Garrett Wilson
vs Rashee Rice

“Among wide receivers who have run 50+ routes this season, Garrett Wilson ranks 10th in targets per route run versus man coverage (0.38), eighth in yards per route run (3.95) and second in fantasy points per route run. Fingers crossed.”

“Garrett Wilson gets another opportunity to attack a defense with one of the league’s highest man-coverage rates. Wilson has cooked opposing defensive backs and is separating at a high rate. According to the Fantasy Points Data Suite, he’s averaging 3.95 yards per route run and ranks 20th among qualifying receivers in separation, with a 35% win rate against man coverage.”

“Garrett Wilson will vacuum up the targets in his absence.”

“According to the Fantasy Points Data Suite 2.0, Wilson has rock-solid or better marks of a 21.5% target share, 0.24 targets per route run (TPRR), 33.3% first-read rate and 37.5% air yard share this season. Mitchell’s 25% first-read rate trails behind Wilson’s. However, Mitchell is pacing the Jets in target share (23.1%), targets per route run (0.26 TPRR) among players with at least 30 routes and air yard share (59.4%).”

“Zack Rosenblatt of The Athletic pointed out that Wilson led all Jets receivers with 42 targets during camp — the next closest was Adonai Mitchell with 27. I don’t think Smith will suddenly find the fountain of youth, but if he plays with remote levels of competence, volume alone should drive Wilson into low-end WR1 territory without issues.”

“Wilson is cheaper, his QB situation is better, and his early schedule is the second-easiest. This might finally be the year I’m buying.”

“his counterpart for the Jets, Garrett Wilson, is coming off a much less severe season-ending injury. Potentially playing with the best QB of his career in Geno Smith.”

“Garrett Wilson’s supporters will kindly point out that even in a horrible situation last season, he was able to produce at an incredibly high clip before eventually succumbing to a knee injury after Week 6. Fair point, but a deep dive into why he was producing is troubling.”

“Honorable mention: DeVonta Smith and Luther Burden .” – Mark Ringo ( Sleepers and Busts ) Garrett Wilson (WR – NYJ) “ Garrett Wilson is an elite talent stuck on a team lacking elite quarterback play.”

“Watching him live, Rice looks slow and stiff as he gets through his routes. Rice grabbed seven of his nine targets, but he should’ve had the other two as well. One of them was a drop that turned into a Miami interception.”

“Rashee Rice was never as talented as his fantasy production would indicate. He racked up points over the last few years thanks to the Chiefs’ half-functional offense. Now that Kansas City has a real running game, Rice’s PPR scam days seem over.”

“Rashee Rice ‘s expected fantasy points is a woeful 5.6 per game.”

“Rashee Rice and Xavier Worthy . Rice has since turned heads for the wrong reasons in training camp, looking slow. Meanwhile, Worthy sprained his shoulder in early August and returned to practice one week later .”

“Rashee Rice (WR – KC) Unfortunately, Rice has been in the news for all the wrong reasons this offseason. He served a 30-day sentence for violating his probation.”

“Second, he hasn’t been on the field enough over the last two seasons to justify his current average draft position (ADP), which hasn’t accounted for several factors. Currently ranked as the WR13 in expert consensus rankings (ECR), Rice is being treated as a low-end WR1.”

“3.02: Rashee Rice (WR – KC) Probably the most uncomfortable pick you can make this year is Rashee Rice because you have no idea what you are going to get with him. But Rice’s upside is through the roof.”

“Rice has commanded targets every time the Chiefs have given him a full-time role. Season Period Target Share 2023 Final 10 games with full-time snaps, including playoffs 24% 2024 Three complete games 31.5% 2025 Eight games 26.5%”

“In eight games last season, Rice recorded: 78 targets 53 receptions 571 receiving yards Five receiving TDs 20 rushing yards One rushing TD That comes out to 9.8 targets and 15.5 half-PPR points per game.”