Josh Allen vs Garrett Wilson

“Josh Allen 2026 Over/Under Predictions The Buffalo offense played at the league's slowest pace and ran the ball at the second-highest rate last season, which seems very counterintuitive for a team with Josh Allen at quarterback.”

“Josh Allen is once again the consensus QB1 in fantasy. He finished QB1 in fantasy scoring last season for the fourth time in the last six years. After down years from Lamar Jackson and Jalen Hurts , the gap between Allen and other fantasy QBs seems to have widened.”

“There is hope that a healthy Kincaid can live up to the hype that he has carried since entering the league as a first-round pick in the NFL Draft and be an elite TE option in an offense with Josh Allen .”

“With the first pick in the draft, Mike takes what feels like an obvious choice of Josh Allen, who has finished as the QB1 overall in four of the last six seasons.”

“The most obvious thing to consider is your positional strengths and weaknesses — trading for Lamar Jackson when you already have Josh Allen probably isn’t a good idea.”

“The counter to this would be that Josh Allen is coming off his lowest passing yardage total since 2019 (3,668), and hasn’t thrown for more than 30 touchdowns in the last three seasons.”

“Josh Allen’s 0.8 points per game above QB2 in 2025 was the lowest QB1 to QB2 gap since 2022, when QB1 and QB2 tied atop the ranks.”

“Skyler Bell is headed to Buffalo to catch passes from Josh Allen after being selected in the fourth round of the NFL Draft.”

“When I say avoid Josh Allen, this is purely a fade at his ADP. He’s definitely the best quarterback to have for fantasy, but his 33rd overall ADP leaves so much value on the board around that spot.”

“Ever since Diggs left, we have been chasing the upside of Josh Allen ‘s WR1.”

“Allen rushed for 14 touchdowns, his third straight year with at least 12 rushing touchdowns. He was second in fantasy points scored inside the red zone in 2025 (148.7). Allen has ranked first or second among all position players in fantasy points inside the red zone for five consecutive seasons.”

“No player has a track record of pushing the top of positional scoring more consistently than Allen. Since 2020, Allen has finished as the QB1, QB1, QB2, QB1, QB2, and QB1 in overall quarterback scoring.”

“Meanwhile, Jason’s love for Geno Smith in New York could not be overcome, and got him to pick Garrett Wilson .”

“Gamers are still operating with one foot in and the other out on Breece Hall and Garrett Wilson, but the upside potential is still on the table.”

“Although the Jets’ offense is looking more crowded, it still has only one truly established NFL pass-catcher in Garrett Wilson .”

“On Garrett Wilson specifically, sentiment has shifted meaningfully. A year ago, ranking a rookie profile like Tate’s anywhere near Wilson would have been unthinkable. Now Wilson is entering the presumed prime of his career, turning 26 later this summer, and still hasn’t played with a clearly competent starting quarterback.”

“Jason is really into Garrett Wilson, having him as his WR12 while his ADP has him at WR17!”

“Garrett Wilson's 395 receiving yards led the Jets despite playing only seven games. Better health from Wilson will give the team their top weapon in scoring territory.”

“The biggest red flag of all is all the weapons around Wilson, which he'll be fighting for targets. The Jets added great pieces to the offense, which is good for the team but not for Wilson's fantasy prospects.”

“The knee is the first landmine, as it was significant enough last season that Wilson missed more than half the season. Wilson is practicing this offseason, but the sprain was the first significant injury of his career, and it remains to be seen how he'll bounce back.”

“Garrett Wilson finished the 2022 rookie class with 215.7 PPR points, one of the few rookies in recent years to surpass the 215-PPR-point threshold.”

“Wilson has finished as a WR2 in 12-team leagues only one other time in his career, with his four-year averages showing a pattern of WR30-WR39 performance. Wilson still has questionable quarterback play with Geno Smith, an unexciting play-calling offensive coordinator in Frank Reich, and more target competition from newly drafted tight end Kenyon Sadiq and wide receiver Omar Cooper Jr. Wilson is likely being drafted closer to his ceiling than his median outcome for 2026.”

“Wilson has yet to finish as a true WR1 in fantasy points per game and has an uphill climb this season, making his late third, early-fourth-round cost too steep.”

“Wilson is coming off an injury-plagued season and faces continued quarterback uncertainty with the Jets relying on a veteran upgrade like Geno Smith (a bust with the Raiders last season) or potentially a rookie at some point in 2026.”