last season.”
FantasyPros Staff· Sep 5, 2026“Now the alpha receiver for the Broncos, Waddle will bring his electric route-running to an offense that thrives upon precision and isn’t afraid to sling it. Fantasy managers can look for a spike in Waddle’s yards per route run and target rate, as Courtland Sutton draws away defensive attention downfield.”
Evan Tarracciano· Sep 3, 2026“Jaylen Waddle (WR – DEN) “ Jaylen Waddle is one of my favorite targets this year because I think people are looking too much at last season’s final numbers and not enough at how well he actually played. He ranked 12th in targets per route run, 12th in yards per route run, and seventh in first downs per route run, so the talent and efficiency are clearly still there.”
FantasyPros Staff· Aug 27, 2026“4.11: Jaylen Waddle (WR – DEN) Jaylen Waddle is being overlooked as he enters his first year with the Broncos. Evan Silva of Establish The Run projects him to a huge year under Sean Payton, comparing him to Brandin Cooks during his time in New Orleans.”
Kurt Blakeway· Aug 25, 2026“Adding Jaylen Waddle is not some small improvement.”
Ellis Johnson· Aug 19, 2026“The arrival of Jaylen Waddle will change that this year. Sutton still can be a highly productive player in a pass-happy offense, but he’ll take a backseat to Waddle.”
FantasyPros Staff· Aug 11, 2026
“Tyler Warren has checked almost every top-five TE usage metric we want to see. The only things holding him back right now are efficiency and Daniel Jones . The Colts game was in London this week.”
Joshua Poniatowski· Oct 4, 2026“TE Tyler Warren @ WAS Warren has given you consistency so far this year, scoring at least 8.5 fantasy points in all three weeks. Mike thinks this could be the week we see his ceiling against a Washington defense that won’t offer much in the way of resistance. They are currently ranked 31st in fantasy points allowed to the TE position.”
Parker Hagen· Oct 1, 2026“None of those metrics are good, but we know the type of talent Warren has, so I’m not pressing any panic button after only three games when his quarterback has been playing horrible football. Warren has three red zone targets and zero deep targets. Warren should have a nice week against a Washington pass defense that has allowed the third-most yards per target and the most fantasy points per opportunity to tight ends.”
Derek Brown· Oct 1, 2026
See 12 more
“Warren has been used near the line of scrimmage so far, averaging only 1.9 air yards per target. 36.4% of his targets have been at or behind the line of scrimmage, the third-highest rate among tight ends with double-digit targets. That said, he is playing a ton of snaps and getting regular targets.”
Rich Hribar· Sep 30, 2026“Tyler Warren played 94.4% of the snaps, ran 92.7% of the routes, and had a 27.8% target share. Laquon Treadwell filled in for Pierce, running clear-out routes. Downs, Allen, and Warren all had good days, scoring 12.7, 18.3, and 14.7 PPR points, respectively.”
Wyatt Bertolone· Sep 28, 2026“While the Colts signed Darius Slay ton as Pierce’s replacement in the offense, Josh Downs and Tyler Warren will likely benefit the most from Pierce’s absence. TE Quick Hitters Brock Bowers | TE, Las Vegas Raiders (QUESTIONABLE) – Bowers is officially questionable after getting in two limited practices to start the week and then not practicing Friday. The Raiders indicated that Bowers’ Friday absence was planned and not a setback.”
Edward DeLauter· Sep 26, 2026“Tyler Warren is being asked to pass block more in 2026 (11.9% versus 6.9% last year) and his aDOT is a paltry 1.4 yards.”
Kyle Borgognoni· Sep 21, 2026“Tyler Warren had a fantastic rookie season as the TE10 in fantasy points per game, but there was plenty of meat left on the bone that should have fantasy gamers excited going into 2026.”
FantasyPros Staff· Sep 4, 2026“Over his first 10 games of 2025, Warren averaged 5.0 catches, 61.7 receiving yards and 11.1 half-point PPR fantasy points per game, with four touchdowns. Over his last seven games, Warren averaged 3.7 catches, 28.6 receiving yards and 5.6 half-point PPR fantasy points per game, with one touchdown.”
FantasyPros Staff· Sep 3, 2026“Warren was excellent last year on a per-route basis. Among 59 qualifying tight ends, he was sixth in target share, ninth in receiving yards per game, 18th in yards per route run and first downs per route run, and sixth in first-read-read share (per Fantasy Points Data). His target share and first-read share should increase this season with Pittman Jr. gone, and his per-route productivity should also improve if Daniel Jones can stay healthy for the entire season and be at least a shadow of his healthy self.”
FantasyPros Staff· Aug 8, 2026“Obviously, Tyler Warren will see a great deal, and Alec Pierce just secured the bag, but Downs should not be forgotten”
Kyle Zeigler· Aug 6, 2026“While Daniel Jones appears healthy heading into 2026, I expect to see more of Warren taking snaps at quarterback, as he did at Penn State. Warren offers unique upside that has received little discussion this offseason.”
Jonathan Lange· Jul 9, 2026“The Colts offense took a big step forward in 2025, and they will need to rely even more on Tyler Warren to keep that momentum going. Warren had an outstanding rookie year after leading the Colts in targets last season. The departure of Michael Pittman (PIT) will lead to even more looks for Warren's second season.”
Jonathan Lange· Jul 9, 2026“Warren had a strong rookie season, catching 76 of 112 targets for 817 yards and 4 touchdowns. He also added a rushing touchdown. Warren played 84% of the snaps as a rookie, running a route on 83.6% of the team's dropbacks.”
Rich Hribar· Jul 8, 2026“In the games that Tyler Warren played with Daniel Jones, he averaged 12.36 PPR points and 53.7 yards. In the four that he played in without Jones, his numbers dropped to 6.95 points and 29.5 yards.”
Tom Strachan· May 15, 2026
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