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Tetairoa McMillan vs Chris Olave

2026 draft comparison · half-PPR

Updated Aug 10, 2026

ADP 37.2
Tetairoa McMillan
WR · CAR · WR13
ADP 31.8
Chris Olave
WR · NO · WR12
VS
The crowd's leanAll time
67.9% would rather draft Olave over McMillan
32.1%McMillan
67.9%Olave
Based on 28 comparison results

Should you draft Tetairoa McMillan or Chris Olave?

Last season — 2025, per game

McMillanWR15 finish
2025
OlaveWR6 finish
10.4Fantasy pts13.7
17Games16
0.0INT0.1
7.2Targets9.8
4.1Rec6.3
60Rec yds73
0.4TD0.6
Full game log & past seasons
Tetairoa McMillan
2025 game log
WKOPPFPTSRANKTGTRECYDTD
1
JAX
9.3
WR31
9
5
68
0
2
ARI
13.0
WR27
10
6
100
0
3
ATL
6.3
WR46
8
3
48
0
4
NE
8.2
WR36
8
4
62
0
5
MIA
10.3
WR28
8
6
73
0
6
DAL
16.4
WR12
5
3
29
2
7
NYJ
4.8
WR57
5
3
33
0
8
BUF
13.4
WR14
10
7
99
0
9
GB
6.6
WR49
6
4
46
0
10
NO
8.5
WR33
8
5
60
0
11
ATL
29.0
WR1
12
8
130
2
12
SF
10.5
WR27
7
2
35
1
13
LAR
10.8
WR23
2
1
43
1
14
15
NO
3.5
WR73
4
2
25
0
16
TB
16.3
WR13
10
6
73
1
17
SEA
1.0
WR109
4
1
5
0
18
TB
8.5
WR24
6
4
85
0
Chris Olave
2025 game log
WKOPPFPTSRANKTGTRECYDTD
1
ARI
8.9
WR33
13
7
54
0
2
SF
8.4
WR46
10
6
54
0
3
SEA
10.7
WR31
14
10
57
0
4
BUF
8.5
WR34
6
3
20
1
5
NYG
9.4
WR35
11
7
59
0
6
NE
12.8
WR18
10
6
98
0
7
CHI
24.3
WR4
7
5
98
2
8
TB
10.0
WR33
12
8
63
0
9
LAR
7.2
WR44
4
3
57
0
10
CAR
18.9
WR6
8
5
104
1
11
12
ATL
11.5
WR23
13
9
70
0
13
MIA
12.7
WR19
7
4
47
1
14
TB
4.5
WR52
5
3
30
0
15
CAR
17.5
WR10
9
6
85
1
16
NYJ
31.8
WR2
16
10
148
2
17
TEN
21.9
WR2
11
8
119
1
Earlier seasons (2024)
2024 game log
WKOPPFPTSRANKTGTRECYDTD
1
CAR
2.1
WR88
2
2
11
0
2
DAL
10.8
WR26
6
4
81
0
3
PHI
17.6
WR12
6
6
86
1
4
ATL
12.7
WR26
10
8
87
0
5
KC
2.0
WR82
4
2
10
0
6
TB
-1.0
WR139
1
1
5
0
7
8
LAC
14.7
WR19
14
8
107
0
9
CAR
1.8
WR86
1
1
13
0

Latest takes

Tetairoa McMillan
  • Tetairoa McMillan (WR – CAR) Tetairoa McMillan already produced enough as a rookie to make him an obvious dynasty asset, but he remains particularly attractive because his best football may still be ahead of him

    Ryan Kirksey· Aug 6
  • ADP: +6 Tetairoa McMillan wasted no time establishing himself as Carolina’s clear-cut WR1, winning Offensive Rookie of the Year after nearly topping 1,100 receiving yards on 126 targets.

  • However, competing with Tetairoa McMillan for targets is one thing, but competing with McMillan to get a share of Bryce Young’s passing game is less tantalizing than what I’d like it to be, since Bryce’s 188 passing yards per game last year was a career high.

    Tony Martin· Jul 30
See 12 more
  • Tetairoa McMillan (WR – CAR) McMillan is coming off an Offensive Rookie of the Year season, but his outlook depends heavily on his quarterback and that quarterback’s offensive line, which is off to a rough start with two starting tackles already dealing with camp injuries.

  • 2025 saw the breakout of Tetairoa McMillan . McMillan claimed WR 16 overall on the season with 70 receptions, 1014 receiving yards, and seven TDs in 17 games.

  • Tetairoa McMillan (WR – CAR) | ADP: 37.7 (WR15) The Panthers should be ecstatic about pulling the trigger on Tetairoa McMillan with the eighth pick in the first round of the 2025 NFL Draft. He had a stellar rookie season.

  • Yet, according to Fantasy Points Data, he had the 11th-highest receiving yards market share (30.7%) among players with at least 30 targets last year. While I like McMillan, he is overvalued as the WR14 in ADP.

    Mike Fanelli· Jul 17
  • Tetairoa McMillan entered the NFL as an early-declare prospect and had 70 catches for 1,014 yards and seven touchdowns as a rookie. Those numbers might just scratch the surface of McMillan's capabilities.

  • McMillan commanded a 23% target share for Carolina's offense, but the main problem is that Carolina doesn't want to throw the ball and instead leans heavily on its run game to move the chains on each possession. McMillan will undoubtedly lead Carolina in targets again, but that number is hard-capped.

  • McMillan was quietly a fantasy star as a rookie despite Carolina's inconsistent passing attack, finishing as the WR15, averaging 8.3 non-PPR fantasy points per game. Furthermore, he was the team's best weapon in the red zone, totaling seven receiving touchdowns, more than double the next closest Panther.

    Mike Fanelli· Jun 22
  • Tetairoa McMillan (15th in total WR points last year) is going for an average auction value less than their projection.

    Evan Hoovler· Jun 19
  • Tetairoa McMillan's consensus ADP is WR19, whereas he's the WR11 on MFL. As a rookie last season, McMillan led the Panthers in target share by a wide margin at 25.4%, though when Jalen Coker was on the field, McMillan's target share dropped to 18.5%. McMillan can volume his way to a respectable fantasy line, but his touchdown upside could be limited given the Panthers' third-hardest schedule and Bryce Young's poor performance against winning records.

  • Among rookie wide receivers in the 2025 NFL season, only three (Tetairoa McMillan, Emeka Egbuka, and Luther Burden III) managed to crack the 600 receiving yards mark.

  • Tetaiora McMillan generated significant intrigue because of the upside tied to his profile and potential long-term role. The discussion focused on the possibility that he develops into a true featured receiving option. There was acknowledgment that younger receivers often come with volatility, but the talent and opportunity combination clearly made McMillan one of the more exciting names in this tier.

  • Guys like Tetairoa McMillan and Jalen Coker are better served in the short and intermediate range.

    Jeff Krisko· May 20
Chris Olave
  • Olave just signed a massive contract extension, which one analyst points to as the exact reason to sell rather than a reason for confidence. His talent isn’t in question, but he carries an extensive concussion history and dealt with blood clots last year, both serious long-term red flags.

  • Chris Olave is the #1 option at wide receiver on a team that relies heavily on his ability to stack receptions and yards. Olave hauled in 100 receptions last season, for over 1,160 yards, and nine touchdowns. The wide receiver for the Saints looks to be in a fantastic spot to repeat the production of the previous season or possibly even improve.

    Steve Krebs· Aug 8
  • Chris Olave ’s 2025 Reception Perception profile:

See 12 more
  • Shough is the unquestioned starter entering 2026, and he’s entering his second season with Chris Olave still in place and Tyson joining the offense

    Ryan Kirksey· Aug 6
  • They also locked up Chris Olave with a massive contract extension

    Ryan Kirksey· Aug 6
  • There are a lot of factors to consider when determining the value of a fantasy asset, and it is no different when evaluating the dynasty value of Chris Olave . We can look at the optimistic picture painted by his success with a new QB & new coach, finishing as the WR6 in the 2025 season.

  • After several concussions, most notably two in 2024, Olave returned to form. Olave played 16 games, putting up 100 receptions, 1163 yards, and nine TDs before missing Week 18 due to a blood clot.

  • That has him going ahead of players like Chris Olave , DeVonta Smith and Tetairoa McMillan — all of whom have similar WR1 upside without the same red flags.

    Ted Chmyz· Jul 22
  • Chris Olave showed immediate rapport with Tyler Shough , finishing his season on a high note. With Travis Etienne Jr. and Jordyn Tyson , the Saints’ offense should be significantly improved, which will help Olave’s efficiency.

  • Last year, it looked like he was back to form with 100 catches and 1,163 yards. Can we get another full season, Chris? Please!

  • Chris Olave's end-of-season yardage total (1163) looks fine and maybe not as impressive considering he played all 17 games, but he actually ranked #1 in the league in total air yards with 1,820, which tells us that the Saints left a ton of yards on the field as Olave's catch rate (66.2%) and catchable target rate (76.8%) was lower subpar due to poor targets or deep shots that never came to fruition.

  • The cupboards were largely bare at wideout behind Chris Olave.

  • The concern with Chris Olave comes down almost entirely to concussion history. Three straight seasons involving concussions, plus additional issues dating back to college, create long-term dynasty risk that's difficult to ignore, with reports that Olave even contemplated retirement after his latest concussion.

  • New Orleans added three wide receivers and a tight end through the draft, and signed Travis Etienne Jr. in free agency. Olave hauled in 25 percent of the team's receptions, and replicating that number will be dang near impossible.

    Matty Kiwoom· May 6
  • Chris Olave is a slight loser with Arizona State's Jordyn Tyson going to New Orleans at No. 8 overall. It's doubtful that he'll approach 156 targets again with another high-end weapon in the mix.