Nico Collins
vs Chase Brown
2026 · Week 5 · Half-PPR
The crowd’s lean
Week 5No weekly comparisons recorded for this pair.
This week
WEEK 5Collins
at TEN
Oct 11 · 1:00 PM ET
Brown
at MIA
Oct 11 · 1:00 PM ET
14.4
Projected
16.9
Projected
Half-PPR
projection
2026 season, per game
2025 season, per game
Full game log & past seasons +
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | TGT | REC | YD | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | — | 17.7 | WR9 | 10 | 7 | 75 | 1 |
2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
4 | — | 27.3 | WR3 | 8 | 7 | 118 | 2 |
Earlier seasons (2025, 2024)
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | TGT | REC | YD | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | LAR | 4.0 | WR70 | 5 | 3 | 25 | — |
2 | TB | 12.7 | WR29 | 9 | 3 | 52 | 1 |
3 | JAX | 18.4 | WR5 | 11 | 8 | 104 | 1 |
4 | TEN | 9.9 | WR27 | 6 | 4 | 79 | — |
5 | BAL | 14.0 | WR16 | 5 | 4 | 52 | 1 |
6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
7 | SEA | 4.7 | WR59 | 10 | 4 | 27 | — |
8 | BYE | — | — | — | — | — | — |
9 | DEN | 11.0 | WR28 | 11 | 7 | 75 | — |
10 | JAX | 19.1 | WR5 | 15 | 7 | 136 | — |
11 | TEN | 19.7 | WR4 | 10 | 9 | 92 | 1 |
12 | BUF | 7.0 | WR37 | 3 | 3 | 55 | — |
13 | IND | 19.0 | WR10 | 10 | 5 | 98 | — |
14 | KC | 14.1 | WR14 | 8 | 4 | 121 | — |
15 | ARI | 22.0 | WR4 | 4 | 3 | 85 | 2 |
16 | LV | 7.9 | WR38 | 9 | 4 | 59 | — |
17 | LAC | 7.2 | WR40 | 4 | 3 | 57 | — |
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | TGT | REC | YD | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | IND | 14.7 | WR14 | 8 | 6 | 117 | — |
2 | CHI | 23.5 | WR4 | 10 | 8 | 135 | 1 |
3 | MIN | 10.6 | WR36 | 10 | 4 | 86 | — |
4 | JAX | 27.1 | WR1 | 15 | 12 | 151 | 1 |
5 | BUF | 14.8 | WR16 | 2 | 2 | 78 | 1 |
6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
8 | BYE | — | — | — | — | — | — |
9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
11 | DAL | 7.4 | WR46 | 7 | 4 | 54 | — |
12 | TEN | 17.7 | WR8 | 9 | 5 | 92 | 1 |
13 | JAX | 15.9 | WR15 | 11 | 8 | 119 | — |
14 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
15 | MIA | 15.7 | WR19 | 6 | 4 | 17 | 2 |
16 | KC | 9.5 | WR37 | 10 | 7 | 60 | — |
17 | BAL | 7.4 | WR46 | 6 | 3 | 59 | — |
18 | TEN | 12.3 | WR26 | 5 | 5 | 38 | 1 |
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | ATT | YD | TD | TGT | REC | RYD | RTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | — | 16.3 | RB14 | 16 | 56 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 22 | — |
2 | — | 9.7 | RB20 | 20 | 80 | — | 5 | 3 | 2 | — |
3 | — | 7.9 | RB30 | 13 | 61 | — | 2 | 2 | 8 | — |
4 | — | 13.6 | RB22 | 9 | 10 | — | 11 | 11 | 71 | — |
Earlier seasons (2025, 2024)
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | ATT | YD | TD | TGT | REC | RYD | RTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | CLE | 12.1 | RB21 | 21 | 43 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | — |
2 | JAX | 7.5 | RB34 | 16 | 47 | — | 3 | 2 | 18 | — |
3 | MIN | 4.0 | RB48 | 10 | 3 | — | 5 | 4 | 17 | — |
4 | DEN | 8.6 | RB37 | 10 | 40 | — | 3 | 3 | 31 | — |
5 | DET | 8.3 | RB28 | 8 | 27 | — | 8 | 7 | 21 | — |
6 | GB | 7.9 | RB20 | 9 | 42 | — | 2 | 2 | 7 | — |
7 | PIT | 11.0 | RB17 | 11 | 108 | — | 4 | 2 | -8 | — |
8 | NYJ | 24.0 | RB5 | 12 | 73 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 1 |
9 | CHI | 15.2 | RB8 | 11 | 37 | — | 14 | 8 | 75 | — |
10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
11 | PIT | 15.7 | RB15 | 18 | 99 | — | 8 | 6 | 28 | — |
12 | NE | 14.0 | RB13 | 19 | 107 | — | 4 | 2 | 23 | — |
13 | BAL | 14.8 | RB15 | 15 | 78 | — | 7 | 7 | 35 | — |
14 | BUF | 17.0 | RB8 | 12 | 23 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 1 |
15 | BAL | 12.5 | RB19 | 13 | 53 | — | 7 | 7 | 37 | — |
16 | MIA | 30.9 | RB2 | 12 | 66 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 43 | 2 |
17 | ARI | 27.6 | RB3 | 22 | 101 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 40 | — |
18 | CLE | 17.0 | RB10 | 13 | 72 | — | 6 | 4 | 18 | 1 |
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | ATT | YD | TD | TGT | REC | RYD | RTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | NE | 3.8 | RB43 | 3 | 11 | — | 3 | 3 | 12 | — |
2 | KC | 3.1 | RB52 | 4 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — |
3 | WAS | 7.9 | RB34 | 7 | 62 | — | 3 | 2 | 7 | — |
4 | CAR | 22.2 | RB5 | 15 | 80 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 12 | — |
5 | BAL | 14.9 | RB12 | 12 | 46 | — | 3 | 3 | 8 | 1 |
6 | NYG | 13.4 | RB19 | 10 | 53 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 11 | — |
7 | CLE | 6.3 | RB36 | 15 | 44 | — | 2 | 2 | 9 | — |
8 | PHI | 10.4 | RB27 | 12 | 32 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | — |
9 | LV | 24.2 | RB5 | 27 | 120 | — | 5 | 5 | 37 | 1 |
10 | BAL | 17.9 | RB4 | 13 | 42 | 1 | 11 | 9 | 52 | — |
11 | LAC | 16.8 | RB10 | 22 | 86 | — | 7 | 5 | 57 | — |
12 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
13 | PIT | 17.5 | RB10 | 12 | 70 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 30 | — |
14 | DAL | 21.3 | RB6 | 14 | 58 | — | 8 | 6 | 65 | 1 |
15 | TEN | 24.8 | RB4 | 25 | 97 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 1 |
16 | CLE | 12.4 | RB20 | 18 | 91 | — | 3 | 3 | 18 | — |
17 | DEN | 11.1 | RB14 | 20 | 67 | — | 4 | 4 | 24 | — |
Expert takes
“| Hamstring After missing a handful of games with a hamstring injury, Nico Collins returned from the injury report last week and exploded for seven receptions, 118 yards and two touchdowns in the Texans’ shootout against the Cowboys. Don’t expect that kind of offensive explosion every week, but do expect Collins to be a regular on the ‘limited’ practice list, even if it is just to give him a chance to rest up before Sundays. He’s good to go.”
Michael Moore· Oct 9, 2026“Without Collins, Stroud averaged 0.5 touchdowns per game and 6.3 yards per attempt; with Collins active, those numbers jump to 2.0 touchdowns per game and 9.2 yards per attempt, along with a 50-yard-per-game increase. This week is a tale of two 0-4 teams, with the Texans heading to Tennessee, who are probably slightly less surprised to be 0-4. The Titans allow the fourth-most wide receiver fantasy points and rank 25th in EPA allowed against the pass.”
Tom Strachan· Oct 8, 2026“I do not need TEN to turn this into a shootout if Collins catches a couple of TDs before the game gets away.”
Chris Cash· Oct 10, 2026
See 9 more
“Jason: Dalton Schultz @ IND Doctor Schultz should be plugged right back into your lineup if Nico Collins misses another game due to a hamstring injury. He posted 12 catches for 140 yards last week against the Bengals, and should continue TE1 production as one of CJ Stroud ’s primary targets. Fantasy Forecast Mark Konezny-Imagn Images LAC @ BUF (BUF-7, O/U 50.5) Andy was tempted to make the Chargers his almost-upset of the week, but the Bills and Chargers have looked too opposite of each other to start the season.”
Jordan Pullett· Sep 25, 2026“Schultz is a must-start as long as Collins remains sidelined. That’s especially true this week against an Indianapolis defense that’s given up over 1,000 yards in two games and just got shredded by Travis Kelce . Beyond that, he appears to be headed for another top-10 fantasy season, something he’s accomplished in five of the last six seasons.”
Wolf Trelles-Heard· Sep 22, 2026“Nico Collins is Houston’s unquestioned No. 1 WR — he had the highest true target share, highest route participation and a touchdown on the same drive as his own erased deep shot. Collins commanded a true 12 targets (up from an already team-high 10 official targets) and a 28.6% adjusted target share.”
Andrew Erickson· Sep 16, 2026“Nico Collins – 10 targets, 7 rec Collins is the unquestioned alpha WR in Houston. He set a new career-high with 120 targets last season, and he has yet to play a full 17-game season. If he can stay healthy, he will likely be a target leader all season long.”
Aaron Larson· Sep 15, 2026“Nico Collins finished eighth amongst all wide receiver options in PPR leagues last season. Collins crossed the goal line on six occasions and hauled in over 70 passes for 1,117 yards.”
Steve Krebs· Sep 5, 2026“Playing in 15 games last season, Nico Collins had a 21.7% target share, catching 71 passes on 120 targets for 1,117 yards and six touchdowns. This season, Jayden Higgins and Jaylin Noel have another season under their belt. The Texans’ running game should be better with David Montgomery .”
Richard Janvrin· Aug 18, 2026“Nico Collins is a bona fide stud, and we are hopeful that Jayden Higgins will emerge as a startable fantasy asset this year.”
Kemper Trull· Jul 10, 2026“A healthy Nico Collins will also be a huge factor, as the connection between those two has consistently elevated Stroud's efficiency and touchdown production since coming into the league.”
Jason Kamlowsky· Jul 3, 2026“Nico Collins was discussed as a receiver whose combination of physical traits and offensive role keeps him firmly in the upper fantasy conversation. The analysis focused heavily on his ability to command targets while also producing explosive plays. There was a sense throughout the discussion that Collins has moved beyond simply being a breakout candidate and now belongs in the tier of receivers fantasy managers can trust weekly.”
FantasyPros Staff· May 23, 2026
“Favorite Stack: Burrow, Chase, Higgins, and Chase Brown are scattered throughout the articles this week, so this is where I want to lean into the stance instead of pretending those plays are independent. The fact that this game is Andy’s Almost Upset of the Week scares me more than it did a few days ago, but I still like the combo. Tee Higgins is due for a 20+ yard TD.”
Chris Cash· Sep 26, 2026“Chase Brown | $6,600 | @ PIT Brown has already handled 36 carries and eight receptions, including 23 touches last week against HOU (see, go get em, Jonathan Taylor ). PIT has allowed 256 rushing yards through two games at 4.3 yards per carry, so this matchup is juicy. Projection : 16.79 DK points at 10.35% pOwn, with a 27-point ceiling.”
Chris Cash· Sep 25, 2026“Chase Brown posted a 72% snap share, matching a true bell-cow workload — team-high 16 carries, including a designed goal-line touchdown, plus 5 catches on 6 targets.”
Andrew Erickson· Sep 16, 2026
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“On the other side of the ball, Burrow, Ja’Marr Chase , Higgins, and Chase Brown are all easy starts for the Ballers.”
Jordan Pullett· Sep 12, 2026“TB | DraftKings: $7,100/FanDuel: $7,500 Chase Brown is a workhorse running back in an elite offense. You can go with Jahmyr Gibbs here, too, but I prefer to save a bit of salary with Brown. The Bengals face the Buccaneers in a projected shootout, as highlighted by the game’s 50.5-point total.”
Frank Ammirante· Sep 12, 2026“Chase Brown ( CIN) : ADP 13.6 | RB 8 After a quiet rookie season, Brown has turned into a fantasy star.”
Mike Fanelli· Aug 31, 2026“2026 NFL Overs: Best Running Back Prop Bets David Montgomery — Over 825.5 Rushing Yards (-114) David Montgomery — Over 7.5 Rushing Touchdowns (-102) Chase Brown — Over 824.5 Rushing Yards (-110) Chase Brown — Over 5.5 Rushing Touchdowns (-125) 2026 NFL Longshot Running Back Prop Bets David Montgomery Touchdown Ladder 10+ Touchdowns (+195) 12+ Touchdowns (+350) 15+ Touchdowns (+800) Chase Brown Rushing Ladder 1000+ Rushing Yards (+210) 1250+ Rushing Yards (+550) 1500+ Rushing Yards (+1700) Fantasy football projections, like those done by Rich Hribar , can be a guide to help identify overvalued or undervalued players in the current betting markets.”
Curtis Hirsch· Aug 11, 2026“I don’t think any other running back is set up as well as Chase Brown is this season. The London, Ontario native is primed for his third straight top-12 season.”
Ellis Johnson· Aug 11, 2026“Chase Brown (RB – CIN) has real top-three overall ceiling that isn’t being discussed enough.”
FantasyPros Staff· Aug 10, 2026“Chase Brown is expected to play an important role in a highly functioning offense that could finish as one of the top-scoring teams in 2026. Brown is a pass-catching back who adds a vast amount of value due to his high reception rate, and dual threat in regards to touchdowns (11 total) . The running back for the Bengals caught 69 receptions for 437 yards.”
Steve Krebs· Aug 8, 2026
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