D'Andre Swift
vs Emeka Egbuka

“Swift will continue to be a fringe RB1 moving forward, especially with Kyle Monangai set to miss time with a thumb injury and a case of turf toe. All hail King Swift! That’s it for this week, FootClan.”

“Still, Swift’s ECR ranking of RB13 is a bit too rich for me. He’s a fine back and as consistent as they come, but Swift has never finished that high positionally in his six NFL seasons.”

“Swift had the better role and scored 17.7 half-PPR points per game with 17.75 expected half-PPR points per game, per the Fantasy Points Data Suite 2.0. Monangai averaged 9.77 half-PPR points per game and 7.29 expected half-PPR points per game. According to Jahnke, Swift had a 61.1% snap share versus 38.9% for Monangai over the first six drives, but Swift lost a fumble on the sixth drive.”

“Among 43 qualifying backs, Swift is eighth in yards after contact per attempt and tenth in missed tackle rate. Swift has 14 of the team’s 20 running back red zone carries while playing 64.1% of the snaps with a 51.4% rushing share, a 35.7% route share, and a 9.2% target share. Swift should have another strong stat line this week against a Jets’ run defense that has allowed the second-highest rushing success rate, the tenth-most yards before contact per attempt, and the third-highest missed tackle rate.”

“Among 43 qualifying backs, Swift ranks sixth in yards after contact per attempt and eighth in missed tackle rate. Swift should have success again this week. Philly has allowed the ninth-highest explosive run rate, the fifth-most yards after contact per attempt, and the fifth-highest missed tackle rate.”

““ D’Andre Swift’s fantasy outlook is usually pretty rosy with the potent Bears’ offense and a weaker defensive opponent, but not this week. The injuries to Caleb Williams and backup Tyson Bagent have put a dark cloud over the Windy City. Chicago might have to go with veteran Case Keenum against a stout Eagles’ defense, led by their star linemen Jordan Davis and Jalen Carter .”

“D’Andre Swift has one of the largest deltas (12%) in his TPRR and his True Target Rate (factoring in pass blocks).”

“Egbuka has yet to log a week higher than WR30 through four games, and his top-down role as a potential target hog hasn't materialized in his second season. His 19.8% target share ranks WR29, and he has been targeted on 17.4% of his routes. Egbuka is a WR3/FLEX in the offense as it stands .”

“Egbuka has yet to reach 65 receiving yards in a game this season, and with Baker Mayfield potentially sidelined for an extended stretch, an already underwhelming passing environment just got worse. He’s still involved enough to remain fantasy relevant, but “relevant” isn’t exactly what you were hoping for when you drafted him. Consider Egbuka a low-ceiling FLEX option until he gives us a reason to believe otherwise.”

“Emeka Egbuka’s Advanced Metrics The bigger concern is that Egbuka’s production — and dynasty value — is unlikely to rebound in the short term.”

“Two weeks in, it doesn’t look like Emeka Egbuka will take a huge step forward in his second season. His 18% target share and 31% air yards share are both fine, but they aren’t the numbers that managers betting on a breakout were hoping for. Especially given that Tampa Bay’s offense is struggling, I’d move Egbuka while his WR2 average draft position (ADP) is still fresh enough to do the heavy lifting.”

“Baker Mayfield could lean heavily on Godwin if Emeka Egbuka is being followed by DJ Turner all day.”

“Emeka Egbuka is on track to play on Sunday after missing time in training camp with turf toe.”

“Round 7: Emeka Egbuka (WR – TB) While he’ll compete with Chris Godwin for targets, Emeka Egbuka is who I’d consider to be the No.”

“Emeka Egbuka (WR – TB) offers real top-five receiver upside if his hot start from last season extends across a full year, positioned as his team’s clear top receiver under a new offensive coordinator as long as the starting quarterback stays healthy.”

“Emeka Egbuka ‘s rookie season was a rollercoaster, but the underlying usage points toward a major Year 2 breakout in Tampa Bay. The former Ohio State standout earned elite target volume for a rookie and looked like a future star early in the season before injuries and shifting usage slowed his momentum late in the year (top-10 WR from Weeks 1-11). With Mike Evans gone, Egbuka is positioned for a much larger role in Zac Robinson’s offense.”

“Emeka Egbuka (WR – TB) Emeka Egbuka had a 23.5% target share last season, which led the Buccaneers”

“With Mike Evans gone, Egbuka is positioned for a much larger role in Zac Robinson’s offense. He is one of the more appealing second-year breakout WR candidates in fantasy football.”