Mike Evans
vs David Montgomery
2026 · Week 5 · Half-PPR
The crowd’s lean
Week 5No weekly comparisons recorded for this pair.
This week
WEEK 5Evans
at SEA
Oct 11 · 4:25 PM ET
Montgomery
at TEN
Oct 11 · 1:00 PM ET
11.1
Projected
12.8
Projected
Half-PPR
projection
2026 season, per game
2025 season, per game
Full game log & past seasons +
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | TGT | REC | YD | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | — | 13.9 | WR16 | 7 | 6 | 49 | 1 |
2 | — | 6.9 | WR42 | 3 | 3 | 54 | — |
3 | — | 10.9 | WR29 | 6 | 3 | 34 | 1 |
4 | — | 10.1 | WR36 | 8 | 5 | 76 | — |
Earlier seasons (2025, 2024)
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | TGT | REC | YD | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | ATL | 7.6 | WR41 | 8 | 5 | 51 | — |
2 | HOU | 8.1 | WR49 | 11 | 5 | 56 | — |
3 | NYJ | 11.3 | WR27 | 8 | 4 | 33 | 1 |
4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
7 | DET | 0.0 | WR150 | 4 | — | — | — |
8 | BYE | — | — | — | — | — | — |
9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
12 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
14 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
15 | ATL | 16.2 | WR12 | 12 | 6 | 132 | — |
16 | CAR | 11.6 | WR23 | 9 | 5 | 31 | 1 |
17 | MIA | 10.6 | WR28 | 7 | 3 | 31 | 1 |
18 | CAR | 4.4 | WR50 | 2 | 2 | 34 | — |
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | TGT | REC | YD | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | WAS | 20.6 | WR6 | 6 | 5 | 61 | 2 |
2 | DET | 5.7 | WR46 | 6 | 3 | 42 | — |
3 | DEN | 2.7 | WR85 | 3 | 2 | 17 | — |
4 | PHI | 19.4 | WR6 | 14 | 8 | 94 | 1 |
5 | ATL | 20.7 | WR9 | 7 | 5 | 62 | 2 |
6 | NO | 4.4 | WR65 | 6 | 2 | 34 | — |
7 | BAL | 9.0 | WR25 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 1 |
8 | BYE | — | — | — | — | — | — |
9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
12 | NYG | 9.3 | WR27 | 6 | 5 | 68 | — |
13 | CAR | 21.8 | WR4 | 12 | 8 | 118 | 1 |
14 | LV | 8.9 | WR35 | 5 | 4 | 69 | — |
15 | LAC | 32.4 | WR2 | 11 | 9 | 159 | 2 |
16 | DAL | 9.4 | WR38 | 8 | 5 | 69 | — |
17 | CAR | 25.7 | WR5 | 9 | 8 | 97 | 2 |
18 | NO | 13.4 | WR21 | 14 | 9 | 89 | — |
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | ATT | YD | TD | TGT | REC | RYD | RTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | — | 27.4 | RB6 | 20 | 60 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 1 |
2 | — | 3.4 | RB47 | 6 | 10 | — | 2 | 2 | 14 | — |
3 | — | 5.8 | RB36 | 11 | 33 | — | 2 | 2 | 15 | — |
4 | — | 4.3 | RB46 | 10 | 24 | — | — | — | 19 | — |
Earlier seasons (2025, 2024)
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | ATT | YD | TD | TGT | REC | RYD | RTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | GB | 6.3 | RB35 | 11 | 25 | — | 4 | 4 | 18 | — |
2 | CHI | 12.6 | RB23 | 11 | 57 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | — |
3 | BAL | 28.9 | RB2 | 12 | 151 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13 | — |
4 | CLE | 1.2 | RB62 | 9 | 12 | — | 1 | — | — | — |
5 | CIN | 17.7 | RB9 | 18 | 65 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | — |
6 | KC | 7.1 | RB25 | 4 | 24 | — | 2 | 2 | 37 | — |
7 | TB | 4.9 | RB36 | 13 | 21 | — | 3 | 2 | 18 | — |
8 | BYE | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
9 | MIN | 10.0 | RB21 | 11 | 40 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 10 | — |
10 | WAS | 9.6 | RB25 | 15 | 71 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
11 | PHI | 4.2 | RB43 | 6 | 27 | — | 1 | 1 | 10 | — |
12 | NYG | 5.2 | RB36 | 5 | 18 | — | 3 | 3 | 19 | — |
13 | GB | 11.8 | RB22 | 8 | 32 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 16 | — |
14 | DAL | 13.8 | RB15 | 6 | 60 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | — |
15 | LAR | 9.2 | RB30 | 7 | 32 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — |
16 | PIT | 1.4 | RB63 | 4 | 14 | — | — | — | — | — |
17 | MIN | 5.0 | RB40 | 10 | 25 | — | 2 | 2 | 15 | — |
18 | CHI | 6.0 | RB35 | 8 | 42 | — | 1 | 1 | 13 | — |
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | ATT | YD | TD | TGT | REC | RYD | RTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | LAR | 15.8 | RB14 | 17 | 91 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | — |
2 | TB | 15.0 | RB13 | 11 | 35 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 35 | — |
3 | ARI | 19.7 | RB8 | 23 | 105 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 17 | — |
4 | SEA | 14.5 | RB18 | 12 | 40 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 40 | — |
5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
6 | DAL | 20.5 | RB5 | 12 | 80 | 2 | 1 | 1 | — | — |
7 | MIN | 6.5 | RB35 | 9 | 31 | — | 4 | 3 | 39 | — |
8 | TEN | 14.4 | RB17 | 9 | 33 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | — |
9 | GB | 11.1 | RB24 | 17 | 73 | — | 3 | 3 | 23 | — |
10 | HOU | 12.1 | RB16 | 12 | 32 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 24 | — |
11 | JAX | 23.0 | RB4 | 15 | 75 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 20 | — |
12 | IND | 14.8 | RB10 | 8 | 37 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 36 | — |
13 | CHI | 13.9 | RB15 | 21 | 88 | — | 3 | 3 | 36 | — |
14 | GB | 16.9 | RB10 | 14 | 51 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 33 | — |
15 | BUF | 5.5 | RB37 | 5 | 4 | — | 4 | 4 | 31 | — |
Expert takes
“A walk-in Hall of Famer as soon as he’s eligible, Evans will go down as the greatest offensive player in the history of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. He topped 1,000 yards in each of his first 11 seasons with the Bucs and scored 105 touchdowns over that splendid decade-plus.”
Pat Fitzmaurice· Sep 9, 2026“While it would be nice to see Evans practice more often as he attempts to integrate himself into Shanahan's offense, there isn't much else to be gained by him trying to push it at this point. Evans is a good bet to miss a few games in 2026, but the receiver corps is already so thin on proven playmakers that he may push for a 25% target share when he is on the field. He needs to be treated like a WR2 due to his injury risk, but he has massive WR1 upside.”
FFToday· Aug 25, 2026“Mayfield returns fully healthy, and veteran wideout Mike Evans has departed for San Francisco, leaving Chris Godwin as Egbuka’s main competition for targets.”
Evan Tarracciano· Aug 19, 2026
See 10 more
“Evans is not being drafted at WR27 because he suddenly stopped winning routes. He is being discounted because he is 33, has changed teams, and is coming off the first injury-ravaged season of his career.”
Javier Manzanera· Aug 14, 2026“However, if he ends up playing 13+ games, fantasy managers will be ecstatic. Another reason I am willing to take the risk of injury with Evans is that when he plays, he should be a locked-in top-12 player on this offense each week.”
Ellis Johnson· Aug 11, 2026“Mike Evans is now in San Francisco, which is important because when Evans wasn’t on the field last season, Egbuka’s target share was 28%”
Richard Janvrin· Aug 6, 2026“Mike Evans has a new home with the 49ers, and he looks like a wonderful value in fantasy drafts.”
FantasyPros Staff· Jul 21, 2026“Evans is almost 33 years old with an accumulation of injuries over 12 years. We are dangerously close to the performance cliff here, so it is perilous to assume that he will just absorb most of the 168-target vacancy.”
Vernon Meighan· Jul 8, 2026“Watch this space with the arrival of Mike Evans in San Francisco. Evans has been an integral part of one of the most efficient offenses in this category during his time down in Tampa Bay, and it will be interesting to see if that advantage translates to the same extent in Kyle Shanahan's system.”
Joe Gibbs· Jul 3, 2026“Investing in Evans can be risky, but we know he's got talent, is in a good situation, and is paired with a solid quarterback. This could be shaping up to be 2025 Davante Adams, which was a smash value in drafts.”
Jonathan Lange· Jun 15, 2026“Ted Hurst also has some potential as a big outside weapon and could replace some of Mike Evans' targets.”
Ryan McCrystal· Apr 26, 2026“Evans is obviously a clear WR1, and he still commanded a large target share when on the field last season. There was a slip in his efficiency, though.”
Sharp Football Staff· Apr 24, 2026“Mike Evans is set to play the first season of his 11-year career outside of Tampa Bay after signing a one-year deal with the San Francisco 49ers. He has the inside track to be the 49ers' WR1. The only concerns about Evans at his ADP are his age and health. Evans is entering his age-33 season, where production can rapidly decline. He has also missed 14 games over the last two campaigns.”
Edward DeLauter· Mar 19, 2026
“Montgomery has seen only 1.02 yards before contact per attempt and has been hit at or behind the line of scrimmage with 55.3% of his carries. I don’t see Montgomery finding any more running room this week. Tennessee has allowed the eighth-lowest explosive run rate and yards per carry, the sixth-fewest yards before contact per attempt, and the 13th-lowest EPA per rush.”
FantasyPros Staff· Oct 8, 2026“David Montgomery has been horrendous this season. We’re looking at just 2.7 YPA, 2.26 yards after contact per attempt (YCO/A) and only seven receptions in four games. As mentioned last week, Woody Marks hasn’t been much better analytically, and the blame shouldn’t be solely placed on them.”
Jim Moorman· Oct 6, 2026“After opening the season with 20 carries, 79 scrimmage yards, and three touchdowns, Montgomery has averaged nine carries and 36 scrimmage yards over his last three games, without scoring a touchdown in any of them. Even worse, Montgomery has turned his 47 carries this season into just 127 rushing yards — a miserable 2.7 yards per carry — and Woody Marks stole Houston’s lone rushing touchdown on Sunday. The workload is shrinking, the efficiency isn’t there and the touchdowns that were masking both problems have disappeared.”
Tim Brosnan· Oct 6, 2026
See 10 more
“Through three games, David Montgomery is averaging a whopping 2.7 YPA. He’s seeing about 52% of the touches, nowhere near the workhorse numbers everyone projected in the offseason. Woody Marks looks like the more explosive back of the two, though his numbers aren’t much better.”
Jim Moorman· Sep 29, 2026“Montgomery has a 4.5% explosive run rate, 1.54 yards after contact per attempt, and a 12% missed tackle rate. If Houston can play with a lead, Montgomery could have a bounceback game this week against Indy’s putrid run defense. Indy has allowed the third-highest explosive run rate, the sixth-highest rushing success rate, the seventh-most yards before contact per attempt, and the fourth-highest missed tackle rate.”
FantasyPros Staff· Sep 26, 2026“We have not seen much usage from Woody Marks yet, but David Montgomery should feast and may leave Marks (RB36) with some decent scraps. Blake Corum , RB, Los Angeles Rams The back half of 2025 saw Corum have an increase in workload with significant touches leading into the playoffs. Corum appears to be maintaining a similar workload and is due for a trip to the endzone.”
Peter Kettering· Sep 24, 2026“On the bright side, Montgomery does still have all four of the Texans’ carries inside the 10-yard line. But goal-line work alone is a recipe for an inconsistent FLEX play, not a viable RB2. The whole thesis behind Montgomery this season was his workhorse volume, and it hasn’t been there through two weeks (he’s also been fairly inefficient, for what it’s worth).”
Ted Chmyz· Sep 23, 2026“David Montgomery will likely operate as the team’s workhorse.”
FantasyPros Staff· Sep 12, 2026“David Montgomery (RB – HOU) I’m not buying the offseason narratives that the Texans backfield will be a 50/50 split. David Montgomery will likely operate as the team’s workhorse.”
FantasyPros Staff· Sep 11, 2026“Longshot Bet: David Montgomery to Lead the NFL in Rushing Yards (+8000) David Montgomery has bell-cow history.”
Curtis Hirsch· Sep 2, 2026“David Montgomery (HOU) At his cost in the middle rounds, Montgomery has the potential to win your league.”
Joshua Poniatowski· Sep 2, 2026“For all those reasons, David Montgomery is a player I am not leaving any drafts with, especially because this potential top-12 running back can be drafted.” – Adam Dove ( The Fantasy Couriers ) Travis Etienne Jr.”
FantasyPros Staff· Aug 30, 2026“Montgomery has played seven seasons in the NFL and has had 201 carries or more in five of them. He fell under that number in the last two seasons (185 in 2024 and 158 in 2025), but that was mostly due to how utterly unstoppable Jahmyr Gibbs is.”
Richard Janvrin· Aug 29, 2026
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