Christian Watson
vs Rome Odunze

“Watson has been the biggest beneficiary of quarterback Jordan Love ‘s propensity to look deep downfield, culminating in his 6/143/2 performance on Sunday against the Chicago Bears. Though his catch totals will never rival Justin Jefferson or Ja’Marr Chase , Watson more than makes up for it with his freakish size/speed combination and ability to box out defenders on downfield looks. Watson made several highlight-reel catches and is well on his way to his first 1,000-yard season if he can stay on the field.”

“CHI | DraftKings: $6,400/FanDuel: $7,000 Christian Watson is one of my favorite wide receiver plays on this slate, especially if you’re already using Jordan Love at quarterback. The Packers have leaned heavily on their passing game this season. Watson gives Love a dangerous downfield weapon who can rack up fantasy points quickly .”

“Watson had only three targets, the fourth-most on the team, totaling two fewer than MarShawn Lloyd . Furthermore, Matthew Golden and Tucker Kraft led Green Bay with seven targets apiece. Even with leading the Packers in receiving yards (47), Watson scored only 7.7 fantasy points against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.”

“Again, this two-game sample size for Washington is nothing to panic about, as Ja’Marr Chase , George Pickens , and Christian Watson are all within 1% of Washington’s 16% target share. This is just a reminder that Washington is not a tier-one WR in dynasty. Parker Washington has 4 REC in his last two games.”

“Knowing the current situation of Christian Watson , would you trade him away straight up for Matthew Golden ? – natedawg205 Answer: Oh look, another BOAT question, although this time we’re going from the 25-meter yacht to…well, a 20-meter one. The Ballers have waxed lyrical about both of these players this past week, and although Andy may have recommended trading Christian Watson away, I sure as heck would not advise packing him off in return for his teammate, even if Golden has seen more looks from Jordan Love on the year. Watson has more receptions (17-15), more yards (284-253), and most importantly…more TDs (4-1).”

“Christian Watson scored four TDs in three weeks, and a dip in TDs would be detrimental to Watson’s fantasy production.”

“Christian Watson caught 7 of 10 targets for 96 yards and a touchdown — Green Bay’s opening score of the game. His share of the offense fell sharply week over week, but that’s because Matthew Golden’s target count exploded and the team threw 20 more times than last week. Target share fell sharply (33.3% → 18.9% adjusted) even though his raw target count only dropped by one (11 → 10).”

“Christian Watson (TRUST) Watson has opened the season with games of 6-147-2 (8 targets) and 4-41-1 (11 targets). Watson has played 82.6% and 93.8% of the dropbacks in the first two games, with target shares of 20% and 37.9%. With Jayden Reed going down last week, this passing tree became more concentrated.”

“Watson played 77.4% of the snaps, ran 81.4% of the routes, and had a 19% target share. Second-year wideout Golden had 85.5% of the snaps, ran 88.4% of the routes, and had a 28.6% target share. Reed was last with 58.1% of the snaps, ran 67.4% of the routes, and had a 16.7% target share.”

“Per Next Gen Stats…Odunze led the team in routes (31), catches (6, tied with Colston Loveland) and yards (94) for his best outing of the young season. He doesn’t lead the team in targets or catches this season, but does lead in yards (233) and air yards share (35.9%). Luther Burden caught 4 of 6 official targets (7 true) for 63 yards and carried once for 11 yards (a 17.6% official/18.4% adjusted target share.”

“Odunze has only a 13.3% target share with 1.72 YPRR, two red zone targets, five deep targets, and a 13.1% first-read share. This week, he faces a Jets’ secondary that has the fifth-highest two-high rate in the NFL (65.4%). Against two-high, Odunze’s target-per-route run rate drops from 18% to 14%, and his yards per route run dips from 2.00 to 1.38.”

“Rome Odunze has devolved into the “sacrificial X” for the Bears. He’s behind Luther Burden III and (shocker) Kalif Raymond in targets. I still have hope for him and Colston Loveland , but it’s quickly fading.”

“On top of that, Odunze has played 79.8% of his snaps out wide, where he will lock up with Mitchell and Woolen. Factoring all of that in, Odunze is a touchdown-dependent WR4/FLEX. Kalif Raymond Raymond still is not going away.”

“In the meantime, his departure and the terrible weather overshadowed an important development: Another week removed from a preseason calf strain, Rome Odunze was the Bears’ clear No. 1 WR against the Vikings. Odunze’s 81% route share was 10% higher than that of the next-highest player, Kalif Raymond .”

“Rome Odunze was on his way to a breakout season before he sustained a foot fracture. In Weeks 1-12, he was the WR21 in fantasy points per game despite dealing with a 68.3% catchable target rate (96th out of 127 qualifying receivers). During that stretch of games, among that sample of receivers, he was 21st in target share (22.4%), 20th in receiving yards per game (59.4), 27th in yards per route run (1.95), 25th in first-read share (27.2%), and 16th in first-downs per route run (0.107).”

“Rome Odunze (WR – CHI) After missing several games last year because of a foot injury, Rome Odunze is now dealing with another lower-body injury.”

“Rome Odunze (CHI) Odunze got off to one of the hottest starts last year.”