CeeDee Lamb vs Derrick Henry

“The newly arrived George Pickens recorded a 22.1% target share in the red zone compared to Lamb's 18.6%, which was also behind Jake Ferguson, who led the team with 23.1%. Contrast this to 2024, when Lamb had a 27.7% red-zone target share and led the team by 10%.”

“It was a really disappointing 2025 for CeeDee Lamb, posting the second-lowest numbers of his career in targets (117), receptions (75) and receiving yards (1,077), with only his rookie season in 2020 worse. He also had a career-low three touchdowns.”

“If you're happy to believe 2025 was a blip rather than the new normal, it becomes easier to see Lamb as a value pick in this range. Betting on Lamb's well-established connection with Dak Prescott and this team as a whole to bounce back isn't the worst bet in the world.”

“It was a really disappointing 2025 for CeeDee Lamb, posting the second-lowest numbers of his career in targets (117), receptions (75) and receiving yards (1,077), with only his rookie season in 2020 worse. He also had a career-low three touchdowns. The newly arrived George Pickens recorded a 22.1% target share in the red zone compared to Lamb's 18.6%, which was also behind Jake Ferguson, who led the team with 23.1%.”

“It was a really disappointing 2025 for CeeDee Lamb, posting the second-lowest numbers of his career in targets (117), receptions (75) and receiving yards (1,077), with only his rookie season in 2020 worse. He also had a career-low three touchdowns, with the newly arrived George Pickens recording a 22.1% target share in the red zone compared to Lamb's 18.6%.”

“CeeDee Lamb posted his fifth straight 1,000-yard season.”

“The newly arrived George Pickens recorded a 22.1% target share in the red zone compared to Lamb's 18.6%, which was also behind Jake Ferguson, who led the team with 23.1%. Contrast this to 2024, when Lamb had a 27.7% red-zone target share and led the team by 10%.”

“It was a really disappointing 2025 for CeeDee Lamb, posting the second-lowest numbers of his career in targets (117), receptions (75) and receiving yards (1,077), with only his rookie season in 2020 worse. He also had a career-low three touchdowns.”

“The newly arrived George Pickens recorded a 22.1% target share in the red zone compared to Lamb's 18.6%, which was also behind Jake Ferguson, who led the team with 23.1%. Contrast this to 2024, when Lamb had a 27.7% red-zone target share and led the team by 10%.”

“It was a really disappointing 2025 for CeeDee Lamb, posting the second-lowest numbers of his career in targets (117), receptions (75) and receiving yards (1,077), with only his rookie season in 2020 worse. He also had a career-low three touchdowns.”

“The newly arrived George Pickens recorded a 22.1% target share in the red zone compared to Lamb's 18.6%, which was also behind Jake Ferguson, who led the team with 23.1%. Contrast this to 2024, when Lamb had a 27.7% red-zone target share and led the team by 10%.”

“It was a really disappointing 2025 for CeeDee Lamb, posting the second-lowest numbers of his career in targets (117), receptions (75) and receiving yards (1,077), with only his rookie season in 2020 worse. He also had a career-low three touchdowns.”

“For all of his accolades as the league's most physical runner, Henry is a non-factor in Baltimore's passing game. With 20 or fewer receptions in eight of Henry's 10 NFL seasons, a sudden shift turning him into the next Christian McCaffrey or Jahmyr Gibbs is not envisioned.”

“The Ravens run first and do everything else second, and they run through Lamar Jackson and Derrick Henry, leaving few rush attempts for Randall.”

“Derrick Henry's 30.2 Sleeper ADP is a classic case of dynasty anxiety ruining redraft logic. Managers see his age and automatically assume a total collapse, completely ignoring the fact he ran for 1,500+ yards and 16 touchdowns last season. Henry remains the ultimate hammer in a Baltimore Ravens offense that completely sanitizes his negative game scripts. He retains a locked-in monopoly on goal-line touches and high-value red-zone opportunities.”

“While some won't draft Henry for fear his age makes him an injury risk, the veteran has played in at least 15 games in all but one year of his career, including 17 contests in three consecutive seasons. He was RB8 last year, averaging 16.4 PPR fantasy points per game despite totaling only 15 receptions, 18 fewer than any other running back to finish top 20.”

“At the end of the day, drafting Henry is a bet that he can continue to stiff-arm Father Time and post the best rushing season of the last two decades for a player this old. But there are other elite-upside players at his ADP without the red flags, so the juice is not worth the squeeze.”

“The issue with Henry is that, coming off a season with fewer than one reception per game, he needs to be absolutely dominant on the ground to provide elite fantasy value. And in recent history, the list of dominant rushing seasons by players 32 or older is essentially nonexistent.”

“Derrick Henry is just one representative of a simple site-wide trend: ESPN drafters love running backs compared to the expert consensus. His positional ECR is RB13; his ESPN ADP is RB10, where experts see King Henry as a high-end RB2, ESPN drafters still view him as a top-10 option.”

“That might be the right move and use that "leftover" $12 on a more impactful player, such as moving from Derrick Henry to Jahmyr Gibbs.”

“The future Hall of Famer has a lot of miles on him, but is ready to make another big impact in his eleventh NFL season. "I love putting the work in, conditioning, being in the weight room, being around the guys, and putting the work in in the offseason," Henry said.”

“We saw it in 2024 with Saquon Barkley and Derrick Henry, for example.”

“Robinson is expected to surpass Derrick Henry ($15MM AAV) in his contract negotiations.”

“Derrick Henry is defying all the odds of being able to continue playing the running back position at such a high level at his age, but he will be 33, turning 34 in the 2027 season. While he hasn't shown any signs of slowing down yet, it's time for the Ravens to start looking for his long-term replacement.”