Garrett Wilson
vs D'Andre Swift

“Among wide receivers who have run 50+ routes this season, Garrett Wilson ranks 10th in targets per route run versus man coverage (0.38), eighth in yards per route run (3.95) and second in fantasy points per route run. Fingers crossed.”

“Garrett Wilson gets another opportunity to attack a defense with one of the league’s highest man-coverage rates. Wilson has cooked opposing defensive backs and is separating at a high rate. According to the Fantasy Points Data Suite, he’s averaging 3.95 yards per route run and ranks 20th among qualifying receivers in separation, with a 35% win rate against man coverage.”

“Garrett Wilson will vacuum up the targets in his absence.”

“According to the Fantasy Points Data Suite 2.0, Wilson has rock-solid or better marks of a 21.5% target share, 0.24 targets per route run (TPRR), 33.3% first-read rate and 37.5% air yard share this season. Mitchell’s 25% first-read rate trails behind Wilson’s. However, Mitchell is pacing the Jets in target share (23.1%), targets per route run (0.26 TPRR) among players with at least 30 routes and air yard share (59.4%).”

“Zack Rosenblatt of The Athletic pointed out that Wilson led all Jets receivers with 42 targets during camp — the next closest was Adonai Mitchell with 27. I don’t think Smith will suddenly find the fountain of youth, but if he plays with remote levels of competence, volume alone should drive Wilson into low-end WR1 territory without issues.”

“Wilson is cheaper, his QB situation is better, and his early schedule is the second-easiest. This might finally be the year I’m buying.”

“his counterpart for the Jets, Garrett Wilson, is coming off a much less severe season-ending injury. Potentially playing with the best QB of his career in Geno Smith.”

“Garrett Wilson’s supporters will kindly point out that even in a horrible situation last season, he was able to produce at an incredibly high clip before eventually succumbing to a knee injury after Week 6. Fair point, but a deep dive into why he was producing is troubling.”

“Honorable mention: DeVonta Smith and Luther Burden .” – Mark Ringo ( Sleepers and Busts ) Garrett Wilson (WR – NYJ) “ Garrett Wilson is an elite talent stuck on a team lacking elite quarterback play.”

“Swift will continue to be a fringe RB1 moving forward, especially with Kyle Monangai set to miss time with a thumb injury and a case of turf toe. All hail King Swift! That’s it for this week, FootClan.”

“Still, Swift’s ECR ranking of RB13 is a bit too rich for me. He’s a fine back and as consistent as they come, but Swift has never finished that high positionally in his six NFL seasons.”

“Swift had the better role and scored 17.7 half-PPR points per game with 17.75 expected half-PPR points per game, per the Fantasy Points Data Suite 2.0. Monangai averaged 9.77 half-PPR points per game and 7.29 expected half-PPR points per game. According to Jahnke, Swift had a 61.1% snap share versus 38.9% for Monangai over the first six drives, but Swift lost a fumble on the sixth drive.”

“Among 43 qualifying backs, Swift is eighth in yards after contact per attempt and tenth in missed tackle rate. Swift has 14 of the team’s 20 running back red zone carries while playing 64.1% of the snaps with a 51.4% rushing share, a 35.7% route share, and a 9.2% target share. Swift should have another strong stat line this week against a Jets’ run defense that has allowed the second-highest rushing success rate, the tenth-most yards before contact per attempt, and the third-highest missed tackle rate.”

“Among 43 qualifying backs, Swift ranks sixth in yards after contact per attempt and eighth in missed tackle rate. Swift should have success again this week. Philly has allowed the ninth-highest explosive run rate, the fifth-most yards after contact per attempt, and the fifth-highest missed tackle rate.”

““ D’Andre Swift’s fantasy outlook is usually pretty rosy with the potent Bears’ offense and a weaker defensive opponent, but not this week. The injuries to Caleb Williams and backup Tyson Bagent have put a dark cloud over the Windy City. Chicago might have to go with veteran Case Keenum against a stout Eagles’ defense, led by their star linemen Jordan Davis and Jalen Carter .”

“D’Andre Swift has one of the largest deltas (12%) in his TPRR and his True Target Rate (factoring in pass blocks).”