Nico Collins
vs Christian McCaffrey
2026 · Week 5 · Half-PPR
The crowd’s lean
Week 5No weekly comparisons recorded for this pair.
This week
WEEK 5Collins
at TEN
Oct 11 · 1:00 PM ET
McCaffrey
at SEA
Oct 11 · 4:25 PM ET
14.4
Projected
14.1
Projected
Half-PPR
projection
2026 season, per game
2025 season, per game
Full game log & past seasons +
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | TGT | REC | YD | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | — | 17.7 | WR9 | 10 | 7 | 75 | 1 |
2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
4 | — | 27.3 | WR3 | 8 | 7 | 118 | 2 |
Earlier seasons (2025, 2024)
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | TGT | REC | YD | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | LAR | 4.0 | WR70 | 5 | 3 | 25 | — |
2 | TB | 12.7 | WR29 | 9 | 3 | 52 | 1 |
3 | JAX | 18.4 | WR5 | 11 | 8 | 104 | 1 |
4 | TEN | 9.9 | WR27 | 6 | 4 | 79 | — |
5 | BAL | 14.0 | WR16 | 5 | 4 | 52 | 1 |
6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
7 | SEA | 4.7 | WR59 | 10 | 4 | 27 | — |
8 | BYE | — | — | — | — | — | — |
9 | DEN | 11.0 | WR28 | 11 | 7 | 75 | — |
10 | JAX | 19.1 | WR5 | 15 | 7 | 136 | — |
11 | TEN | 19.7 | WR4 | 10 | 9 | 92 | 1 |
12 | BUF | 7.0 | WR37 | 3 | 3 | 55 | — |
13 | IND | 19.0 | WR10 | 10 | 5 | 98 | — |
14 | KC | 14.1 | WR14 | 8 | 4 | 121 | — |
15 | ARI | 22.0 | WR4 | 4 | 3 | 85 | 2 |
16 | LV | 7.9 | WR38 | 9 | 4 | 59 | — |
17 | LAC | 7.2 | WR40 | 4 | 3 | 57 | — |
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | TGT | REC | YD | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | IND | 14.7 | WR14 | 8 | 6 | 117 | — |
2 | CHI | 23.5 | WR4 | 10 | 8 | 135 | 1 |
3 | MIN | 10.6 | WR36 | 10 | 4 | 86 | — |
4 | JAX | 27.1 | WR1 | 15 | 12 | 151 | 1 |
5 | BUF | 14.8 | WR16 | 2 | 2 | 78 | 1 |
6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
8 | BYE | — | — | — | — | — | — |
9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
11 | DAL | 7.4 | WR46 | 7 | 4 | 54 | — |
12 | TEN | 17.7 | WR8 | 9 | 5 | 92 | 1 |
13 | JAX | 15.9 | WR15 | 11 | 8 | 119 | — |
14 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
15 | MIA | 15.7 | WR19 | 6 | 4 | 17 | 2 |
16 | KC | 9.5 | WR37 | 10 | 7 | 60 | — |
17 | BAL | 7.4 | WR46 | 6 | 3 | 59 | — |
18 | TEN | 12.3 | WR26 | 5 | 5 | 38 | 1 |
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | ATT | YD | TD | TGT | REC | RYD | RTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | — | 11.3 | RB22 | 10 | 68 | — | 8 | 5 | 20 | — |
2 | — | 20.6 | RB3 | 10 | 23 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 43 | — |
3 | — | 19.6 | RB5 | 15 | 75 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 41 | — |
4 | — | 14.5 | RB19 | 15 | 52 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 18 | — |
Earlier seasons (2025, 2024)
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | ATT | YD | TD | TGT | REC | RYD | RTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | SEA | 18.7 | RB5 | 22 | 69 | — | 10 | 9 | 73 | — |
2 | NO | 19.7 | RB5 | 13 | 55 | — | 7 | 6 | 52 | 1 |
3 | ARI | 19.0 | RB8 | 17 | 52 | — | 15 | 10 | 88 | — |
4 | JAX | 23.1 | RB8 | 17 | 49 | — | 11 | 6 | 92 | 1 |
5 | LAR | 23.9 | RB6 | 22 | 57 | — | 9 | 8 | 82 | 1 |
6 | TB | 20.6 | RB9 | 17 | 54 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 57 | — |
7 | ATL | 35.6 | RB1 | 24 | 129 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 72 | — |
8 | HOU | 8.3 | RB28 | 8 | 25 | — | 6 | 3 | 43 | — |
9 | NYG | 31.8 | RB1 | 28 | 106 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 67 | 1 |
10 | LAR | 13.6 | RB16 | 12 | 30 | — | 10 | 8 | 66 | — |
11 | ARI | 32.6 | RB2 | 13 | 81 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 40 | 1 |
12 | CAR | 23.7 | RB3 | 24 | 89 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 53 | — |
13 | CLE | 15.4 | RB12 | 20 | 53 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 21 | — |
14 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
15 | TEN | 15.2 | RB14 | 22 | 73 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | — |
16 | IND | 29.6 | RB3 | 21 | 117 | — | 8 | 6 | 29 | 2 |
17 | CHI | 26.1 | RB4 | 23 | 140 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 41 | — |
18 | SEA | 8.7 | RB23 | 8 | 23 | — | 7 | 6 | 34 | — |
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | ATT | YD | TD | TGT | REC | RYD | RTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
8 | BYE | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
10 | TB | 13.7 | RB11 | 13 | 39 | — | 7 | 6 | 68 | — |
11 | SEA | 12.6 | RB16 | 19 | 79 | — | 5 | 4 | 27 | — |
12 | GB | 6.3 | RB31 | 11 | 31 | — | 4 | 3 | 37 | — |
13 | BUF | 7.7 | RB34 | 7 | 53 | — | 3 | 2 | 14 | — |
Expert takes
“| Hamstring After missing a handful of games with a hamstring injury, Nico Collins returned from the injury report last week and exploded for seven receptions, 118 yards and two touchdowns in the Texans’ shootout against the Cowboys. Don’t expect that kind of offensive explosion every week, but do expect Collins to be a regular on the ‘limited’ practice list, even if it is just to give him a chance to rest up before Sundays. He’s good to go.”
Michael Moore· Oct 9, 2026“Without Collins, Stroud averaged 0.5 touchdowns per game and 6.3 yards per attempt; with Collins active, those numbers jump to 2.0 touchdowns per game and 9.2 yards per attempt, along with a 50-yard-per-game increase. This week is a tale of two 0-4 teams, with the Texans heading to Tennessee, who are probably slightly less surprised to be 0-4. The Titans allow the fourth-most wide receiver fantasy points and rank 25th in EPA allowed against the pass.”
Tom Strachan· Oct 8, 2026“I do not need TEN to turn this into a shootout if Collins catches a couple of TDs before the game gets away.”
Chris Cash· Oct 10, 2026
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“Jason: Dalton Schultz @ IND Doctor Schultz should be plugged right back into your lineup if Nico Collins misses another game due to a hamstring injury. He posted 12 catches for 140 yards last week against the Bengals, and should continue TE1 production as one of CJ Stroud ’s primary targets. Fantasy Forecast Mark Konezny-Imagn Images LAC @ BUF (BUF-7, O/U 50.5) Andy was tempted to make the Chargers his almost-upset of the week, but the Bills and Chargers have looked too opposite of each other to start the season.”
Jordan Pullett· Sep 25, 2026“Schultz is a must-start as long as Collins remains sidelined. That’s especially true this week against an Indianapolis defense that’s given up over 1,000 yards in two games and just got shredded by Travis Kelce . Beyond that, he appears to be headed for another top-10 fantasy season, something he’s accomplished in five of the last six seasons.”
Wolf Trelles-Heard· Sep 22, 2026“Nico Collins is Houston’s unquestioned No. 1 WR — he had the highest true target share, highest route participation and a touchdown on the same drive as his own erased deep shot. Collins commanded a true 12 targets (up from an already team-high 10 official targets) and a 28.6% adjusted target share.”
Andrew Erickson· Sep 16, 2026“Nico Collins – 10 targets, 7 rec Collins is the unquestioned alpha WR in Houston. He set a new career-high with 120 targets last season, and he has yet to play a full 17-game season. If he can stay healthy, he will likely be a target leader all season long.”
Aaron Larson· Sep 15, 2026“Nico Collins finished eighth amongst all wide receiver options in PPR leagues last season. Collins crossed the goal line on six occasions and hauled in over 70 passes for 1,117 yards.”
Steve Krebs· Sep 5, 2026“Playing in 15 games last season, Nico Collins had a 21.7% target share, catching 71 passes on 120 targets for 1,117 yards and six touchdowns. This season, Jayden Higgins and Jaylin Noel have another season under their belt. The Texans’ running game should be better with David Montgomery .”
Richard Janvrin· Aug 18, 2026“Nico Collins is a bona fide stud, and we are hopeful that Jayden Higgins will emerge as a startable fantasy asset this year.”
Kemper Trull· Jul 10, 2026“A healthy Nico Collins will also be a huge factor, as the connection between those two has consistently elevated Stroud's efficiency and touchdown production since coming into the league.”
Jason Kamlowsky· Jul 3, 2026“Nico Collins was discussed as a receiver whose combination of physical traits and offensive role keeps him firmly in the upper fantasy conversation. The analysis focused heavily on his ability to command targets while also producing explosive plays. There was a sense throughout the discussion that Collins has moved beyond simply being a breakout candidate and now belongs in the tier of receivers fantasy managers can trust weekly.”
FantasyPros Staff· May 23, 2026
“Year 2 post-tibia fracture: • 4.1 YPC → 3.5 YPC • 3.04 yards after contact per attempt → 2.78 • 0.217 missed tackles forced per attempt → 0.161 Christian McCaffrey does not appear to have the same league-winning upside as last season (18.5 FPG) - 1 top-5 weekly RB finish through four games, compared to 11 in 17 games last season.”
The FF Newsletter· Oct 8, 2026“Christian McCaffrey finished as RB3 despite only recording 23 rushing yards, thanks to two rushing TDs.”
Jordan Pullett· Sep 25, 2026“Christian McCaffrey – 8 targets, 5 rec McCaffrey has hit triple-digit targets in five different seasons. He’s arguably the best pass-catching RB in NFL history. If CMC is healthy, he is in your lineup, but it is nice to see that he is still very involved in the passing game.”
Aaron Larson· Sep 15, 2026
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“If we could turn injuries off like in the Madden video game, McCaffrey would be the clear-cut 1.01 pick in every non-superflex draft.”
FantasyPros Staff· Sep 5, 2026“Andrew Erickson’s Draft Landmines of 2026 Christian McCaffrey (RB – SF) Christian McCaffrey led the NFL with 413 touches in 2025 and reached 450 when including the playoffs.”
FantasyPros Staff· Sep 4, 2026“Going as the RB3, roughly the eighth overall pick, McCaffrey is coming off a season that led all players in total touches. Historically, that’s a dangerous signal: over the last 13 years, only one running back who saw 400-plus touches in a season finished as a top-five back the next year, and running backs age 27 or older who led the league in touches have never finished top five the following season across six such occurrences.”
FantasyPros Staff· Aug 23, 2026“He’s entering his age-30 season with a lot of miles on the tread. McCaffrey is absolutely capable of smashing, but he could also miss some games. Since 2020, he’s missed half the season or more three times.”
Kyle Zeigler· Aug 18, 2026“In a full PPR format, CMC represents one of the few RBs in the league who really benefits from the extra bump per reception. McCaffrey had a whopping 102 receptions last season and could very well be one of the main receiving weapons in San Francisco again in 2026.”
Kurt Mullen· Aug 14, 2026“Christian McCaffrey | RB, San Francisco 49ers Heading into what will be his 10th season in the NFL, Christian McCaffrey is coming off another season of monstrous volume.”
Kyle Lesti· Aug 11, 2026“McCaffrey is coming off a season where he touched the ball 400+ times and finished all but one week of the season as a top-24 RB. The biggest “if” with CMC is his health, but when he is on the field, he is a fantasy league winner.”
Kurt Mullen· Aug 7, 2026“2 Something to note is that while Christian McCaffrey did not reach the total rushing attempts needed to hit this criterion last season, he did have 311 carries, along with 102 receptions, putting his total workload at a similar number.”
Jordan Pullett· Jul 29, 2026“The last time McCaffrey had over 400 touches in a year, the superstar missed 69.7% of the games over the next two seasons because of injury.”
Mike Fanelli· Jul 28, 2026“McCaffrey was the RB1 in points per game, scoring 2.5 points more than the RB2. Once again, the 49ers did very little to persuade us that they don’t believe in McCaffrey’s ability to be a workhorse, instead continuing their habit of talking up a later-round dart throw at the position, who’ll likely struggle to see any involvement.”
Tom Strachan· Jul 27, 2026
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