Rome Odunze
vs David Montgomery

“Odunze has only a 13.3% target share with 1.72 YPRR, two red zone targets, five deep targets, and a 13.1% first-read share. This week, he faces a Jets’ secondary that has the fifth-highest two-high rate in the NFL (65.4%). Against two-high, Odunze’s target-per-route run rate drops from 18% to 14%, and his yards per route run dips from 2.00 to 1.38.”

“Rome Odunze has devolved into the “sacrificial X” for the Bears. He’s behind Luther Burden III and (shocker) Kalif Raymond in targets. I still have hope for him and Colston Loveland , but it’s quickly fading.”

“On top of that, Odunze has played 79.8% of his snaps out wide, where he will lock up with Mitchell and Woolen. Factoring all of that in, Odunze is a touchdown-dependent WR4/FLEX. Kalif Raymond Raymond still is not going away.”

“In the meantime, his departure and the terrible weather overshadowed an important development: Another week removed from a preseason calf strain, Rome Odunze was the Bears’ clear No. 1 WR against the Vikings. Odunze’s 81% route share was 10% higher than that of the next-highest player, Kalif Raymond .”

“Rome Odunze was on his way to a breakout season before he sustained a foot fracture. In Weeks 1-12, he was the WR21 in fantasy points per game despite dealing with a 68.3% catchable target rate (96th out of 127 qualifying receivers). During that stretch of games, among that sample of receivers, he was 21st in target share (22.4%), 20th in receiving yards per game (59.4), 27th in yards per route run (1.95), 25th in first-read share (27.2%), and 16th in first-downs per route run (0.107).”

“Rome Odunze (WR – CHI) After missing several games last year because of a foot injury, Rome Odunze is now dealing with another lower-body injury.”

“Rome Odunze (CHI) Odunze got off to one of the hottest starts last year.”

“Rome Odunze (CHI) – ADP 61.2 | WR27 Odunze got off to one of the hottest starts last year. The former Washington star was the WR3 over the first four weeks, averaging 19.9 PPR fantasy points per game.”

“Odunze fits this mold. While Burden dominates the short-to-intermediate areas, Odunze would win downfield and rule the red zone. This creates an elite WR1 ceiling for Odunze, locking him in as a highly efficient TD machine.”

“After opening the season with 20 carries, 79 scrimmage yards, and three touchdowns, Montgomery has averaged nine carries and 36 scrimmage yards over his last three games, without scoring a touchdown in any of them. Even worse, Montgomery has turned his 47 carries this season into just 127 rushing yards — a miserable 2.7 yards per carry — and Woody Marks stole Houston’s lone rushing touchdown on Sunday. The workload is shrinking, the efficiency isn’t there and the touchdowns that were masking both problems have disappeared.”

“Through three games, David Montgomery is averaging a whopping 2.7 YPA. He’s seeing about 52% of the touches, nowhere near the workhorse numbers everyone projected in the offseason. Woody Marks looks like the more explosive back of the two, though his numbers aren’t much better.”

“Montgomery has a 4.5% explosive run rate, 1.54 yards after contact per attempt, and a 12% missed tackle rate. If Houston can play with a lead, Montgomery could have a bounceback game this week against Indy’s putrid run defense. Indy has allowed the third-highest explosive run rate, the sixth-highest rushing success rate, the seventh-most yards before contact per attempt, and the fourth-highest missed tackle rate.”

“We have not seen much usage from Woody Marks yet, but David Montgomery should feast and may leave Marks (RB36) with some decent scraps. Blake Corum , RB, Los Angeles Rams The back half of 2025 saw Corum have an increase in workload with significant touches leading into the playoffs. Corum appears to be maintaining a similar workload and is due for a trip to the endzone.”

“On the bright side, Montgomery does still have all four of the Texans’ carries inside the 10-yard line. But goal-line work alone is a recipe for an inconsistent FLEX play, not a viable RB2. The whole thesis behind Montgomery this season was his workhorse volume, and it hasn’t been there through two weeks (he’s also been fairly inefficient, for what it’s worth).”

“David Montgomery will likely operate as the team’s workhorse.”

“David Montgomery (RB – HOU) I’m not buying the offseason narratives that the Texans backfield will be a 50/50 split. David Montgomery will likely operate as the team’s workhorse.”

“Longshot Bet: David Montgomery to Lead the NFL in Rushing Yards (+8000) David Montgomery has bell-cow history.”

“David Montgomery (HOU) At his cost in the middle rounds, Montgomery has the potential to win your league.”

“For all those reasons, David Montgomery is a player I am not leaving any drafts with, especially because this potential top-12 running back can be drafted.” – Adam Dove ( The Fantasy Couriers ) Travis Etienne Jr.”