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Justin Jefferson vs Ashton Jeanty

2026 draft comparison · half-PPR

Updated Jul 5, 2026

ADP 8
Justin Jefferson
WR · MIN · WR5
ADP 9
Ashton Jeanty
RB · LV · RB4
VS
The crowd's leanALL-TIME
75.4% would rather draft Jefferson over Jeanty
75.4%Jefferson
24.6%Jeanty
Based on 57 duels

Should you draft Justin Jefferson or Ashton Jeanty?

Last season — 2025, per game

JeffersonWR24 finish
2025
JeantyRB13 finish
9.4Fantasy pts12.8
17Games17
0.1Carries15.6
0Rush yds57
3.5Yds/carry3.7
8.3Targets4.3
4.9Rec3.2
62Rec yds20
0.1TD0.6
Full game log & past seasons
Justin Jefferson
2025 game log
WKOPPFPTSRANKTGTRECYDTD
1
CHI
12.8
WR20
7
4
44
1
2
ATL
9.6
WR38
6
3
81
0
3
CIN
10.0
WR33
7
5
75
0
4
PIT
17.6
WR9
11
10
126
0
5
CLE
15.8
WR11
11
7
123
0
6
BYE
7
PHI
10.4
WR26
10
5
79
0
8
LAC
10.9
WR26
11
7
74
0
9
DET
13.7
WR18
9
6
47
1
10
BAL
5.7
WR44
12
4
37
0
11
CHI
8.6
WR27
9
5
61
0
12
GB
6.8
WR39
6
4
48
0
13
SEA
1.4
WR95
6
2
4
0
14
WAS
2.1
WR81
4
2
11
0
15
DAL
3.2
WR77
8
2
22
0
16
NYG
11.5
WR26
8
6
85
0
17
DET
5.0
WR52
5
4
30
0
18
GB
14.4
WR10
11
8
101
0
Ashton Jeanty
2025 game log
WKOPPFPTSRANKATTYDTDTGTRECRYDRTD
1
NE
11.0
RB23
19
38
1
2
2
2
0
2
LAC
5.9
RB38
11
43
0
4
3
1
0
3
WAS
6.3
RB35
17
63
0
0
0
0
0
4
CHI
32.5
RB1
21
138
1
2
2
17
2
5
IND
13.4
RB17
14
67
0
7
5
42
0
6
TEN
15.6
RB12
23
75
1
4
2
11
0
7
KC
3.9
RB43
6
21
0
1
1
13
0
8
9
JAX
17.4
RB5
13
42
0
5
5
47
1
10
DEN
13.8
RB14
19
60
1
5
3
3
0
11
DAL
6.4
RB37
6
7
0
8
6
27
0
12
CLE
20.8
RB5
17
50
0
8
8
58
1
13
LAC
9.1
RB34
15
31
0
8
6
30
0
14
DEN
4.8
RB43
10
30
0
4
2
8
0
15
PHI
6.2
RB41
9
35
0
6
4
7
0
16
HOU
31.3
RB1
24
128
1
2
1
60
1
17
NYG
8.3
RB22
16
60
0
2
2
13
0
18
KC
10.9
RB17
26
87
0
5
3
7
0

Latest takes

Justin Jefferson
  • Jefferson is attached to one of the league's most expensive receiver deals.

    Adam La Rose· Jul 5
  • It doesn't take a rocket scientist to determine what was holding Justin Jefferson back last season. While Kyler Murray is a flawed quarterback, he has proven an ability to generate big fantasy seasons for his wide receivers and should be a big improvement upon what J.J. McCarthy showed last season.

    Chad Workman· Jun 29
  • Jefferson is coming off career lows in receiving yards (1,084), receptions (68) and receiving touchdowns (two) in a season he played all games. This wasn't Jefferson's fault, however. Among wide receivers with 50+ targets, Jefferson ranked 58th in catchable target rate (71%).

    Tom Strachan· Jun 29
See 12 more
  • Jefferson is coming off career lows in receiving yards (1,084), receptions (68) and receiving touchdowns (two) in a season he played all games. Among wide receivers with 50+ targets, Jefferson ranked 58th in catchable target rate (71%). J.J. McCarthy stunk, and all indications are that Kyler Murray is the clear favorite to be the starter in 2026, and possibly beyond.

    Tom Strachan· Jun 28
  • Jefferson averaged 2.43 yards per route run with Wentz on the field last season, averaging nearly 100 yards per game. Using the tool, we can see that Jefferson finished 1.5 fantasy points above his expected total from Week 3 to Week 8, when Wentz was at quarterback for the Vikings.

  • Justin Jefferson was one of the biggest fantasy disappointments in 2025. Still, his usage last season suggests he will be right back in the WR1 conversation if Minnesota gets better quarterback play this season. Jefferson was the WR8 in expected fantasy points last year, but he scored 31.3 fewer points than expected.

  • Jefferson is coming off career lows in receiving yards (1,084), receptions (68) and receiving touchdowns (two) in a season he played all games. Among wide receivers with 50+ targets, Jefferson ranked 58th in catchable target rate (71%). All indications are that Kyler Murray is the clear favorite to be the starter in 2026, and the Vikings had the fourth-fewest pass attempts per game under McCarthy, but in 2024 under Sam Darnold, they ranked 17th.

    Tom Strachan· Jun 25
  • Justin Jefferson continues to operate as one of the league's best, posting six 1,000-yard seasons to start his NFL career.

  • Jefferson's price tag is a bit steep, and he has more bust potential than anyone else in the first round, though his upside is worth mixing into best ball portfolios.

  • Justin Jefferson was the WR34 in half-PPR points per game (9.4) in the 2025 season when Minnesota's trio of J.J. McCarthy, Carson Wentz and Max Brosmer couldn't get the job done.

  • Justin Jefferson had fewer receiving yards in 2025 (1,048) than he did in 2023, when he only played 10 games (1,074). Jefferson also had a career-low 12.5 yards per reception and a career-low two receiving touchdowns.

    Tom Strachan· Jun 19
  • Justin Jefferson had fewer receiving yards in 2025 (1,048) than he did in 2023, when he only played 10 games (1,074). Jefferson also had a career-low 12.5 yards per reception and a career-low two receiving touchdowns. Among receivers with 50+ targets, Jefferson ranked 58th in catchable target rate (71%).

    Tom Strachan· Jun 17
  • Justin Jefferson said he plans to work with both quarterbacks Kyler Murray and J.J. McCarthy ahead of training camp so that they aren't starting fresh and can build chemistry ahead of time. "For sure, both. Just carrying on what we have been doing for the past couple weeks and just continuing that throughout the summertime," Jefferson said. "It definitely would be impactful. Just to continue to see my route running, to continue to get that timing down pat is really key so we're not really starting over back in training camp."

  • Vikings WR Justin Jefferson gave his outlook on the team's roster ahead of training camp and believes that the team has good playmakers at each offensive position. "Just the weapons that we have on the offensive side of the ball. You know, the running back position is very good. The receiver position is very good. The tight end position is very good."

  • Justin Jefferson finally escaped quarterback misery. Catching passes from JJ McCarthy, Carson Wentz, and Max Brosmer felt like an elaborate social experiment designed to test Jefferson's patience.

    Jon Machado· May 16
Ashton Jeanty
  • Last season, Ashton Jeanty eventually finished as the RB12, but he started slowly and, after the first three weeks, was the RB33.

  • Jeanty dealt with that contact fairly well, ranking 17th in yards after contact per attempt, and almost two-thirds of his 975 yards came after contact. Getting close to 1,000 yards in that environment is admirable, and with Tyler Linderbaum resetting the center market and left tackle Kolton Miller healthy, the Raiders will have enough pieces on this offensive line to be a marked upgrade.

    Tom Strachan· Jun 30
  • Jeanty ranked 48th out of 49 running backs with 100+ attempts in yards before contact per attempt. Jeanty dealt with that contact fairly well, ranking 17th in yards after contact per attempt, and almost two-thirds of his 975 yards came after contact. Getting close to 1,000 yards in that environment is admirable, and with Tyler Linderbaum resetting the center market and left tackle Kolton Miller healthy, the Raiders will have enough pieces on this offensive line to be a marked upgrade.

    Tom Strachan· Jun 29
See 12 more
  • One player available at this spot with undeniable upside is Ashton Jeanty. When the Raiders selected him sixth overall in the 2025 NFL Draft, the expectations were tempered slightly because of where the Raiders were as an offense. What wasn't expected, though, was how dramatically bad the offense performed, starting with the offensive line, which ranked dead last in Pro Football Focus' (PFF) offensive line rankings.

    Tom Strachan· Jun 29
  • He racked up over 1,200 yards and scored 10 times behind an abysmal offensive line. Now he gets Klint Kubiak as his head coach, bringing over an offensive system that helped Seattle win the Super Bowl. Expect Jeanty's efficiency to skyrocket if he keeps evading tackles as he did in 2025, when his juke rate (27.7%) ranked fifth among all running backs.

  • You can make a similar case for Ashton Jeanty, assuming the Raiders are better up front after their offseason additions and coaching changes and are better overall on offense with either Kirk Cousins or Fernando Mendoza at quarterback.

  • The Raiders' offensive line allowed Jeanty to get contacted at or behind the line of scrimmage on 54% of his carries, the league's second-worst rate.

  • Jeanty is a volatile pick who could fail to live up to the expectations that accompany his fantasy football ADP, despite a massive ceiling if the Raiders' offensive line gels and new quarterback Mendoza clicks right away.

  • Despite a massive workload last season, Jeanty was only the RB17 in half-PPR points per game (12.8) among running backs with at least eight games played, and volume alone won't assure Jeanty pans out and finishes as an RB6 or better this season.

  • It's going to be an uphill battle for Mike Washington to dominate backfield touches, given that the Raiders have an all-time running back prospect ahead of him with Ashton Jeanty.

    Jeff Krisko· Jun 21
  • Raiders RB coach Omar Young said the team has put RB Ashton Jeanty "in all different kinds of positions to see exactly what he can and cannot do."

    Logan Ulrich· Jun 19
  • Ashton Jeanty finished the 2025 season with 245.1 PPR points, one of only two rookies to score more than 215.0 points.

  • Ashton Jeanty was the only rookie to finish as an RB1 in PPR scoring, ending the year as the RB11.

    Mike Fanelli· Jun 5
  • Raiders HC Klint Kubiak says the team plans to challenge RB Ashton Jeanty in his sophomore season and put pressure on him in order to get the best out of last year's first-round pick. "We want to put a lot of pressure on Ashton," Kubiak said. "The next guy that steps up, whoever that may be, that's going to be seen here in practice, OTAs and training camp, but we think we should continue to challenge Ashton and get more out of him."

  • Fitzmaurice drafted Ashton Jeanty over Jonathan Taylor late in the first round. Fitz explained that Jeanty survived terrible offensive circumstances last season and still managed double-digit touchdowns. The expectation now is that Las Vegas will field a significantly improved rushing environment thanks to offensive line upgrades and a coaching staff expected to lean heavily on the run game.

So who do you have — Jefferson or Jeanty?

Make the call yourself. Build your own draft board free — quick A-vs-B picks, no spreadsheet — and let the season grade it.

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