Kenneth Walker
vs Justin Jefferson
2026 · Week 5 · Half-PPR
The crowd’s lean
Week 5No weekly comparisons recorded for this pair.
This week
WEEK 5Walker
Bye week
Jefferson
at NO
Oct 11 · 1:00 PM ET
Questionable
—
Bye week
13.4
Projected
Half-PPR
projection
2026 season, per game
2025 season, per game
Full game log & past seasons +
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | ATT | YD | TD | TGT | REC | RYD | RTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | — | 32.6 | RB2 | 23 | 173 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 18 | 1 |
2 | — | 20.8 | RB2 | 24 | 117 | — | 10 | 6 | 61 | — |
3 | — | 20.3 | RB4 | 18 | 70 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
4 | — | 30.4 | RB2 | 22 | 177 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | — |
Earlier seasons (2025, 2024)
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | ATT | YD | TD | TGT | REC | RYD | RTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | SF | 3.9 | RB42 | 10 | 20 | — | 3 | 3 | 4 | — |
2 | PIT | 18.3 | RB8 | 13 | 105 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | — |
3 | NO | 17.5 | RB10 | 16 | 38 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | — |
4 | ARI | 11.5 | RB26 | 19 | 81 | — | 2 | 1 | 29 | — |
5 | TB | 9.1 | RB26 | 10 | 86 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
6 | JAX | 4.2 | RB40 | 10 | 34 | — | 1 | 1 | 3 | — |
7 | HOU | 6.6 | RB28 | 17 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — |
8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
9 | WAS | 7.1 | RB28 | 11 | 42 | — | 2 | 2 | 19 | — |
10 | ARI | 7.5 | RB36 | 14 | 67 | — | 1 | 1 | 3 | — |
11 | LAR | 18.6 | RB10 | 16 | 67 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 44 | — |
12 | TEN | 11.6 | RB17 | 11 | 71 | — | 4 | 3 | 30 | — |
13 | MIN | 8.9 | RB35 | 13 | 56 | — | 4 | 3 | 18 | — |
14 | ATL | 3.3 | RB49 | 10 | 29 | — | 3 | 1 | -1 | — |
15 | IND | 2.4 | RB56 | 9 | 17 | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | — |
16 | LAR | 23.9 | RB7 | 11 | 100 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 64 | — |
17 | CAR | 6.7 | RB30 | 15 | 51 | — | 2 | 2 | 6 | — |
18 | SF | 15.3 | RB11 | 16 | 97 | — | 4 | 4 | 36 | — |
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | ATT | YD | TD | TGT | REC | RYD | RTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | DEN | 17.9 | RB8 | 20 | 103 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | — |
2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
4 | DET | 31.6 | RB2 | 12 | 80 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 36 | — |
5 | NYG | 11.1 | RB21 | 5 | 19 | — | 8 | 7 | 57 | — |
6 | SF | 16.9 | RB13 | 14 | 32 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 37 | — |
7 | ATL | 22.3 | RB9 | 14 | 69 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 24 | 1 |
8 | BUF | 6.5 | RB41 | 9 | 12 | — | 5 | 4 | 33 | — |
9 | LAR | 12.2 | RB19 | 25 | 83 | — | 3 | 3 | 24 | — |
10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
11 | SF | 12.9 | RB15 | 14 | 54 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | — |
12 | ARI | 11.3 | RB15 | 16 | 41 | — | 6 | 4 | 52 | — |
13 | NYJ | 5.6 | RB44 | 16 | 49 | — | 3 | 2 | -3 | — |
14 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
15 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
16 | MIN | 9.9 | RB28 | 8 | 31 | — | 8 | 8 | 28 | — |
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | TGT | REC | YD | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | — | 27.2 | WR3 | 9 | 8 | 92 | 2 |
2 | — | 7.0 | WR40 | 6 | 3 | 55 | — |
3 | — | 4.2 | WR73 | 2 | 2 | 32 | — |
4 | — | 0.0 | WR228 | — | — | — | — |
Earlier seasons (2025, 2024)
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | TGT | REC | YD | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | CHI | 12.8 | WR20 | 7 | 4 | 44 | 1 |
2 | ATL | 9.6 | WR38 | 6 | 3 | 81 | — |
3 | CIN | 10.0 | WR33 | 7 | 5 | 75 | — |
4 | PIT | 17.6 | WR9 | 11 | 10 | 126 | — |
5 | CLE | 15.8 | WR11 | 11 | 7 | 123 | — |
6 | BYE | — | — | — | — | — | — |
7 | PHI | 10.4 | WR26 | 10 | 5 | 79 | — |
8 | LAC | 10.9 | WR26 | 11 | 7 | 74 | — |
9 | DET | 13.7 | WR18 | 9 | 6 | 47 | 1 |
10 | BAL | 5.7 | WR44 | 12 | 4 | 37 | — |
11 | CHI | 8.6 | WR27 | 9 | 5 | 61 | — |
12 | GB | 6.8 | WR39 | 6 | 4 | 48 | — |
13 | SEA | 1.4 | WR95 | 6 | 2 | 4 | — |
14 | WAS | 2.1 | WR81 | 4 | 2 | 11 | — |
15 | DAL | 3.2 | WR77 | 8 | 2 | 22 | — |
16 | NYG | 11.5 | WR26 | 8 | 6 | 85 | — |
17 | DET | 5.0 | WR52 | 5 | 4 | 30 | — |
18 | GB | 14.4 | WR10 | 11 | 8 | 101 | — |
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | TGT | REC | YD | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | NYG | 13.9 | WR15 | 6 | 4 | 59 | 1 |
2 | SF | 21.3 | WR7 | 7 | 4 | 133 | 1 |
3 | HOU | 17.1 | WR14 | 8 | 6 | 81 | 1 |
4 | GB | 17.5 | WR11 | 8 | 6 | 85 | 1 |
5 | NYJ | 12.2 | WR23 | 14 | 6 | 92 | — |
6 | BYE | — | — | — | — | — | — |
7 | DET | 17.9 | WR5 | 8 | 7 | 81 | 1 |
8 | LAR | 15.5 | WR13 | 9 | 8 | 115 | — |
9 | IND | 18.1 | WR9 | 9 | 7 | 137 | — |
10 | JAX | 7.3 | WR33 | 9 | 5 | 48 | — |
11 | TEN | 11.1 | WR29 | 8 | 6 | 81 | — |
12 | CHI | 3.7 | WR64 | 5 | 2 | 27 | — |
13 | ARI | 13.4 | WR23 | 9 | 7 | 99 | — |
14 | ATL | 28.7 | WR4 | 7 | 7 | 132 | 2 |
15 | CHI | 16.8 | WR15 | 14 | 7 | 73 | 1 |
16 | SEA | 31.4 | WR1 | 13 | 10 | 144 | 2 |
17 | GB | 13.2 | WR29 | 11 | 8 | 92 | — |
18 | DET | 6.9 | WR55 | 9 | 3 | 54 | — |
Expert takes
“Omarion Hampton – 53% Kenneth Walker has 40 missed tackles forced on his runs through 4 games. Only 18 RBs had more than that all last regular season. Only two RBs have at least 4.00 yards after contact per rush and an avoided tackle rate of at least 30%: • Kenneth Walker • Bhayshul Tuten Rushing Yards After Contact per Attempt Leaders in 2026: 1.”
The FF Newsletter· Oct 8, 2026“Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes didn’t even play all that well, completing just 50 percent of his passes, and it didn’t matter because Walker ran for 177 on just 21 carries. His efficiency and explosiveness is unmatched and there isn’t a better back in the NFL right now. Injuries to Kansas City’s receivers keep piling up, but their offense runs through Walker.”
Ethan Woodie· Oct 6, 2026“Walker has flourished as a rusher and a receiver, and King Henry continues to hold off Father Time and turn back the clock. I would still take Bijan Robinson over these two today, but they wouldn’t be far behind. Biggest Risers”
Jim Moorman· Oct 3, 2026
See 10 more
“Kenneth Walker has been making all the noise, but his current workload pace is unsustainable. The Chiefs should have a positive gamescript in Miami, presenting a strong opportunity to have an increase in carries. Entering the week ranked as the RB39, Johnson could have more opportunities to spell Walker, especially because history & conventional wisdom has shown Walker does best with fresh legs.”
Peter Kettering· Sep 24, 2026“We got a look at the ceiling this offense, with more balance and operating around Kenneth Walker , can bring to Mahomes. This was more in line with 2022 Mahomes, when he was just getting everyone involved. Mahomes connected on 32 of 47 passes (68.1%) for 382 yards (8.1 Y/A) with 3 touchdowns.”
Rich Hribar· Sep 23, 2026“Walker had 30 touches this past week, averaging nearly 5 YPC on the ground and 10 yards per reception on short dump-offs and screen passes. His presence allows Kansas City to be truly two-dimensional on offense for the first time in years, which is a scary prospect for the rest of the league. Patrick Mahomes openly gushed about Walker’s presence before this game started in an interview, saying that he wasn’t surprised by his success thus far, considering he was the Super Bowl MVP.”
Evan Tarracciano· Sep 21, 2026“It’s just the fourth time since his rookie season that Walker has hit 23 carries in a game, including the Super Bowl, and if the Chiefs offense continues to revolve around K9, he’s in for a special run.”
Chad Workman· Sep 16, 2026“Kenneth Walker – 6 targets, 3 rec Rashee Rice – 2 targets, 2 rec Walker did most of his work on the ground while dominating Monday Night Football, but do not overlook his work through the air. He only saw six or more targets five times in his 62 career games as a Seahawk. That kind of work in the passing game will be useful for fantasy if things aren’t going so well on the ground.”
Aaron Larson· Sep 15, 2026“Denver Broncos Walker had an exceptional debut. The reigning Super Bowl MVP had an incredible first outing with his new team, dominating the Broncos on the ground and fundamentally changing what Kansas City’s offense looked like. Patrick Mahomes had an up-and-down performance off his knee injury, but it didn’t matter.”
Ethan Woodie· Sep 15, 2026“The Seahawks made it clear this offseason they wanted Price in a role similar to what Kenneth Walker had last year, and if you remember correctly, we hated that role until Zach Charbonnet got injured. Jadarian Price every touch in his NFL debut He’s a natural fit in the Seahawks wide zone offense, averaging 5.2 yards/carry Wednesday night.”
Wyatt Bertolone· Sep 14, 2026“Joining Kansas City with a huge payday, Walker should be thrust into one of the largest workloads of his career. Walker played over 60% of the offensive snaps in just one game during the regular season last year before being thrust into a larger role after Zach Charbonnet suffered a knee injury in the playoffs.”
Rich Hribar· Sep 9, 2026“Don’t be surprised if Walker takes advantage of a light box and dominates as the featured guy in a dangerous Kansas City offense.”
Mike Fanelli· Aug 26, 2026“Walker is the most interesting addition. He has good hands and could take away some short opportunities. He can also help Kansas City sustain drives, create more red zone possessions, and improve an offense that ranked only 15th in points last season.”
Javier Manzanera· Aug 23, 2026
“Jefferson missed the Vikings’ 15-10 win over the Dolphins last Sunday with a sprained ankle, and Addison is dealing with a hamstring injury.”
Connor Byrne· Oct 10, 2026“Justin Jefferson caught 3 of a team-high 6 targets for 55 yards, no touchdown. Remains the unambiguous WR1 (33.3% adjusted target share, 61% air yards share) even in a shrunken passing game. Jordan Addison caught 2 of 5 targets for 21 yards.”
Andrew Erickson· Sep 22, 2026“Wentz threw for just 133 yards in about 3.5 quarters of play Sunday, but his three TDs and clear connection with Justin Jefferson should at least catch fantasy managers’ eyes.”
Kurt Mullen· Sep 15, 2026
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“Jefferson looked especially miserable last year while enduring the worst season of his career. With J.J. McCarthy completely overwhelmed as an NFL quarterback, Jefferson finished with 84 catches, 1,048 yards, and two touchdowns.”
Pat Fitzmaurice· Sep 9, 2026“Justin Jefferson (WR – MIN) | ADP: 11.8 (WR6) While he has been a fantasy superstar since entering the NFL, Justin Jefferson is coming off a massively disappointing season.”
Mike Fanelli· Aug 29, 2026“Justin Jefferson (WR – MIN) Finishes Outside the Top 20 Wide Receivers The prediction: Jefferson, currently going as a top-six receiver, finishes this season outside the top 20 at his position. This is partly a skepticism play on his new starting quarterback’s fit in this specific offense, particularly real questions about accessing the middle of the field effectively. Even last year, on a per-route basis, Jefferson already graded as only a fringe top-15 to top-17 receiver in efficiency metrics, not a true elite option, once poor quarterback play is set aside.”
FantasyPros Staff· Aug 28, 2026“Jefferson has been a fantasy superstar since he entered the NFL. Unfortunately, the veteran is coming off a massively disappointing season, finishing last year as the WR21, averaging 11.9 PPR fantasy points per game despite finishing seventh in the league with 141 targets.”
Mike Fanelli· Aug 15, 2026“With a better quarterback, Justin Jefferson is a top-five pick, but with J.J. McCarthy ‘s past poor play and the uncertainty of Kyler Murray , we get a discount on one of the best wide receivers in the league.”
Kurt Blakeway· Aug 14, 2026“Last year, Jefferson was still sixth in target share (28.5%) and seventh in first-read share (35.1%), so we should all expect the Minnesota passing attack to run through their alpha wide receiver again in 2026.”
FantasyPros Staff· Aug 14, 2026“Last year, Justin Jefferson had a horrible runout as the WR28 in fantasy points per game (WR14 in expected fantasy points per game). Obviously, a ton of his season was impacted by the level of quarterback play, but Jefferson also slid to 36th in separation score and 38th in route win rate (among 109 qualifying receivers, per Fantasy Points Data).”
FantasyPros Staff· Aug 14, 2026“Justin Jefferson is the fifth-best wide receiver in the Madden universe, apparently”
The FF Newsletter· Aug 6, 2026“This wasn’t Jefferson’s fault, however. Among wide receivers with 50+ targets, Jefferson ranked 58th in catchable target rate (71%). J.J. McCarthy stunk, and all indications are that Kyler Murray is the clear favorite to be the starter in 2026, and possibly beyond.”
Tom Strachan· Jul 27, 2026“Jefferson should immediately become Murray’s go-to receiver, making an overall WR1 finish well within reach.”
Kyle Zeigler· Jul 23, 2026“The Ballers agree that if Kyler takes the leading QB role, they are confident that Jefferson will be back as a top-tier WR. However, they see him more as a back-end WR1.”
Maggie Thraen· Jul 19, 2026
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