Jalen Hurts vs DJ Moore

“Of the top-10 scorers overall in 2025, only Allen, Nix, and Jalen Hurts were selected as top-10 picks.”

“Jalen Hurts (QB – PHI) One of the most severely underrated quarterbacks heading into the 2026 NFL season is Jalen Hurts.”

“For Hurts to be a midrange QB1 or better, he’ll have to put up big rushing numbers, and we saw his rushing numbers decline last year. After four straight years of double-digit TD runs, with an average of 13 rushing touchdowns a season over that stretch, Hurts had eight TD runs last year. The Eagles had faithfully used the “tush push” every time they got inside the opponent’s 2-yard line in recent years.”

“At his midrange QB1 price, Hurts has to deliver significant rushing value to give you a satisfying return on investment. Because let’s face it: Hurts has been a pretty average passer. Hurts has never had a 4,000-yard passing season.”

“Jalen Hurts (QB – PHI) One analyst has been aggressively targeting Hurts this year, a name that generates little draft-day excitement, which is exactly what makes him appealing. He’s currently being drafted in the QB10-to-QB11 range in single-quarterback leagues, worse than his consensus QB6 ranking, with reports of him falling as far as QB9 or 15 spots past his listed ADP in real drafts.”

“It is reasonable to say that Hurts probably will not be a top-three guy moving forward with the decrease in rushing, but we are betting on his rushing TDs to come back up past double digits and put him in a position to score more fantasy points. Right now his ADP is fair, and you can be comfortable taking him in the sixth round.”

“Unfortunately, Hurts averaged 18.7 fantasy points per game last year, posting an average below 20.8 for the first time in his career as the full-time starter despite totaling a career-high 25 passing touchdowns. However, Hurts’ rushing production regressed, totaling single-digit rushing touchdowns for the first time since his rookie season.”

“Jalen Hurts lost A.J. Brown , but the upgrade at play-caller could be huge. Kevin Patullo was one of the worst offensive coordinators in recent memory.”

“The clearest path to a bounce back is rushing volume: Hurts topped 600 rushing yards in each of the two seasons before last year, then dropped to 421, and his rushing touchdown total fell to eight after previously reaching double digits.”

“Last season, Hurts finished as the QB8 with 299.1 fantasy points, a strong output that contradicts the offseason doubt. Hurts remains a dual-threat quarterback with weekly spike potential, and his rushing ability continues to drive his fantasy value.”

“After averaging at least 21 fantasy points per game from his first full season as a starter in 2021 to 2024, Jalen Hurts slipped to 19.1 fantasy points per game in 2025. A decrease in rushing production was largely to blame, as Hurts' 421 rushing yards last season marked a five-year low, and his streak of four straight seasons with double-digit rushing touchdowns was snapped, with only eight TD runs in 2025.”

“Philadelphia has the easiest schedules at every position, including quarterback. The rest of the year is filled with cakewalk matchups, making Hurts an attractive Round 2 target in startups.”

“However, the Bills seem positive their offense will take a step forward this year with the addition of DJ Moore under new head coach Joe Brady.”

“Moore has a new home for 2026 and beyond after being traded to Buffalo as Josh Allen ‘s new WR1.”

“Going as the WR27 in PPR leagues, DJ Moore lands on a Buffalo Bills team that desperately needed a go-to option.”

“Obviously, it wasn’t a great season in 2025 for DJ Moore. Despite popping up for some big plays, he is coming off career lows in receptions and receiving yards.”

“After years of dealing with subpar quarterbacks, Moore gets to play with Josh Allen in 2026. Yet, he has been productive, averaging 14 or more PPR fantasy points per game in five of seven seasons since his rookie year despite never being an elite touchdown scorer.”

“DJ Moore will finish the season as a WR1. Coming off the worst season of his career (50 REC, 682 YDS, 6 TDs, WR35 in Half PPR), Moore was traded from the Bears to the Bills. He is now catching passes from arguably the best QB in the league, Josh Allen.”

“Both Brown and Erickson believe playing with Josh Allen creates a dramatically different fantasy outlook than Moore has experienced previously. Brown also argued that Buffalo didn't acquire Moore simply to make him another complementary piece. The expectation is that Moore becomes a featured receiver within the offense.”

“Despite disappointing production, Brown noted Moore continued creating separation and winning routes at a strong rate. Those indicators suggest the talent remains intact, even if the fantasy numbers didn't reflect it.”

“Moore is being drafted as the WR22, but fantasy has always priced him as if he were about to be more than he usually is; his career has mostly lived in that WR2 range: WR22, WR20, WR22, WR18, WR17. The outlier was the 2023 eruption, and that season is doing a lot of emotional heavy lifting in his current price.”

“DJ Moore is the favorite to lead the team in targets after Buffalo sent a second-round pick to Chicago to acquire him this offseason, and if his ADP sticks around the round 5-6 turn, it will be hard to turn down his potential targets from Josh Allen in 2026.”

“Moore averaged a solid 135 targets per season and 27% target share from 2019-2024, and his reunion with Joe Brady gives him the potential to regain a 25%+ target share, which would equate to 125-150 Josh Allen targets.”

“The Bears shipped D.J. Moore out of Chicago to Buffalo just before the start of free agency. Moore is now set to play with the best quarterback talent of his career in Josh Allen. Entering his age-29 season and coming off a down year, Moore has bust potential. However, he is still a player I'd be eager to take at his current ADP with him set as the WR1 in an Allen-led offense.”