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Nico Collins vs Justin Jefferson

2026 draft comparison · half-PPR

Updated Aug 10, 2026

ADP 18.5
Nico Collins
WR · HOU · WR9
ADP 11.4
Justin Jefferson
WR · MIN · WR6
VS
The crowd's leanAll time
87.1% would rather draft Jefferson over Collins
12.9%Collins
87.1%Jefferson
Based on 31 comparison results

Should you draft Nico Collins or Justin Jefferson?

Last season — 2025, per game

CollinsWR9 finish
2025
JeffersonWR24 finish
12.7Fantasy pts9.4
15Games17
8.0Targets8.3
4.7Rec4.9
74Rec yds62
0.5TD0.1
Full game log & past seasons
Nico Collins
2025 game log
WKOPPFPTSRANKTGTRECYDTD
1
LAR
4.0
WR70
5
3
25
0
2
TB
12.7
WR29
9
3
52
1
3
JAX
18.4
WR5
11
8
104
1
4
TEN
9.9
WR27
6
4
79
0
5
BAL
14.0
WR16
5
4
52
1
6
7
SEA
4.7
WR59
10
4
27
0
8
BYE
9
DEN
11.0
WR28
11
7
75
0
10
JAX
19.1
WR5
15
7
136
0
11
TEN
19.7
WR4
10
9
92
1
12
BUF
7.0
WR37
3
3
55
0
13
IND
19.0
WR10
10
5
98
0
14
KC
14.1
WR14
8
4
121
0
15
ARI
22.0
WR4
4
3
85
2
16
LV
7.9
WR38
9
4
59
0
17
LAC
7.2
WR40
4
3
57
0
Earlier seasons (2024)
2024 game log
WKOPPFPTSRANKTGTRECYDTD
1
IND
14.7
WR14
8
6
117
0
2
CHI
23.5
WR4
10
8
135
1
3
MIN
10.6
WR36
10
4
86
0
4
JAX
27.1
WR1
15
12
151
1
5
BUF
14.8
WR16
2
2
78
1
6
7
8
BYE
9
10
11
DAL
7.4
WR46
7
4
54
0
12
TEN
17.7
WR8
9
5
92
1
13
JAX
15.9
WR15
11
8
119
0
14
15
MIA
15.7
WR19
6
4
17
2
16
KC
9.5
WR37
10
7
60
0
17
BAL
7.4
WR46
6
3
59
0
18
TEN
12.3
WR26
5
5
38
1
Justin Jefferson
2025 game log
WKOPPFPTSRANKTGTRECYDTD
1
CHI
12.8
WR20
7
4
44
1
2
ATL
9.6
WR38
6
3
81
0
3
CIN
10.0
WR33
7
5
75
0
4
PIT
17.6
WR9
11
10
126
0
5
CLE
15.8
WR11
11
7
123
0
6
BYE
7
PHI
10.4
WR26
10
5
79
0
8
LAC
10.9
WR26
11
7
74
0
9
DET
13.7
WR18
9
6
47
1
10
BAL
5.7
WR44
12
4
37
0
11
CHI
8.6
WR27
9
5
61
0
12
GB
6.8
WR39
6
4
48
0
13
SEA
1.4
WR95
6
2
4
0
14
WAS
2.1
WR81
4
2
11
0
15
DAL
3.2
WR77
8
2
22
0
16
NYG
11.5
WR26
8
6
85
0
17
DET
5.0
WR52
5
4
30
0
18
GB
14.4
WR10
11
8
101
0
Earlier seasons (2024)
2024 game log
WKOPPFPTSRANKTGTRECYDTD
1
NYG
13.9
WR15
6
4
59
1
2
SF
21.3
WR7
7
4
133
1
3
HOU
17.1
WR14
8
6
81
1
4
GB
17.5
WR11
8
6
85
1
5
NYJ
12.2
WR23
14
6
92
0
6
BYE
7
DET
17.9
WR5
8
7
81
1
8
LAR
15.5
WR13
9
8
115
0
9
IND
18.1
WR9
9
7
137
0
10
JAX
7.3
WR33
9
5
48
0
11
TEN
11.1
WR29
8
6
81
0
12
CHI
3.7
WR64
5
2
27
0
13
ARI
13.4
WR23
9
7
99
0
14
ATL
28.7
WR4
7
7
132
2
15
CHI
16.8
WR15
14
7
73
1
16
SEA
31.4
WR1
13
10
144
2
17
GB
13.2
WR29
11
8
92
0
18
DET
6.9
WR55
9
3
54
0

Latest takes

Nico Collins
  • Alec Pierce, Nico Collins – 3.7 How to support a QB on a rookie deal ( Drake Maye ):

  • Collins was productive again in 2025, catching 71 passes for 1,117 yards and 6 touchdowns. He did take a slight dip in per-game output. After 5.3 and 5.7 receptions per game in C.J. Stroud's first two seasons, Collins averaged 4.7 catches per game in 2025.

    Rich Hribar· Jul 10
  • Nico Collins is a bona fide stud, and we are hopeful that Jayden Higgins will emerge as a startable fantasy asset this year.

    Kemper Trull· Jul 10
See 12 more
  • A healthy Nico Collins will also be a huge factor, as the connection between those two has consistently elevated Stroud's efficiency and touchdown production since coming into the league.

  • At worst, Collins profiles as a reliable fantasy WR1/WR2 hybrid with one of the strongest WR efficiency profiles in the NFL.

  • Nico Collins continued his run as Houston's unquestioned WR1 in 2025, posting his third 1,000-yard season in the last four years while finishing as a top-10 fantasy receiver once again. Despite battling injuries, Collins remained highly efficient and continued to dominate targets and red-zone usage in the Texans offense.

  • The Texans have a lot of passing game weapons, but outside of Schultz and Nico Collins, none of them are very good at all.

    Jeff Krisko· Jun 21
  • On the flip side, what if you have Nico and got a value on Jacobs (as his ADP free-falls thanks to off-field issues)? Montgomery would make more sense there for the stack-and-run back correlation.

    Chris Cash· Jun 6
  • Nico Collins' ADP is essentially one round behind his ECR in a 12-team league, with a 66% gap between his ADP and ECR that trails only Ja'Marr Chase. Although he has been "just" a back-end fantasy WR1 over the last two years, the 27-year-old is a genuine top-tier talent at the position, ranking seventh, second and fifth among qualified receivers in Pro Football Focus receiving grade over the last three seasons.

    Ted Chmyz· Jun 5
  • Nico Collins was discussed as a receiver whose combination of physical traits and offensive role keeps him firmly in the upper fantasy conversation. The analysis focused heavily on his ability to command targets while also producing explosive plays. There was a sense throughout the discussion that Collins has moved beyond simply being a breakout candidate and now belongs in the tier of receivers fantasy managers can trust weekly.

  • Collins saw a career-high 120 targets in 2025. Furthermore, he had six receiving touchdowns after totaling 15 over the previous two years.

    Mike Fanelli· May 19
  • Top cap hit: Nico Collins, $14,939,529 (4.96 percent)

    Logan Ulrich· Jul 5
  • Houston will head into training camp later this month with back-to-back Pro Bowler Nico Collins continuing to lead its receiving corps. Stroud has formed a strong connection with Collins, a 1,000-yard receiver three years in a row.

    Connor Byrne· Jul 3
  • Nico Collins has since received a raise as part of the Texans' changes to their wide receiver room.

    Sam Robinson· Jun 19
  • Coming off a rough stretch to end the year, Texans WR Nico Collins outlined the different mindset from QB C.J. Stroud. "Different guy, different dude, man on a mission," Collins said. "Man, he's ready to hunt."

Justin Jefferson
  • Justin Jefferson is the fifth-best wide receiver in the Madden universe, apparently

  • Tate isn’t entering the NFL with the pedigree of a Ja’Marr Chase or Justin Jefferson , for example, but his combination of age, draft capital, and college production is extremely appealing

    Ryan Kirksey· Aug 6
  • Having Justin Jefferson , Jordan Addison , and Jauan Jennings at your disposal is an embarrassment of riches

    Kyle Zeigler· Aug 6
See 12 more
  • Round 3: Justin Jefferson (WR – MIN) Wow. Jaxon Smith-Njigba and Justin Jefferson ?

  • This wasn’t Jefferson’s fault, however. Among wide receivers with 50+ targets, Jefferson ranked 58th in catchable target rate (71%). J.J. McCarthy stunk, and all indications are that Kyler Murray is the clear favorite to be the starter in 2026, and possibly beyond.

    Tom Strachan· Jul 27
  • From WR2 in 2024 to WR21 in 2025, Justin Jefferson took quite the fall in production.

  • Jefferson should immediately become Murray’s go-to receiver, making an overall WR1 finish well within reach.

    Kyle Zeigler· Jul 23
  • Malik Nabers, CeeDee Lamb, and Justin Jefferson all have similar LTV scores in the same range as Love’s.

  • The Ballers agree that if Kyler takes the leading QB role, they are confident that Jefferson will be back as a top-tier WR. However, they see him more as a back-end WR1.

    Maggie Thraen· Jul 19
  • Justin Jefferson has been a fantasy superstar since he entered the NFL. Unfortunately, the veteran is coming off a massively disappointing season.

    Mike Fanelli· Jul 19
  • He opened with Justin Jefferson after a surprising run of young quarterbacks fell in the first round, then doubled up at quarterback anyway, taking Joe Burrow and Caleb Williams back to back once he realized how many were sliding.

  • Justin Jefferson had fewer receiving yards in 2025 (1,048) than he did in 2023, when he only played 10 games (1,074). Jefferson also had a career-low 12.5 yards per reception and a career-low two receiving touchdowns.

    Tom Strachan· Jul 18
  • We are coming off the worst season of Jefferson's early career. The counting stats were modest for Jefferson, catching 84 passes for 1,048 yards, but he had career lows everywhere across the board. He only had 2 touchdowns.

    Rich Hribar· Jul 10
  • The only reason I have Justin Jefferson behind Jaxon Smith-Njigba and Amon-Ra St. Brown is the quarterback situation in Minnesota. Kyler Murray should be an upgrade, but Minnesota has one of the worst quarterback rooms since Jefferson entered the league.

  • It doesn't take a rocket scientist to determine what was holding Justin Jefferson back last season. While Kyler Murray is a flawed quarterback, he has proven an ability to generate big fantasy seasons for his wide receivers and should be a big improvement upon what J.J. McCarthy showed last season.

    Chad Workman· Jun 29