Josh Allen
vs David Montgomery

“Since 2020 (his breakout), Allen averages 22.7 fantasy points per game when his defense allows 24 or more points. The Raiders have allowed 10 passing touchdowns in the past three games and are coming off allowing a QB1 overall week to Drake Maye (39.5 points). The Raiders have also allowed rushing production to Malik Willis (39 yards and a touchdown), Tyler Shough (36 yards), and Maye (25 yards and a score).”

“Allen is on pace for 812 rushing yards and 27 rushing touchdowns. For context, LaDainian Tomlinson holds the single-season record with 28. LT was a running back; Allen plays quarterback.”

“Josh Allen averaged 21.6 passing points per game (standard scoring) across the first two weeks of the season. Over the last two, he’s been at 7.1.”

“Only Josh Allen has run hotter, and we saw Allen hit a spot of regression last week. The 49ers are stacking enough injuries to impact things, too. It sounds as if Trent Williams will be good for Sunday.”

“LAC | DraftKings: $8,000/FanDuel: $9,100* It’s odd to say Josh Allen could be a contrarian play, but his rostership should come in very moderate this week. There’s a $500 difference between Allen and Lamar Jackson , and Jackson is in a high-volume matchup against Dallas, making him a popular play this week. Playing Allen doesn’t need much justification.”

“Josh Allen should meet little resistance, and James Cook can gash them on the ground, too.”

“Bills Fantasy Quarterback Preview Josh Allen (TRUST) We could be seeing the best season of Allen's career, which is saying something. We are only two weeks in, so we will keep things in check, but Allen is averaging career-highs in touchdown rate (8.3%), yards per pass attempt (9.7), and yards per completion (14.6). The Bills are throwing more, and they are throwing it downfield, something we were betting on this offseason.”

“Last Thursday, Allen ran in Buffalo’s first TD himself , then proceeded to spread the love to Joshua Palmer , Dawson Knox , and Dalton Kincaid before running in another TD himself for good measure. Only then did he finally hand it off to Cook for Buffalo’s sixth and final trip to the end zone. But this was ultimately the Josh Allen show, which is exactly why he lands among our overachievers this week.”

“Josh Allen remains a two-way scoring threat for the second straight week — 2 rushing TDs again. Another dual-threat scoring day (20-of-31 for 248, 3 TD passes, plus 14 carries for 69 yards with the aforementioned scores). Buffalo opened with a notable heavy package: three tight ends on the field to start.”

“Houston Texans Hot take alert: Josh Allen is good at football. The Bills quarterback supermanned his squad to a win over the vaunted Texans defense, creating big play after big play and frustrating an extremely talented unit on the other side. Offseason acquisition D.J.”

“After opening the season with 20 carries, 79 scrimmage yards, and three touchdowns, Montgomery has averaged nine carries and 36 scrimmage yards over his last three games, without scoring a touchdown in any of them. Even worse, Montgomery has turned his 47 carries this season into just 127 rushing yards — a miserable 2.7 yards per carry — and Woody Marks stole Houston’s lone rushing touchdown on Sunday. The workload is shrinking, the efficiency isn’t there and the touchdowns that were masking both problems have disappeared.”

“Through three games, David Montgomery is averaging a whopping 2.7 YPA. He’s seeing about 52% of the touches, nowhere near the workhorse numbers everyone projected in the offseason. Woody Marks looks like the more explosive back of the two, though his numbers aren’t much better.”

“Montgomery has a 4.5% explosive run rate, 1.54 yards after contact per attempt, and a 12% missed tackle rate. If Houston can play with a lead, Montgomery could have a bounceback game this week against Indy’s putrid run defense. Indy has allowed the third-highest explosive run rate, the sixth-highest rushing success rate, the seventh-most yards before contact per attempt, and the fourth-highest missed tackle rate.”

“We have not seen much usage from Woody Marks yet, but David Montgomery should feast and may leave Marks (RB36) with some decent scraps. Blake Corum , RB, Los Angeles Rams The back half of 2025 saw Corum have an increase in workload with significant touches leading into the playoffs. Corum appears to be maintaining a similar workload and is due for a trip to the endzone.”

“On the bright side, Montgomery does still have all four of the Texans’ carries inside the 10-yard line. But goal-line work alone is a recipe for an inconsistent FLEX play, not a viable RB2. The whole thesis behind Montgomery this season was his workhorse volume, and it hasn’t been there through two weeks (he’s also been fairly inefficient, for what it’s worth).”

“David Montgomery will likely operate as the team’s workhorse.”

“David Montgomery (RB – HOU) I’m not buying the offseason narratives that the Texans backfield will be a 50/50 split. David Montgomery will likely operate as the team’s workhorse.”

“Longshot Bet: David Montgomery to Lead the NFL in Rushing Yards (+8000) David Montgomery has bell-cow history.”

“David Montgomery (HOU) At his cost in the middle rounds, Montgomery has the potential to win your league.”

“For all those reasons, David Montgomery is a player I am not leaving any drafts with, especially because this potential top-12 running back can be drafted.” – Adam Dove ( The Fantasy Couriers ) Travis Etienne Jr.”