Justin Jefferson vs Chris Olave
2026 draft comparison · half-PPR
Updated Aug 27, 2026
Should you draft Justin Jefferson or Chris Olave?
Last season — 2025, per game
Full game log & past seasons
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | TGT | REC | YD | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | CHI | 12.8 | WR20 | 7 | 4 | 44 | 1 |
2 | ATL | 9.6 | WR38 | 6 | 3 | 81 | 0 |
3 | CIN | 10.0 | WR33 | 7 | 5 | 75 | 0 |
4 | PIT | 17.6 | WR9 | 11 | 10 | 126 | 0 |
5 | CLE | 15.8 | WR11 | 11 | 7 | 123 | 0 |
6 | BYE | — | — | — | — | — | — |
7 | PHI | 10.4 | WR26 | 10 | 5 | 79 | 0 |
8 | LAC | 10.9 | WR26 | 11 | 7 | 74 | 0 |
9 | DET | 13.7 | WR18 | 9 | 6 | 47 | 1 |
10 | BAL | 5.7 | WR44 | 12 | 4 | 37 | 0 |
11 | CHI | 8.6 | WR27 | 9 | 5 | 61 | 0 |
12 | GB | 6.8 | WR39 | 6 | 4 | 48 | 0 |
13 | SEA | 1.4 | WR95 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
14 | WAS | 2.1 | WR81 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 0 |
15 | DAL | 3.2 | WR77 | 8 | 2 | 22 | 0 |
16 | NYG | 11.5 | WR26 | 8 | 6 | 85 | 0 |
17 | DET | 5.0 | WR52 | 5 | 4 | 30 | 0 |
18 | GB | 14.4 | WR10 | 11 | 8 | 101 | 0 |
Earlier seasons (2024)
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | TGT | REC | YD | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | NYG | 13.9 | WR15 | 6 | 4 | 59 | 1 |
2 | SF | 21.3 | WR7 | 7 | 4 | 133 | 1 |
3 | HOU | 17.1 | WR14 | 8 | 6 | 81 | 1 |
4 | GB | 17.5 | WR11 | 8 | 6 | 85 | 1 |
5 | NYJ | 12.2 | WR23 | 14 | 6 | 92 | 0 |
6 | BYE | — | — | — | — | — | — |
7 | DET | 17.9 | WR5 | 8 | 7 | 81 | 1 |
8 | LAR | 15.5 | WR13 | 9 | 8 | 115 | 0 |
9 | IND | 18.1 | WR9 | 9 | 7 | 137 | 0 |
10 | JAX | 7.3 | WR33 | 9 | 5 | 48 | 0 |
11 | TEN | 11.1 | WR29 | 8 | 6 | 81 | 0 |
12 | CHI | 3.7 | WR64 | 5 | 2 | 27 | 0 |
13 | ARI | 13.4 | WR23 | 9 | 7 | 99 | 0 |
14 | ATL | 28.7 | WR4 | 7 | 7 | 132 | 2 |
15 | CHI | 16.8 | WR15 | 14 | 7 | 73 | 1 |
16 | SEA | 31.4 | WR1 | 13 | 10 | 144 | 2 |
17 | GB | 13.2 | WR29 | 11 | 8 | 92 | 0 |
18 | DET | 6.9 | WR55 | 9 | 3 | 54 | 0 |
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | TGT | REC | YD | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | ARI | 8.9 | WR33 | 13 | 7 | 54 | 0 |
2 | SF | 8.4 | WR46 | 10 | 6 | 54 | 0 |
3 | SEA | 10.7 | WR31 | 14 | 10 | 57 | 0 |
4 | BUF | 8.5 | WR34 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 1 |
5 | NYG | 9.4 | WR35 | 11 | 7 | 59 | 0 |
6 | NE | 12.8 | WR18 | 10 | 6 | 98 | 0 |
7 | CHI | 24.3 | WR4 | 7 | 5 | 98 | 2 |
8 | TB | 10.0 | WR33 | 12 | 8 | 63 | 0 |
9 | LAR | 7.2 | WR44 | 4 | 3 | 57 | 0 |
10 | CAR | 18.9 | WR6 | 8 | 5 | 104 | 1 |
11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
12 | ATL | 11.5 | WR23 | 13 | 9 | 70 | 0 |
13 | MIA | 12.7 | WR19 | 7 | 4 | 47 | 1 |
14 | TB | 4.5 | WR52 | 5 | 3 | 30 | 0 |
15 | CAR | 17.5 | WR10 | 9 | 6 | 85 | 1 |
16 | NYJ | 31.8 | WR2 | 16 | 10 | 148 | 2 |
17 | TEN | 21.9 | WR2 | 11 | 8 | 119 | 1 |
Earlier seasons (2024)
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | TGT | REC | YD | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | CAR | 2.1 | WR88 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 0 |
2 | DAL | 10.8 | WR26 | 6 | 4 | 81 | 0 |
3 | PHI | 17.6 | WR12 | 6 | 6 | 86 | 1 |
4 | ATL | 12.7 | WR26 | 10 | 8 | 87 | 0 |
5 | KC | 2.0 | WR82 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 0 |
6 | TB | -1.0 | WR139 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
8 | LAC | 14.7 | WR19 | 14 | 8 | 107 | 0 |
9 | CAR | 1.8 | WR86 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 0 |
Latest takes
“Justin Jefferson failed to live up to his ADP, while Jordan Addison couldn’t be trusted with anyone but Wentz starting. The veteran averaged 7.5 targets and 16 PPR fantasy points per game during the four contests he played with Wentz, totaling 15.1+ points in all but one outing.”
Mike Fanelli· Aug 25“Justin Jefferson (WR – MIN) | Under 1,376 Receiving Yards & 293.71 Fantasy Points As is the case with Drake London, Justin Jefferson finds himself in a quarterback situation where neither candidate is particularly promising. Kyler Murray is by far the more reliable option over J.J.”
Steve Krebs· Aug 25“Round 3: Justin Jefferson (QB – MIN) I feel great about Justin Jefferson this season with Kyler Murray as his quarterback.”
Richard Janvrin· Aug 22
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“Round 12: Jauan Jennings (WR – MIN) Jauan Jennings enters a crowded offense with Justin Jefferson , Jordan Addison and T.”
Richard Janvrin· Aug 22“Brown , Jaxon Smith‑Njigba , Justin Jefferson and CeeDee Lamb all provide stable weekly production because their offenses run directly through them.”
Lawrence Iacona· Aug 19“Jefferson has been a fantasy superstar since he entered the NFL. Unfortunately, the veteran is coming off a massively disappointing season, finishing last year as the WR21, averaging 11.9 PPR fantasy points per game despite finishing seventh in the league with 141 targets.”
Mike Fanelli· Aug 15“With a better quarterback, Justin Jefferson is a top-five pick, but with J.J. McCarthy ‘s past poor play and the uncertainty of Kyler Murray , we get a discount on one of the best wide receivers in the league.”
Kurt Blakeway· Aug 14“Last year, Jefferson was still sixth in target share (28.5%) and seventh in first-read share (35.1%), so we should all expect the Minnesota passing attack to run through their alpha wide receiver again in 2026.”
FantasyPros Staff· Aug 14“Last year, Justin Jefferson had a horrible runout as the WR28 in fantasy points per game (WR14 in expected fantasy points per game). Obviously, a ton of his season was impacted by the level of quarterback play, but Jefferson also slid to 36th in separation score and 38th in route win rate (among 109 qualifying receivers, per Fantasy Points Data).”
FantasyPros Staff· Aug 14“Justin Jefferson is the fifth-best wide receiver in the Madden universe, apparently”
The FF Newsletter· Aug 6“Tate isn’t entering the NFL with the pedigree of a Ja’Marr Chase or Justin Jefferson , for example, but his combination of age, draft capital, and college production is extremely appealing”
Ryan Kirksey· Aug 6“Having Justin Jefferson , Jordan Addison , and Jauan Jennings at your disposal is an embarrassment of riches”
Kyle Zeigler· Aug 6“Round 3: Justin Jefferson (WR – MIN) Wow. Jaxon Smith-Njigba and Justin Jefferson ?”
Richard Janvrin· Aug 5“This wasn’t Jefferson’s fault, however. Among wide receivers with 50+ targets, Jefferson ranked 58th in catchable target rate (71%). J.J. McCarthy stunk, and all indications are that Kyler Murray is the clear favorite to be the starter in 2026, and possibly beyond.”
Tom Strachan· Jul 27“From WR2 in 2024 to WR21 in 2025, Justin Jefferson took quite the fall in production.”
Vernon Meighan· Jul 24
“Chris Olave is my answer because the market is still pricing him as a back-end WR1 while I see a legitimate path to a top-five season.”
FantasyPros Staff· Aug 25“However, fantasy players shouldn’t be shocked if Harrison is this year’s Chris Olave , a mid-round pick who finishes as a top-12 wide receiver. Arizona improvised its coaching staff by hiring an offense-minded head coach this offseason, like the New Orleans Saints did last year.”
Mike Fanelli· Aug 25“Chris Olave finally delivered the WR1 fantasy season managers had been waiting for, finishing as a top-10 WR after commanding elite volume in Kellen Moore’s fast-paced offense.”
FantasyPros Staff· Aug 25
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“Round 6: Tyler Shough (QB – NO) With Chris Olave on my squad, getting the stack is a nice bonus.”
Richard Janvrin· Aug 22“Round 4: Chris Olave (WR – NO) With Tyler Shough as his quarterback and Rashid Shaheed not on the field, Olave had a near 30% target share.”
Richard Janvrin· Aug 22“Before the trade, Shaheed ranked top-15 in WR targets and consistently produced alongside Chris Olave in the Saints offense.”
FantasyPros Staff· Aug 22“With McDaniel’s WR1 averaging 16.6 fantasy points per game over the last three seasons, McConkey has legitimate overall WR1 upside at his current cost.” – Ryan Linkletter ( Blitz Sports Media ) “ Ladd McConkey – Last year, we saw Jaxon Smith-Njigba and Chris Olave thrive under new offensive leadership in Klint Kubiak and Kellen Moore, respectively.”
FantasyPros Staff· Aug 11“Olave just signed a massive contract extension, which one analyst points to as the exact reason to sell rather than a reason for confidence. His talent isn’t in question, but he carries an extensive concussion history and dealt with blood clots last year, both serious long-term red flags.”
FantasyPros Staff· Aug 9“Chris Olave is the #1 option at wide receiver on a team that relies heavily on his ability to stack receptions and yards. Olave hauled in 100 receptions last season, for over 1,160 yards, and nine touchdowns. The wide receiver for the Saints looks to be in a fantastic spot to repeat the production of the previous season or possibly even improve.”
Steve Krebs· Aug 8“Chris Olave ’s 2025 Reception Perception profile:”
The FF Newsletter· Aug 6“Shough is the unquestioned starter entering 2026, and he’s entering his second season with Chris Olave still in place and Tyson joining the offense”
Ryan Kirksey· Aug 6“They also locked up Chris Olave with a massive contract extension”
Ryan Kirksey· Aug 6“There are a lot of factors to consider when determining the value of a fantasy asset, and it is no different when evaluating the dynasty value of Chris Olave . We can look at the optimistic picture painted by his success with a new QB & new coach, finishing as the WR6 in the 2025 season.”
Peter Kettering· Jul 24“After several concussions, most notably two in 2024, Olave returned to form. Olave played 16 games, putting up 100 receptions, 1163 yards, and nine TDs before missing Week 18 due to a blood clot.”
Peter Kettering· Jul 24“That has him going ahead of players like Chris Olave , DeVonta Smith and Tetairoa McMillan — all of whom have similar WR1 upside without the same red flags.”
Ted Chmyz· Jul 22