Justin Jefferson vs Ashton Jeanty
2026 draft comparison · half-PPR
Updated Aug 20, 2026
All time: Jefferson 77%Jeanty 23%
Should you draft Justin Jefferson or Ashton Jeanty?
Last season — 2025, per game
Full game log & past seasons
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | TGT | REC | YD | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | CHI | 12.8 | WR20 | 7 | 4 | 44 | 1 |
2 | ATL | 9.6 | WR38 | 6 | 3 | 81 | 0 |
3 | CIN | 10.0 | WR33 | 7 | 5 | 75 | 0 |
4 | PIT | 17.6 | WR9 | 11 | 10 | 126 | 0 |
5 | CLE | 15.8 | WR11 | 11 | 7 | 123 | 0 |
6 | BYE | — | — | — | — | — | — |
7 | PHI | 10.4 | WR26 | 10 | 5 | 79 | 0 |
8 | LAC | 10.9 | WR26 | 11 | 7 | 74 | 0 |
9 | DET | 13.7 | WR18 | 9 | 6 | 47 | 1 |
10 | BAL | 5.7 | WR44 | 12 | 4 | 37 | 0 |
11 | CHI | 8.6 | WR27 | 9 | 5 | 61 | 0 |
12 | GB | 6.8 | WR39 | 6 | 4 | 48 | 0 |
13 | SEA | 1.4 | WR95 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
14 | WAS | 2.1 | WR81 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 0 |
15 | DAL | 3.2 | WR77 | 8 | 2 | 22 | 0 |
16 | NYG | 11.5 | WR26 | 8 | 6 | 85 | 0 |
17 | DET | 5.0 | WR52 | 5 | 4 | 30 | 0 |
18 | GB | 14.4 | WR10 | 11 | 8 | 101 | 0 |
Earlier seasons (2024)
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | TGT | REC | YD | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | NYG | 13.9 | WR15 | 6 | 4 | 59 | 1 |
2 | SF | 21.3 | WR7 | 7 | 4 | 133 | 1 |
3 | HOU | 17.1 | WR14 | 8 | 6 | 81 | 1 |
4 | GB | 17.5 | WR11 | 8 | 6 | 85 | 1 |
5 | NYJ | 12.2 | WR23 | 14 | 6 | 92 | 0 |
6 | BYE | — | — | — | — | — | — |
7 | DET | 17.9 | WR5 | 8 | 7 | 81 | 1 |
8 | LAR | 15.5 | WR13 | 9 | 8 | 115 | 0 |
9 | IND | 18.1 | WR9 | 9 | 7 | 137 | 0 |
10 | JAX | 7.3 | WR33 | 9 | 5 | 48 | 0 |
11 | TEN | 11.1 | WR29 | 8 | 6 | 81 | 0 |
12 | CHI | 3.7 | WR64 | 5 | 2 | 27 | 0 |
13 | ARI | 13.4 | WR23 | 9 | 7 | 99 | 0 |
14 | ATL | 28.7 | WR4 | 7 | 7 | 132 | 2 |
15 | CHI | 16.8 | WR15 | 14 | 7 | 73 | 1 |
16 | SEA | 31.4 | WR1 | 13 | 10 | 144 | 2 |
17 | GB | 13.2 | WR29 | 11 | 8 | 92 | 0 |
18 | DET | 6.9 | WR55 | 9 | 3 | 54 | 0 |
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | ATT | YD | TD | TGT | REC | RYD | RTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | NE | 11.0 | RB23 | 19 | 38 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
2 | LAC | 5.9 | RB38 | 11 | 43 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
3 | WAS | 6.3 | RB35 | 17 | 63 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | CHI | 32.5 | RB1 | 21 | 138 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 2 |
5 | IND | 13.4 | RB17 | 14 | 67 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 42 | 0 |
6 | TEN | 15.6 | RB12 | 23 | 75 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 0 |
7 | KC | 3.9 | RB43 | 6 | 21 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 0 |
8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
9 | JAX | 17.4 | RB5 | 13 | 42 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 47 | 1 |
10 | DEN | 13.8 | RB14 | 19 | 60 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 |
11 | DAL | 6.4 | RB37 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 8 | 6 | 27 | 0 |
12 | CLE | 20.8 | RB5 | 17 | 50 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 58 | 1 |
13 | LAC | 9.1 | RB34 | 15 | 31 | 0 | 8 | 6 | 30 | 0 |
14 | DEN | 4.8 | RB43 | 10 | 30 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 0 |
15 | PHI | 6.2 | RB41 | 9 | 35 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 0 |
16 | HOU | 31.3 | RB1 | 24 | 128 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 60 | 1 |
17 | NYG | 8.3 | RB22 | 16 | 60 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 0 |
18 | KC | 10.9 | RB17 | 26 | 87 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 0 |
Latest takes
“Brown , Jaxon Smith‑Njigba , Justin Jefferson and CeeDee Lamb all provide stable weekly production because their offenses run directly through them.”
Lawrence Iacona· Aug 19“Jefferson has been a fantasy superstar since he entered the NFL. Unfortunately, the veteran is coming off a massively disappointing season, finishing last year as the WR21, averaging 11.9 PPR fantasy points per game despite finishing seventh in the league with 141 targets.”
Mike Fanelli· Aug 15“With a better quarterback, Justin Jefferson is a top-five pick, but with J.J. McCarthy ‘s past poor play and the uncertainty of Kyler Murray , we get a discount on one of the best wide receivers in the league.”
Kurt Blakeway· Aug 14
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“Last year, Jefferson was still sixth in target share (28.5%) and seventh in first-read share (35.1%), so we should all expect the Minnesota passing attack to run through their alpha wide receiver again in 2026.”
FantasyPros Staff· Aug 14“Last year, Justin Jefferson had a horrible runout as the WR28 in fantasy points per game (WR14 in expected fantasy points per game). Obviously, a ton of his season was impacted by the level of quarterback play, but Jefferson also slid to 36th in separation score and 38th in route win rate (among 109 qualifying receivers, per Fantasy Points Data).”
FantasyPros Staff· Aug 14“Justin Jefferson is the fifth-best wide receiver in the Madden universe, apparently”
The FF Newsletter· Aug 6“Tate isn’t entering the NFL with the pedigree of a Ja’Marr Chase or Justin Jefferson , for example, but his combination of age, draft capital, and college production is extremely appealing”
Ryan Kirksey· Aug 6“Having Justin Jefferson , Jordan Addison , and Jauan Jennings at your disposal is an embarrassment of riches”
Kyle Zeigler· Aug 6“Round 3: Justin Jefferson (WR – MIN) Wow. Jaxon Smith-Njigba and Justin Jefferson ?”
Richard Janvrin· Aug 5“This wasn’t Jefferson’s fault, however. Among wide receivers with 50+ targets, Jefferson ranked 58th in catchable target rate (71%). J.J. McCarthy stunk, and all indications are that Kyler Murray is the clear favorite to be the starter in 2026, and possibly beyond.”
Tom Strachan· Jul 27“From WR2 in 2024 to WR21 in 2025, Justin Jefferson took quite the fall in production.”
Vernon Meighan· Jul 24“Jefferson should immediately become Murray’s go-to receiver, making an overall WR1 finish well within reach.”
Kyle Zeigler· Jul 23“Malik Nabers, CeeDee Lamb, and Justin Jefferson all have similar LTV scores in the same range as Love’s.”
Jonathan Lange· Jul 21“The Ballers agree that if Kyler takes the leading QB role, they are confident that Jefferson will be back as a top-tier WR. However, they see him more as a back-end WR1.”
Maggie Thraen· Jul 19“He opened with Justin Jefferson after a surprising run of young quarterbacks fell in the first round, then doubled up at quarterback anyway, taking Joe Burrow and Caleb Williams back to back once he realized how many were sliding.”
FantasyPros Staff· Jul 19
“Fantasy Football Research & Advice Fantasy Football Expert Rankings 2026 Fantasy Football Draft Kit Fantasy Football Trade Analyzer Safest Fantasy Football Players to Draft Ashton Jeanty (RB – LV) How can the back on the offense that is projected to be the 28th most points per game (19.2) be one of the safest players?”
Ellis Johnson· Aug 19“I opted to go with Ashton Jeanty at the end of the first round. In hindsight, I may have done this slightly differently, opting for Brock Bowers as the piece of this Raiders offense.”
Richard Janvrin· Aug 15“Ashton Jeanty (RB – LV) Going as the RB6, 10th overall, our analysts are genuinely split here. The projections point to a real season, but one that lands closer to a backend RB1 finish in the RB10 to 12 range rather than a true top-six overall running back. One analyst believes the jump required from last year’s disappointing rookie output to a true top-six finish is larger than the modest per-game increase the projections themselves show, driven mostly by added rushing volume rather than a big receiving-game jump.”
FantasyPros Staff· Aug 8
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“There is plenty of hope that the Raiders offense will be able to take a big step forward this season with a complete overhaul of their coaching staff after being the worst team in the league in 2025. Even with a bad offense, Jeanty was still productive for fantasy rosters, though he could not return his high draft price.”
Kurt Mullen· Aug 7“I was not burned on Ashton Jeanty last season as BEAST DOME ranked him lower than any site last season, but he was so awful last year I could not imagine spending a 1st or 2nd Round pick on a guy who played like an RB3 at best in 2025.”
FantasyPros Staff· Aug 7“I nearly clicked Zay Flowers with my second pick, and probably should have because he is in line for a huge 2026, but I instead grabbed my first running back in Ashton Jeanty, who should benefit from an upgraded offensive line and an offense-minded head coach in Klint Kubiak.”
Kurt Blakeway· Aug 7“Ashton Jeanty (RB – LV) I could not have been more hyped for Ashton Jeanty heading into the 2025 season”
Ryan Kirksey· Aug 6“With Klint Kubiak in town, Fernando Mendoza or Kirk Cousins at the helm, a healthy Brock Bowers , and improved blocking up front, Jeanty could be poised to post a strong RB1 season in his second season.”
FantasyPros Staff· Jul 28“Ashton Jeanty had 100% of the backfield rushes from inside of the 5-yard line as a rookie, but he only had 9 rushes from that area of the field.”
Rich Hribar· Jul 24“Ashton Jeanty will be seen as a disappointment for fantasy managers exiting his rookie season. It wasn’t a failure, but you can make the argument that, because of his talent and the hype, it didn’t live up to lofty expectations. Jeanty was the RB15 in fantasy points per game, finishing with 321 touches and 1,321 total yards.”
FantasyPros Staff· Jul 22“Ashton Jeanty is entering his sophomore season with an improved situation. First and foremost, the Raiders hired Klint Kubiak as head coach, giving them one of the best play-callers in the NFL.”
Frank Ammirante· Jul 17“Last season, Jeanty was fifth in snap share at running back and first in backfield opportunity shares. If this usage continues, all we need is for the offense to take a step forward to have a huge season.”
Ellis Johnson· Jul 17“He now has a new head coach in Klint Kubiak, one of the rising offensive minds in the NFL. More importantly, the Raiders also bolstered the offensive line by adding All-Pro Tyler Linderbaum (BAL). If Jeanty was able to produce average numbers in a dysfunctional offense, he should be capable of producing above-average numbers in a functional one.”
Jonathan Lange· Jul 10“Ashton Jeanty may be the player I'm most excited to see on the field again. Jeanty was a can't-miss prospect who had a tumultuous first season. Despite the circumstances, Jeanty still finished as a high-end RB2, averaging 14 FPPG.”
Jonathan Lange· Jul 10“Ashton Jeanty will be seen as a disappointment for fantasy managers exiting his rookie season. The ecosystem surrounding Jeanty stunk. The Raiders were 31st in red zone scoring attempts per game and 30th in yards per play.”
FantasyPros Staff· Jul 9