Justin Jefferson
vs Josh Jacobs

“Jefferson looked especially miserable last year while enduring the worst season of his career. With J.J. McCarthy completely overwhelmed as an NFL quarterback, Jefferson finished with 84 catches, 1,048 yards, and two touchdowns.”

“Justin Jefferson (WR – MIN) | ADP: 11.8 (WR6) While he has been a fantasy superstar since entering the NFL, Justin Jefferson is coming off a massively disappointing season.”

“Justin Jefferson (WR – MIN) Finishes Outside the Top 20 Wide Receivers The prediction: Jefferson, currently going as a top-six receiver, finishes this season outside the top 20 at his position. This is partly a skepticism play on his new starting quarterback’s fit in this specific offense, particularly real questions about accessing the middle of the field effectively. Even last year, on a per-route basis, Jefferson already graded as only a fringe top-15 to top-17 receiver in efficiency metrics, not a true elite option, once poor quarterback play is set aside.”

“Jefferson has been a fantasy superstar since he entered the NFL. Unfortunately, the veteran is coming off a massively disappointing season, finishing last year as the WR21, averaging 11.9 PPR fantasy points per game despite finishing seventh in the league with 141 targets.”

“With a better quarterback, Justin Jefferson is a top-five pick, but with J.J. McCarthy ‘s past poor play and the uncertainty of Kyler Murray , we get a discount on one of the best wide receivers in the league.”

“Last year, Jefferson was still sixth in target share (28.5%) and seventh in first-read share (35.1%), so we should all expect the Minnesota passing attack to run through their alpha wide receiver again in 2026.”

“Last year, Justin Jefferson had a horrible runout as the WR28 in fantasy points per game (WR14 in expected fantasy points per game). Obviously, a ton of his season was impacted by the level of quarterback play, but Jefferson also slid to 36th in separation score and 38th in route win rate (among 109 qualifying receivers, per Fantasy Points Data).”

“Justin Jefferson is the fifth-best wide receiver in the Madden universe, apparently”

“This wasn’t Jefferson’s fault, however. Among wide receivers with 50+ targets, Jefferson ranked 58th in catchable target rate (71%). J.J. McCarthy stunk, and all indications are that Kyler Murray is the clear favorite to be the starter in 2026, and possibly beyond.”

“Jefferson should immediately become Murray’s go-to receiver, making an overall WR1 finish well within reach.”

“The Ballers agree that if Kyler takes the leading QB role, they are confident that Jefferson will be back as a top-tier WR. However, they see him more as a back-end WR1.”

“Jacobs was originally booked on five charges, including strangulation, but instead faced reduced charges of misdemeanor battery and criminal damage to property. Generally speaking, the NFL has a six-game minimum suspension length for incidents of domestic violence. Jacobs, 28, was selected with the No. 24 overall pick by the Raiders out of Alabama in 2019.”

“5% Josh Jacobs is on the commissioner’s exempt list, which suddenly puts Lloyd in position to lead GB’s backfield with limited NFL experience.”

“Based on the NFL’s statement, though, there is still no timeline for clarity to emerge regarding how much time Jacobs will miss during the regular season. As noted by Mark Maske of Front Office Sports , any games Jacobs spends on the commissioner’s exempt list before a ban were to be handed down would count toward his suspension. Players typically lose their game checks for each contest missed through suspension, but Maske adds Jacobs would have his pay returned for any games sidelined on the exempt list prior to a suspension being handed down.”

“The legal situation swirling around Josh Jacobs will definitely put a crimp into the plans of how the Packers operate, forcing oft-injured MarShawn Lloyd to become the de facto top running back instead.”

“Josh Jacobs was placed on the Commissioner's Exempt List, and his availability is unknown.”

“Josh Jacobs is one of the easiest running backs to target on Fantrax if he slips to his ADP of 40. At a 32 ADP on FantasyPros, that is eight picks later than other sites. Jacobs has already demonstrated a high-end fantasy ceiling and a true workhorse role in Green Bay.”

“Round 13: MarShawn Lloyd (RB – GB) Josh Jacobs could still be suspended by the NFL, allowing MarShawn Lloyd a chance to get on the field.”

“If healthy, Jacobs has a top-5 fantasy ceiling. But as the 28-year-old continues to pile up volume and small injuries, fantasy managers should be wary of the production tapering off.”

“Josh Jacobs (RB – GB) Going as the RB14, 21st overall, Jacobs is projected for 289 carries, 1,161 rushing yards, and 12 rushing touchdowns, plus another 36 catches and roughly one receiving touchdown. Health was the story that took some shine off last season, as a knee bruise and thigh injury limited him over the second half.”

“Josh Jacobs was involved in an offseason domestic incident that is reportedly still under investigation, though no charges have been filed.”

“1 | Diff: +5 Josh Jacobs has been the RB8 and RB9 in fantasy points per game during his two seasons in Green Bay.”

“Josh Jacobs might be the biggest value in early fantasy football drafts. Despite finishing as a productive fantasy back last season, Jacobs is currently being drafted outside the top 12 running backs in many formats. The case is simple: Green Bay trusts Jacobs near the goal line, he remains heavily involved as an early-down runner, and his receiving floor is underrated.”