Carnell Tate
vs Joe Burrow
2026 · Week 5 · Half-PPR
The crowd’s lean
Week 5No weekly comparisons recorded for this pair.
This week
WEEK 5Tate
vs HOU
Oct 11 · 1:00 PM ET
Questionable
Burrow
at MIA
Oct 11 · 1:00 PM ET
8.2
Projected
20.6
Projected
Half-PPR
projection
2026 season, per game
2025 season, per game
Full game log & past seasons +
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | TGT | REC | YD | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | — | 5.8 | WR56 | 6 | 4 | 38 | — |
2 | — | 4.2 | WR70 | 5 | 3 | 27 | — |
3 | — | 8.8 | WR40 | 9 | 6 | 58 | — |
4 | — | 17.0 | WR11 | 12 | 9 | 145 | — |
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | ATT | CMP | YD | TD | INT | RuYD | RuTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | — | 15.2 | QB20 | 35 | 25 | 254 | 1 | 1 | 20 | — |
2 | — | 16.2 | QB15 | 31 | 20 | 207 | 2 | — | -1 | — |
3 | — | 22.6 | QB10 | 37 | 28 | 282 | 3 | — | 13 | — |
4 | — | 25.7 | QB2 | 54 | 39 | 428 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 1 |
Earlier seasons (2025, 2024)
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | ATT | CMP | YD | TD | INT | RuYD | RuTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | CLE | 8.8 | QB28 | 23 | 14 | 113 | 1 | — | 3 | — |
2 | JAX | 7.0 | QB30 | 13 | 7 | 76 | 1 | — | — | — |
3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
6 | BYE | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
12 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
13 | BAL | 19.2 | QB11 | 46 | 24 | 261 | 2 | — | 8 | — |
14 | BUF | 25.4 | QB3 | 36 | 25 | 284 | 4 | 2 | — | — |
15 | BAL | 7.5 | QB30 | 39 | 25 | 225 | — | 2 | 5 | — |
16 | MIA | 29.0 | QB5 | 32 | 25 | 309 | 4 | — | 6 | — |
17 | ARI | 20.4 | QB11 | 31 | 24 | 305 | 2 | — | 2 | — |
18 | CLE | 22.1 | QB5 | 39 | 29 | 236 | 3 | 1 | 17 | — |
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | ATT | CMP | YD | TD | INT | RuYD | RuTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | NE | 8.1 | QB29 | 29 | 21 | 164 | — | — | 15 | — |
2 | KC | 17.2 | QB10 | 36 | 23 | 258 | 2 | — | 9 | — |
3 | WAS | 25.4 | QB7 | 38 | 29 | 324 | 3 | — | 4 | — |
4 | CAR | 17.3 | QB10 | 31 | 22 | 232 | 2 | 1 | 10 | — |
5 | BAL | 34.8 | QB2 | 39 | 30 | 392 | 5 | 1 | 1 | — |
6 | NYG | 19.8 | QB13 | 28 | 19 | 208 | — | — | 55 | 1 |
7 | CLE | 14.9 | QB16 | 25 | 15 | 181 | 2 | — | -3 | — |
8 | PHI | 13.9 | QB23 | 37 | 26 | 234 | 1 | 1 | 15 | — |
9 | LV | 30.1 | QB1 | 39 | 27 | 251 | 5 | 1 | 11 | — |
10 | BAL | 33.7 | QB1 | 56 | 34 | 428 | 4 | — | 6 | — |
11 | LAC | 29.0 | QB2 | 50 | 28 | 356 | 3 | — | 28 | — |
12 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
13 | PIT | 20.3 | QB11 | 38 | 28 | 309 | 3 | 1 | 9 | — |
14 | DAL | 25.6 | QB3 | 44 | 33 | 369 | 3 | 1 | -2 | — |
15 | TEN | 18.8 | QB10 | 37 | 26 | 271 | 3 | 2 | — | — |
16 | CLE | 22.0 | QB11 | 30 | 23 | 252 | 3 | — | 19 | — |
17 | DEN | 37.0 | QB1 | 49 | 39 | 412 | 3 | — | 25 | 1 |
18 | PIT | 14.0 | QB18 | 46 | 37 | 277 | 1 | 1 | -1 | — |
Expert takes
“Carnell Tate was added to the injury report on Thursday with a back injury, but returned to a full practice on Friday.”
Jordan Pullett· Oct 10, 2026“Over the last two weeks, Tate has notched a 58.7% air yards share, second-best among all receivers, along with a 33.3% target share, good for fifth-best. This coincides with Cam Ward ‘s deep-ball rate, which was 8.3% and 6.5% in the last two games, respectively, compared to 3.1% and 0% in the first two, as the Titans are emphasizing getting the rookie involved. Ward continues to be a roller coaster week-to-week, but Tate displayed his ability to separate downfield and pluck passes in traffic against the Ravens’ defense.”
Chad Workman· Oct 6, 2026“If Tate can continue building chemistry with second-year QB Cam Ward, the Titans might unlock their offense after all. 32 — Miami Dolphins (0-4, —) Last week: L 10-15 vs. Minnesota Vikings Credit to Miami’s defense, as they kept this one close.”
Ethan Woodie· Oct 6, 2026
See 8 more
““ Carnell Tate is my favorite buy-low because I think his role is developing faster than his fantasy production. He caught six of nine targets for 58 yards against the Giants, and I want to buy that involvement before a touchdown makes the box score more exciting. I have Tate at WR29 for the rest of the season, compared with WR42 in FantasyPros’ consensus.”
FantasyPros Staff· Sep 30, 2026“Carnell Tate might end up being a product of a bad situation with Cam Ward struggling so far, and he can stay on your bench until something changes.”
Jordan Pullett· Sep 25, 2026“Tate has been given as much opportunity as any rookie WR in football, as he leads all rookie WRs in target share.”
Jordan Pullett· Sep 23, 2026“Carnell Tate – 5 targets, 3 rec The Titans drafted Tate fourth overall in the NFL Draft, but through the first two weeks, they aren’t deploying him as an alpha. To be fair, his 11 targets this season account for a 24% target share. He’ll need improved QB play from Cam Ward and a better offensive environment all around to reach his potential for fantasy.”
Aaron Larson· Sep 22, 2026“Ron Chenoy-Imagn Images Question #2 – Season-Long Strategy (Rookie WR Special) Very simple question… Carnell Tate – are you feeling the pantsless breeze just rolling him as a WR1, or do we need to talk about this? – soulcoffin Answer: Drafted with the fourth-overall pick in this year’s NFL Draft back in April, the Ohio State product finds himself in a less-than-ideal scenario on a passing offense that ranked dead last in TDs, 30th in completion %, and 29th in yards through the air…but those numbers do go some way to explaining why the Titans had the 1.04 in the first place.”
PaulMarnie· Sep 12, 2026“Drafting Carnell Tate is a bet on talent and Cam Ward’s ability to take off in his second season with Brian Daboll calling plays.”
FantasyPros Staff· Sep 4, 2026“While Carnell Tate will see a significant workload, Robinson should lead the Titans in targets and receptions. Chris Godwin Jr. (WR – TB) | ADP: 100.8 ( WR 40) Unfortunately, Chris Godwin Jr. has struggled to stay healthy the past few seasons, missing 18 games in 2024 and 2025 due to injury.”
Mike Fanelli· Aug 25, 2026“Carnell Tate (WR – TEN) Currently the WR14 in dynasty ECR, ahead of several more established veteran names, one analyst believes this is close to as good as Tate’s value will ever be, even after ranking him as his own WR1 in this year’s rookie class.”
FantasyPros Staff· Aug 9, 2026
“Burrow is projected for around 19.6 points in an offense that’s throwing the ball 36-plus times a game. When a quarterback is that entrenched as the engine of his offense, a tough matchup on paper isn’t enough to scare me off. Burrow’s also sitting in a game with a 27-point implied team total for Cincinnati, which tells me the market expects Cincinnati to move the ball regardless of what Jacksonville’s defensive numbers say.”
Matty Kiwoom· Oct 1, 2026“The Bengals’ run game has struggled this season, and Joe Burrow has had at least 31 attempts in every game.”
Tera Roberts· Oct 11, 2026“Joe Burrow finished as the QB2 after throwing for 428 passing yards against the Jacksonville Jaguars .”
Jordan Pullett· Oct 10, 2026
See 12 more
“Bengals Bengals QB Joe Burrow had 58 passing attempts in the loss to the Jaguars on Sunday, but feels that the team can throw it even more going forward.”
Wyatt Grindley· Oct 5, 2026“Burrow had an underwhelming opener, but he’s tallied 489 passing yards (244.5 per game), 7.45 adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A), five passing touchdowns, and zero interceptions in two subsequent contests, scoring 19.88 DraftKings points per game and 19.88 FanDuel points per game in the last two weeks. The Bengals lost a shootout last week, and the Jaguars have the firepower to push Burrow into a ceiling performance through the air. His top passing-game weapon will be featured in the core studs.”
Josh Shepardson· Oct 1, 2026“Joe Burrow may not be a must-start this week, but Chase Brown , Ja’Marr Chase , and Tee Higgins are all auto-starts.”
Jordan Pullett· Sep 25, 2026“According to the Fantasy Points Data Suite 2.0, among 33 quarterbacks with at least 20 dropbacks, Burrow ranks: 13th in passing yards per game (230.5) 19th in adjusted net yards per pass attempt (6.14 ANY/A) Tied for 14th in passing touchdowns (three) 10th in expected passing touchdowns (3.5) 21st in rushing yards per game (9.5) Interestingly, the Bengals are just fifth in pass rate over expected (6.3% PROE) this year. That’s still pass-happy, but Cincinnati tied for first in PROE (7.9%) from 2023 through 2025. Their defense is better, and the washed-up, Aaron Rodgers -led Steelers are unlikely to push Burrow and Cincinnati’s offense into a shootout.”
Josh Shepardson· Sep 25, 2026“Joe Burrow nearly gifted Tampa Bay a pick-six, the Buccaneers heavily guarded Chase, and Burrow simply could not connect with his WR1. That extra attention also opened things up elsewhere: TE Mike Gesicki finished with five catches for 78 yards and a TD as Tampa Bay focused on containing Chase and Tee Higgins . Look, that does not completely let Chase off the hook.”
Brooke Morgan· Sep 16, 2026“Joe Burrow’s health has been a concern in recent years, but I’ll bank on him playing a full season with one of the easiest schedules in football. I believe 4,500 yards and 40 touchdowns are more than doable.”
Richard Janvrin· Aug 23, 2026“But if Bengals QB Joe Burrow, who missed nine games last season, enjoys a season of good health, McPherson should have his fair share of FG and PAT opportunities.”
FantasyPros Staff· Aug 15, 2026“When Joe Burrow was healthy, he was a top-three quarterback last season”
Richard Janvrin· Aug 6, 2026“The pivot to more under-center passing won’t be as natural and certainly might not be anywhere near as successful for the Bengals, because Burrow clearly isn’t as comfortable and doesn’t perform as well. In fact, if we go back the last three years, Burrow’s under-center dropbacks average just 3.6 air yards, which ranked dead last: #69 out of 69 qualifying QBs. His time to throw of 2.81 seconds was the #5 fastest out of 69 QBs, and he threw just 17% of passes 10+ yards downfield, also ranking dead last.”
Warren Sharp· Aug 4, 2026“Zac Taylor wants the Bengals to play more from under center in 2026. Unfortunately, Joe Burrow under center is precisely where this offense struggles most, which is why the Bengals haven't used it often of late. How much the Bengals choose to pivot to under-center passing and how much Burrow can improve on these dropbacks might have a large impact on their fortunes in 2026.”
Warren Sharp· Aug 4, 2026“Overvalued: Joe Burrow, Quarterback (QB4, Pick 59 OVR) Now, this isn’t to say that I don’t like Joe Burrow, or that I don’t think that Joe Burrow is a talented player; I just think that Joe Burrow is capped insofar as he doesn’t rush at all, and the Bengals’ offensive line isn’t strong enough for him to be a consistent top-four player without the rushing.”
Jeff Krisko· Jul 25, 2026“Of the top-10 quarterbacks based on LTV, Burrow is the one quarterback with little to no rushing upside, making him the quarterback I would want to trade away.”
Jonathan Lange· Jul 21, 2026
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