Tetairoa McMillan
vs Chris Olave
2026 · Week 5 · Half-PPR
The crowd’s lean
Week 5No weekly comparisons recorded for this pair.
This week
WEEK 5McMillan
Bye week
Olave
vs MIN
Oct 11 · 1:00 PM ET
—
Bye week
14.8
Projected
Half-PPR
projection
This week's comparison isn't ready yet. Check back later.
2026 season, per game
2025 season, per game
Full game log & past seasons +
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | TGT | REC | YD | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | — | 8.0 | WR36 | 8 | 5 | 75 | — |
2 | — | 12.6 | WR17 | 10 | 5 | 101 | — |
3 | — | 2.7 | WR88 | 5 | 2 | 17 | — |
4 | — | 38.2 | WR1 | 16 | 14 | 192 | 2 |
Earlier seasons (2025)
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | TGT | REC | YD | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | JAX | 9.3 | WR31 | 9 | 5 | 68 | — |
2 | ARI | 13.0 | WR27 | 10 | 6 | 100 | — |
3 | ATL | 6.3 | WR46 | 8 | 3 | 48 | — |
4 | NE | 8.2 | WR36 | 8 | 4 | 62 | — |
5 | MIA | 10.3 | WR28 | 8 | 6 | 73 | — |
6 | DAL | 16.4 | WR12 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 2 |
7 | NYJ | 4.8 | WR57 | 5 | 3 | 33 | — |
8 | BUF | 13.4 | WR14 | 10 | 7 | 99 | — |
9 | GB | 6.6 | WR49 | 6 | 4 | 46 | — |
10 | NO | 8.5 | WR33 | 8 | 5 | 60 | — |
11 | ATL | 29.0 | WR1 | 12 | 8 | 130 | 2 |
12 | SF | 10.5 | WR27 | 7 | 2 | 35 | 1 |
13 | LAR | 10.8 | WR23 | 2 | 1 | 43 | 1 |
14 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
15 | NO | 3.5 | WR73 | 4 | 2 | 25 | — |
16 | TB | 16.3 | WR13 | 10 | 6 | 73 | 1 |
17 | SEA | 1.0 | WR109 | 4 | 1 | 5 | — |
18 | TB | 8.5 | WR24 | 6 | 4 | 85 | — |
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | TGT | REC | YD | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | — | 23.2 | WR6 | 13 | 10 | 182 | — |
2 | — | 18.6 | WR9 | 10 | 8 | 86 | 1 |
3 | — | 15.2 | WR19 | 13 | 9 | 107 | — |
4 | — | 15.6 | WR13 | 12 | 8 | 116 | — |
Earlier seasons (2025, 2024)
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | TGT | REC | YD | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | ARI | 8.9 | WR33 | 13 | 7 | 54 | — |
2 | SF | 8.4 | WR46 | 10 | 6 | 54 | — |
3 | SEA | 10.7 | WR31 | 14 | 10 | 57 | — |
4 | BUF | 8.5 | WR34 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 1 |
5 | NYG | 9.4 | WR35 | 11 | 7 | 59 | — |
6 | NE | 12.8 | WR18 | 10 | 6 | 98 | — |
7 | CHI | 24.3 | WR4 | 7 | 5 | 98 | 2 |
8 | TB | 10.0 | WR33 | 12 | 8 | 63 | — |
9 | LAR | 7.2 | WR44 | 4 | 3 | 57 | — |
10 | CAR | 18.9 | WR6 | 8 | 5 | 104 | 1 |
11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
12 | ATL | 11.5 | WR23 | 13 | 9 | 70 | — |
13 | MIA | 12.7 | WR19 | 7 | 4 | 47 | 1 |
14 | TB | 4.5 | WR52 | 5 | 3 | 30 | — |
15 | CAR | 17.5 | WR10 | 9 | 6 | 85 | 1 |
16 | NYJ | 31.8 | WR2 | 16 | 10 | 148 | 2 |
17 | TEN | 21.9 | WR2 | 11 | 8 | 119 | 1 |
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | TGT | REC | YD | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | CAR | 2.1 | WR88 | 2 | 2 | 11 | — |
2 | DAL | 10.8 | WR26 | 6 | 4 | 81 | — |
3 | PHI | 17.6 | WR12 | 6 | 6 | 86 | 1 |
4 | ATL | 12.7 | WR26 | 10 | 8 | 87 | — |
5 | KC | 2.0 | WR82 | 4 | 2 | 10 | — |
6 | TB | -1.0 | WR139 | 1 | 1 | 5 | — |
7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
8 | LAC | 14.7 | WR19 | 14 | 8 | 107 | — |
9 | CAR | 1.8 | WR86 | 1 | 1 | 13 | — |
Expert takes
“Tetairoa McMillan is the WR21 in fantasy points per game, commanding a 23% target share with 2.38 YPRR, a 27.3% first-read share, three red zone targets, and five deep targets. This week, he’ll face a Browns pass defense that has the highest single high rate in the NFL (78.1%). Against single high, McMillan has a 20% target per route run rate (second on the team) with 1.40 YPRR, but last week he was the leading receiver for Young against single high with a 27% target per route run rate and 2.18 YPRR.”
Derek Brown· Sep 24, 2026“Tetairoa McMillan has been a little overshadowed by Jalen Coker in the Panthers’ offense so far. But the second-year wideout has seen only one fewer target than his third-year compatriot (18 to 17), and he easily leads in air yards (253 to 179). Bryce Young has looked like a new quarterback so far this season, and Carolina’s offense ranks near the top of the league in PROE.”
Ted Chmyz· Sep 23, 2026“Mike : Tetairoa McMillan vs CHI McMillan is one of eight rookie WRs over the last decade to finish with a 26% target share. Mike gives confidence to fantasy managers starting McMillan as he faces off against a Bears defense that ranked bottom-5 in schedule-adjusted points allowed to WRs, yards per game, and pressure rate last season. Jason : Davante Adams vs SF Adams was the most targeted receiver inside the 5-yard line in NFL history last season.”
Jordan Pullett· Sep 12, 2026
See 8 more
“Tetairoa McMillan is still quite a ways away from reaching elite status. However, the young receiver is the first option on a team that doesn’t have much of a run game.”
Steve Krebs· Sep 5, 2026“Coming off a Rookie of the Year performance, Tetairoa McMillan is primed for an even bigger season in 2026.”
Wyatt Bertolone· Sep 2, 2026“As a rookie, Tetairoa McMillan had a 25.4% target share, catching 70 passes for over 1,000 yards. He should see plenty of targets once again as the No. 1 WR for the Panthers this season.”
Richard Janvrin· Aug 29, 2026“McMillan is currently ranked as the WR17 in expert consensus rankings (ECR), and I feel that managers are paying a premium for a player with many surrounding question marks. Last season, the chips fell nicely for McMillan to finish as a volume play, but increased competition and middling play under center have me worried about his outlook in 2026.”
Evan Tarracciano· Aug 14, 2026“Tetairoa McMillan (WR – CAR) McMillan is coming off an Offensive Rookie of the Year season, but his outlook depends heavily on his quarterback and that quarterback’s offensive line, which is off to a rough start with two starting tackles already dealing with camp injuries.”
FantasyPros Staff· Jul 25, 2026“Morgan took a first-round receiver for the second straight year in 2025, grabbing Tetairoa McMillan eighth overall. That pick looks like a home run. McMillan won Offensive Rookie of the Year honors on the heels of a 70-catch, 1,014-yard, seven-score debut.”
Connor Byrne· Jul 10, 2026“McMillan commanded a 23% target share for Carolina's offense, but the main problem is that Carolina doesn't want to throw the ball and instead leans heavily on its run game to move the chains on each possession. McMillan will undoubtedly lead Carolina in targets again, but that number is hard-capped.”
Evan Tarracciano· Jun 25, 2026“Jalen Coker missed that game after leading Carolina with 18 catches and 222 yards through three weeks, and McMillan had just an 18% target share entering Week 4, so I expect more competition for volume when Coker returns. Carolina is also on bye in Week 5, giving me even more incentive to capitalize on McMillan’s WR1 overall performance now. I would deal him for a player like Rashee Rice , who will be more heavily involved down the stretch.” – Ryan Linkletter ( Blitz Sports Media ) “ Tetairoa McMillan looked great and did it on an island game.”
FantasyPros Staff· Oct 8, 2026
“Olave is up against James Pierre this week, who, of all Week 5 starting defensive backs, ranks first in fewest fantasy points per route run allowed, according to the Fantasy Points Data Suite. Pierre is only allowing 0.14 fantasy points per route run, despite being targeted on 17.2% of routes. This is going to be a tough matchup for Olave, and his fantasy managers should be cautious.”
Adam Murfet· Oct 8, 2026“Chris Olave ranks as their WR7, but no one else projects to be a good start at their position, and Andy is looking away from Saints RBs this week.”
Jordan Pullett· Oct 10, 2026“Minnesota ranks 13th against WRs, so it is not a terrible matchup, but Olave is getting most of the top targets with double-digit looks in all four games.”
Brittney Foxworth· Oct 9, 2026
See 11 more
“Murray/Hockenson with Olave is my shot at MIN scoring through the air instead of through Jones.”
Chris Cash· Oct 10, 2026“Saints Fantasy Wide Receiver Preview Chris Olave (TRUST) Olave has double-digit targets in every game, leading to lines of 10-182-0, 8-86-1, and 9-107-0. He has run 132 routes (2nd only to his teammate Devaughn Vele ) but has seen 29% of the targets (WR5) and 47.7% of the air yards (WR4). He has play volume and front-end usage on his side, which has made him a front-end WR1 for fantasy.”
Rich Hribar· Oct 1, 2026“Olave has had at least 10 targets in each game this season. Olave will be somewhat popular, but with his price the sixth-highest on DraftKings, rostership shouldn’t be too aggressive. He’s a strong stack with Shough and playable as a one-off as well.”
Tera Roberts· Sep 26, 2026“Chris Olave is second in the league in both catches and receiving yards. Olave is also tied for second with DK Metcalf in total routes run. And yet, Olave is actually second on his own team in routes run.”
Pat Fitzmaurice· Sep 25, 2026“Chris Olave – 13 targets, 10 rec Devaughn Vele – 9 targets, 7 rec Travis Etienne Jr . – 9 targets, 7 rec The Saints fell to Detroit in that overtime game, but it was not for lack of trying, especially from Tyler Shough , who attempted 56 passes. With that many passes going around, it is not surprising to see a trio of Saints with at least nine targets. Olave averaged 9.8 targets/game last season, while Vele tied his career-high with the nine targets.”
Aaron Larson· Sep 15, 2026“Playing with a guardian cap in an effort to stave off concussions that have plagued him in the past, Olave is easily Tyler Shough ‘s favorite target and will look to repeat as a mid-range WR1 this season.”
Evan Tarracciano· Sep 14, 2026“Chris Olave averaged 18.8 fantasy PPG with Tyler Shough. Only Puka Nacua, Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Ja’Marr Chase and Amon-Ra St. Brown averaged more in 2025.”
The FF Newsletter· Sep 3, 2026“Whenever he is on the field opposite Chris Olave (who has his own injury history), Tyson has tremendous upside, offering elite separation ability and versatility across the field.”
Evan Tarracciano· Aug 31, 2026“Chris Olave (WR – NO) | ADP: 27 (WR11) Chris Olave is in the bucket of players I discussed in the intro who have a high floor and a high ceiling, hence Olave’s average draft position (ADP) at the beginning of the third round in 12-team leagues.”
Josh Shepardson· Aug 31, 2026“Chris Olave is my answer because the market is still pricing him as a back-end WR1 while I see a legitimate path to a top-five season.”
FantasyPros Staff· Aug 25, 2026“Round 4: Chris Olave (WR – NO) With Tyler Shough as his quarterback and Rashid Shaheed not on the field, Olave had a near 30% target share.”
Richard Janvrin· Aug 22, 2026
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