Drake Maye
vs Luther Burden
2026 · Week 5 · Half-PPR
The crowd’s lean
Week 5No weekly comparisons recorded for this pair.
This week
WEEK 5Maye
vs LV
Oct 11 · 1:00 PM ET
Burden
at GB
Oct 11 · 1:00 PM ET
19.9
Projected
10.6
Projected
Half-PPR
projection
2026 season, per game
2025 season, per game
Full game log & past seasons +
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | ATT | CMP | YD | TD | INT | RuYD | RuTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | — | 12.8 | QB23 | 33 | 23 | 178 | 1 | 3 | 47 | — |
2 | — | 9.0 | QB25 | 22 | 14 | 208 | — | 1 | 17 | — |
3 | — | 5.8 | QB32 | 25 | 14 | 199 | — | 2 | 18 | — |
4 | — | 27.2 | QB1 | 37 | 22 | 269 | 3 | 1 | 54 | — |
Earlier seasons (2025, 2024)
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | ATT | CMP | YD | TD | INT | RuYD | RuTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | LV | 16.3 | QB17 | 46 | 30 | 287 | 1 | 1 | 11 | — |
2 | MIA | 26.3 | QB4 | 23 | 19 | 230 | 2 | — | 31 | 1 |
3 | PIT | 20.2 | QB7 | 37 | 28 | 268 | 2 | 1 | 45 | — |
4 | CAR | 23.2 | QB8 | 17 | 14 | 203 | 2 | — | 11 | 1 |
5 | BUF | 12.1 | QB25 | 30 | 22 | 273 | — | — | 12 | — |
6 | NO | 27.2 | QB2 | 26 | 18 | 261 | 3 | — | 28 | — |
7 | TEN | 23.1 | QB10 | 23 | 21 | 222 | 2 | — | 62 | — |
8 | CLE | 27.3 | QB2 | 24 | 18 | 282 | 3 | 1 | 50 | — |
9 | ATL | 17.4 | QB16 | 29 | 19 | 259 | 2 | 1 | 20 | — |
10 | TB | 19.1 | QB11 | 31 | 16 | 270 | 2 | 1 | 13 | — |
11 | NYJ | 15.4 | QB12 | 34 | 25 | 281 | 1 | — | 2 | — |
12 | CIN | 17.0 | QB12 | 35 | 22 | 294 | 1 | 1 | 22 | — |
13 | NYG | 20.5 | QB10 | 31 | 24 | 282 | 2 | — | 12 | — |
14 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
15 | BUF | 21.5 | QB13 | 23 | 14 | 155 | — | 1 | 43 | 2 |
16 | BAL | 24.7 | QB7 | 44 | 31 | 380 | 2 | 1 | 25 | — |
17 | NYJ | 32.4 | QB2 | 21 | 19 | 256 | 5 | — | 22 | — |
18 | MIA | 15.7 | QB16 | 18 | 14 | 191 | 1 | — | 41 | — |
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | ATT | CMP | YD | TD | INT | RuYD | RuTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
3 | NYJ | 2.1 | QB36 | 8 | 4 | 22 | — | — | 12 | — |
4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
6 | HOU | 21.5 | QB10 | 33 | 20 | 243 | 3 | 2 | 38 | — |
7 | JAX | 20.8 | QB7 | 37 | 26 | 276 | 2 | — | 18 | — |
8 | NYJ | 11.5 | QB27 | 6 | 3 | 23 | — | — | 46 | 1 |
9 | TEN | 17.7 | QB18 | 41 | 29 | 206 | 1 | 2 | 95 | — |
10 | CHI | 12.8 | QB16 | 25 | 15 | 184 | 1 | 1 | 24 | — |
11 | LAR | 19.0 | QB13 | 39 | 29 | 282 | 2 | 1 | 27 | — |
12 | MIA | 14.5 | QB17 | 37 | 22 | 222 | 1 | 1 | 26 | — |
13 | IND | 20.4 | QB10 | 30 | 24 | 238 | 1 | 1 | 59 | — |
14 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
15 | ARI | 18.5 | QB11 | 23 | 19 | 202 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 1 |
16 | BUF | 18.4 | QB16 | 36 | 22 | 261 | 2 | 1 | 30 | — |
17 | LAC | 9.9 | QB27 | 22 | 12 | 117 | 1 | — | 32 | — |
18 | BUF | 0.0 | QB44 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | TGT | REC | YD | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | — | 7.0 | WR42 | 5 | 5 | 63 | — |
2 | — | 4.7 | WR66 | 7 | 3 | 32 | — |
3 | — | 16.3 | WR15 | 11 | 7 | 61 | 1 |
4 | — | 9.4 | WR40 | 6 | 4 | 63 | — |
Earlier seasons (2025)
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | TGT | REC | YD | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | MIN | 0.2 | WR118 | 1 | 1 | -3 | — |
2 | DET | 1.0 | WR115 | 2 | 1 | 5 | — |
3 | DAL | 18.3 | WR6 | 3 | 3 | 101 | 1 |
4 | LV | 0.6 | WR110 | 2 | 2 | -4 | — |
5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
6 | WAS | 7.1 | WR36 | 4 | 4 | 51 | — |
7 | NO | 2.6 | WR78 | 2 | 1 | 22 | — |
8 | BAL | 0.4 | WR93 | 1 | 1 | -1 | — |
9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
10 | NYG | 6.6 | WR41 | 3 | 3 | 51 | — |
11 | MIN | 4.2 | WR57 | 5 | 3 | 27 | — |
12 | PIT | 7.6 | WR35 | 5 | 3 | 46 | — |
13 | PHI | 5.6 | WR47 | 6 | 4 | 33 | — |
14 | GB | 9.0 | WR28 | 6 | 4 | 67 | — |
15 | CLE | 11.4 | WR26 | 7 | 6 | 84 | — |
16 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
17 | SF | 23.8 | WR1 | 9 | 8 | 138 | 1 |
18 | DET | 6.0 | WR38 | 4 | 3 | 35 | — |
Expert takes
“Now Maye gets a home matchup against the Raiders, giving him a chance to build on last week’s performance. At just $6,300 on DraftKings, he looks like an appealing value with the upside of finishing among the highest-scoring quarterbacks on the slate.”
Frank Ammirante· Oct 10, 2026“Last week, among 32 qualifying quarterbacks, Maye was 17th in yards per attempt, 12th in passing success rate, and 20th in highly accurate throw rate. The Raiders have been a mixed bag as a pass defense, allowing the 13th-highest passing success rate, the fifth-lowest EPA per dropback, and ranking 16th in yards per attempt. The heavy inclusion of motion won’t be as big of a cheat code for Maye and the Pats this week, though.”
FantasyPros Staff· Oct 8, 2026“He completed 59.5% of his passes, lost a fumble, and had an interception (not his fault), but Maye made up ground with 3 passing touchdowns, a two-point conversion, and 54 rushing yards to get back in QB1 graces. I even benched Maye in a league last week. And while I would have liked those points (nobody cares, but I still narrowly won the matchup), it was a major step in a positive direction for using Maye since he has a strong upcoming schedule.”
Rich Hribar· Oct 7, 2026
See 11 more
“Drake Maye Is NOT an Auto Start Maye finished with 199 passing yards, two INTs and a lost fumble, bringing him to seven giveaways through three games. His depleted supporting cast helps explain the struggles, but explanations do not score fantasy points. In one-QB leagues, streaming alternatives deserve a look.”
Chris Cash· Sep 28, 2026“Maye is another option I keep coming back to. His Footballers ceiling is nearly identical to Burrow’s, and Maye/Doubs with Bowers on the other side gives me another combination worth building out . I would compare the complete stacks before deciding which QB I prefer.”
Chris Cash· Oct 10, 2026“Buffalo Bills Outside of a wild tipped interception, Patriots QB Drake Maye caught the good end of variance in this game. He got lucky on a few would-be fumbles and two of his touchdown passes were spectacular catches by his receiver. But on the whole, this was an important bounce-back game for Maye.”
Ethan Woodie· Oct 6, 2026“( Mark Daniels ) Patriots Patriots QB Drake Maye had seven turnovers so far this season, but his three touchdown passes, including one to WR Efton Chism , helped them escape with a win over Buffalo. “We definitely have to build off it ,” Maye said in his postgame press conference . “This is relieving a little bit. . . .”
Wyatt Grindley· Oct 5, 2026“On Sunday, Maye put up 27.2 fantasy points, nearly matching his total from the previous three weeks combined. He’s currently the top fantasy quarterback for the week and will try to keep that momentum going in upcoming contests against the Las Vegas Raiders, New York Jets and Chicago Bears. Heat Index: 4 Running Back”
Jordan Woodson· Oct 5, 2026“Patriots Patriots HC Mike Vrabel spoke about trying to have more control over the offense and making better decisions, rather than forcing the play as QB Drake Maye did in the team’s recent loss. “I think sometimes, we really want to make a good score, right? Sometimes we’re so focused on it, we try to choke the life out of the golf club, and we’re squeezing it so damn tight that the ball has no choice but to go sideways,” Vrabel said on sports radio WEEI, via ESPN .”
Wyatt Grindley· Sep 30, 2026“Drake Maye is legitimately playing as bad as any starting quarterback in the NFL. What happened to the former AFC Champion and QB2 overall last year? I’m not in full-blown panic mode in dynasty yet, but I’m ready to jump ship in redraft.”
Jim Moorman· Sep 29, 2026“Jacksonville Jaguars Drake Maye is playing awful football right now. There’s no way to sugarcoat it. The 2025 runner-up MVP has committed seven turnovers in three games and melted down once again against the Jags.”
Ethan Woodie· Sep 29, 2026“Maye has managed just 21.6 total fantasy points through three weeks.”
FantasyPros Staff· Sep 29, 2026“Last season, the Patriots averaged 250 passing yards per game — Drake Maye is averaging just 179 passing yards so far in 2026.”
Elliott Troop· Sep 26, 2026“Duds QBs Drake Maye has taken a noticeable step down from last season’s fantasy production and cannot be counted on as a must-start without AJ Brown .”
Jordan Pullett· Sep 25, 2026
“Burden has a 23.5% target share with 1.95 YPRR, six red zone targets (leads the team), zero deep targets, and a 32.8% first-read share (leads the team). This week, he faces a Jets’ secondary that has the fifth-highest two-high rate in the NFL (65.4%). Against two high, Burden is second on the team with a 21% target-per-route run rate with only 0.79 YPRR.”
Derek Brown· Oct 1, 2026“Bagent/Burden is worth building out, then comparing the whole lineup against a Brissett or Goff version rather than assuming cheaper is better.”
Chris Cash· Oct 10, 2026“Per Fantasy Points Data Suite, Burden has seen a 31% first-read target rate (WR13). His biggest issues right now are route participation and Kalif Raymond . The upside still exists in a Ben Johnson offense, and I am willing to buy at a discount from a manager who has already lost faith.”
Joshua Poniatowski· Sep 27, 2026
See 8 more
“Burden has played 55% of his snaps from the slot, but he has been targeted on only 12.5% of his slot routes (0.75 yards per route), compared with 32% of his routes outside (2.84 yards per route). The Eagles obviously have awesome boundary corners in Quinyon Mitchell and Riq Woolen , so it is hard to play through Burden's splits outside. Philadelphia has allowed 10 catches for 150 yards and 2 touchdowns to slot receivers so far, which likely plays a role in adding Kenny Moore this week and potentially giving them more flexibility to move Cooper DeJean around more like they did last week.”
Rich Hribar· Sep 24, 2026“Luther Burden steps into a much larger workload in 2026. Last year (including the playoffs), Burden had only five games in which he played at least 53% of the snaps. In those games, he had a 15.5% target share and 61.2 receiving yards per game, which is concerning, but his per-route metrics were outstanding, with 2.30 yards per route run, a 23.6% first-read share, and 0.120 first downs per route run.”
FantasyPros Staff· Sep 12, 2026“Luther Burden was just as buzzy as Parker Washington within the fantasy community this summer. Like Washington, Burden did some things late last season that whetted our appetite for a full breakout in 2026.”
Pat Fitzmaurice· Sep 9, 2026“Luther Burden of the Chicago Bears is my pick for league-winner at receiver. With DJ Moore now in Buffalo, Burden steps into a much larger role alongside Rome Odunze and should command a significant target share in an improving Bears offense.”
FantasyPros Staff· Sep 2, 2026“Shifting Burden into this alpha role makes perfect sense. Burden is an elite YAC monster, and Ben Johnson would use him as an offensive weapon all over the formation. In a record-breaking year, Burden’s ceiling isn’t just a low-end WR1 – it is an overall top-5 standard/PPR finish fueled by manufactured touches and explosive chunk plays.”
Nate Henry· Aug 28, 2026“The hype around Burden has gotten out of control. He averaged fewer PPR fantasy points per game than Theo Wease Jr. last season (8.6 vs. 8.5).”
Mike Fanelli· Aug 14, 2026“Burden averaged 13.9 YPC, which is high when considering his low aDOT. That's attributable to the fact that Burden was a YAC machine in 2025, averaging 7.1 YAC per reception, which ranked 3rd in the NFL among WRs.”
Kemper Trull· Jul 10, 2026“Burden finished 2025 with a paltry 12.8% target share on the season. This number obviously grew throughout the season, as his snap share increased, but that's still an uninspiring number. Better, though, were his Team Reception % (16%), Team Receiving Yards % (19%), and team WR Points % (26.9%), which shows how efficient Burden was when targeted.”
Kemper Trull· Jul 10, 2026
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