Terry McLaurin
vs Josh Allen

“Terry McLaurin is the WR37 in fantasy points per game, with his best showing of the season last week as the WR14 in weekly scoring. McLaurin is tied for the team lead with a 22% target share, 1.40 YPRR, two red zone targets, four deep targets, and a 28.4% first-read share (leads the team). This week, McLaurin faces an Indy pass defense that has utilized single high at the ninth-highest rate (57.1%).”

“McLaurin: Targets and share held roughly flat (27.0% adjusted → 28.1% adjusted), continuing as Washington’s clear passing-game priority — but for the second straight week, a real, meaningful gain of his was taken away by replay review (see Replay Reversal above).”

“McLaurin was a favorite of mine at cost this offseason, as despite his down performance in 2025, his underlying metrics were still good. McLaurin’s playing style and archetype, as primarily a downfield player, mean his production will always have a bit of variance to it, but you should start him as a fringe WR2 moving forward. Drake Maye’s Awful Start Drake Maye ‘s sophomore season in 2025 was incredible, as he finished first among quarterbacks in adjusted yards per attempt and Expected Points Added (EPA).”

“Against two high, McLaurin has had a 24% target-per-route-run rate, but he has produced only 1.12 YPRR. Even if the coverage structure leaned in McLaurin’s favor, I wouldn’t expect much from him against a secondary that has allowed the fourth-fewest yards per target and fantasy points per target to perimeter wide receivers this season. Sit McLaurin this week, if possible.”

“Terry McLaurin has also struggled to start the season, but his outlook for the near future is not as bright as Jamo’s. Jayden Daniels ’ elbow injury makes McLaurin a shaky flex play until he returns. Carnell Tate might end up being a product of a bad situation with Cam Ward struggling so far, and he can stay on your bench until something changes.”

“Though he led the Commanders in targets (9) and receiving yards (50), McLaurin’s season-long outlook is concerning because of the rise of Stefon Diggs and the nasty, dislocated elbow injury Jayden Daniels suffered. We don’t yet have a timeline for how long Daniels will be out, but I expect this injury to cost him several weeks, and veteran Marcus Mariota will fill in his stead. The major thought I had going through this weekend: if McLaurin isn’t able to have a big game against the Dallas secondary, what will it take?”

“Going back to the Commanders’ offense, Terry McLaurin had a scary bad game for a 31-year-old receiver in the late stages of his career. He finished the afternoon with just two receptions on four targets for 14 receiving yards. He managed just an 11% target share and 0.40 yards per route run (YPRR), basically just running cardio the entire game.”

“Terry McLaurin (WR – WAS) Both Finish as Wide Receiver Twos The prediction: both receivers finish this season as at least a top-24 fantasy option. Diggs isn’t washed the way public perception might suggest. He averaged a respectable points-per-game clip last year and ranked top 10 in yards per route run among receivers with 100-plus routes, along with a 90th-percentile mark in targets per route run.”

“Terry McLaurin set career highs across the board in Jayden Daniels ‘ rookie season. If Daniels can stay healthy, McLaurin is set up for another big year.”

“Since 2020 (his breakout), Allen averages 22.7 fantasy points per game when his defense allows 24 or more points. The Raiders have allowed 10 passing touchdowns in the past three games and are coming off allowing a QB1 overall week to Drake Maye (39.5 points). The Raiders have also allowed rushing production to Malik Willis (39 yards and a touchdown), Tyler Shough (36 yards), and Maye (25 yards and a score).”

“Allen is on pace for 812 rushing yards and 27 rushing touchdowns. For context, LaDainian Tomlinson holds the single-season record with 28. LT was a running back; Allen plays quarterback.”

“Josh Allen averaged 21.6 passing points per game (standard scoring) across the first two weeks of the season. Over the last two, he’s been at 7.1.”

“Only Josh Allen has run hotter, and we saw Allen hit a spot of regression last week. The 49ers are stacking enough injuries to impact things, too. It sounds as if Trent Williams will be good for Sunday.”

“LAC | DraftKings: $8,000/FanDuel: $9,100* It’s odd to say Josh Allen could be a contrarian play, but his rostership should come in very moderate this week. There’s a $500 difference between Allen and Lamar Jackson , and Jackson is in a high-volume matchup against Dallas, making him a popular play this week. Playing Allen doesn’t need much justification.”

“Josh Allen should meet little resistance, and James Cook can gash them on the ground, too.”

“Bills Fantasy Quarterback Preview Josh Allen (TRUST) We could be seeing the best season of Allen's career, which is saying something. We are only two weeks in, so we will keep things in check, but Allen is averaging career-highs in touchdown rate (8.3%), yards per pass attempt (9.7), and yards per completion (14.6). The Bills are throwing more, and they are throwing it downfield, something we were betting on this offseason.”

“Last Thursday, Allen ran in Buffalo’s first TD himself , then proceeded to spread the love to Joshua Palmer , Dawson Knox , and Dalton Kincaid before running in another TD himself for good measure. Only then did he finally hand it off to Cook for Buffalo’s sixth and final trip to the end zone. But this was ultimately the Josh Allen show, which is exactly why he lands among our overachievers this week.”

“Josh Allen remains a two-way scoring threat for the second straight week — 2 rushing TDs again. Another dual-threat scoring day (20-of-31 for 248, 3 TD passes, plus 14 carries for 69 yards with the aforementioned scores). Buffalo opened with a notable heavy package: three tight ends on the field to start.”

“Houston Texans Hot take alert: Josh Allen is good at football. The Bills quarterback supermanned his squad to a win over the vaunted Texans defense, creating big play after big play and frustrating an extremely talented unit on the other side. Offseason acquisition D.J.”