Jaylen Waddle
vs Lamar Jackson
2026 · Week 5 · Half-PPR
The crowd’s lean
Week 5No weekly comparisons recorded for this pair.
This week
WEEK 5Waddle
at LAC
Oct 11 · 4:05 PM ET
Jackson
at ATL
Oct 11 · 8:20 PM ET
Out
10.1
Projected
—
Projected
Half-PPR
projection
2026 season, per game
2025 season, per game
Full game log & past seasons +
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | TGT | REC | YD | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | — | 0.7 | WR103 | 3 | 1 | 2 | — |
2 | — | 17.8 | WR12 | 10 | 8 | 138 | — |
3 | — | 5.4 | WR64 | 7 | 2 | 10 | — |
4 | — | 12.0 | WR25 | 6 | 5 | 35 | 1 |
Earlier seasons (2025, 2024)
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | TGT | REC | YD | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | IND | 5.0 | WR57 | 5 | 4 | 30 | — |
2 | NE | 15.3 | WR14 | 6 | 5 | 68 | 1 |
3 | BUF | 12.4 | WR23 | 6 | 5 | 39 | 1 |
4 | NYJ | 6.3 | WR47 | 6 | 3 | 48 | — |
5 | CAR | 20.0 | WR4 | 9 | 6 | 110 | 1 |
6 | LAC | 12.8 | WR17 | 8 | 6 | 95 | — |
7 | CLE | 2.0 | WR86 | 4 | 1 | 15 | — |
8 | ATL | 18.4 | WR4 | 6 | 5 | 99 | 1 |
9 | BAL | 11.2 | WR27 | 9 | 6 | 82 | — |
10 | BUF | 16.9 | WR11 | 7 | 5 | 84 | 1 |
11 | WAS | 6.7 | WR40 | 7 | 3 | 52 | — |
12 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
13 | NO | 5.5 | WR48 | 6 | 3 | 40 | — |
14 | NYJ | 15.6 | WR10 | 7 | 5 | 50 | 1 |
15 | PIT | 3.6 | WR72 | 4 | 2 | 26 | — |
16 | CIN | 9.7 | WR29 | 9 | 5 | 72 | — |
17 | TB | 0.7 | WR118 | 1 | — | — | — |
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | TGT | REC | YD | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | JAX | 13.7 | WR17 | 5 | 5 | 109 | — |
2 | BUF | 6.5 | WR39 | 4 | 4 | 41 | — |
3 | SEA | 4.6 | WR68 | 5 | 4 | 26 | — |
4 | TEN | 5.6 | WR60 | 6 | 4 | 36 | — |
5 | NE | 6.6 | WR48 | 8 | 4 | 46 | — |
6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
7 | IND | 1.6 | WR93 | 2 | 1 | 11 | — |
8 | ARI | 6.5 | WR56 | 6 | 4 | 45 | — |
9 | BUF | 6.6 | WR46 | 2 | 2 | -4 | 1 |
10 | LAR | 7.1 | WR35 | 6 | 3 | 57 | — |
11 | LV | 4.7 | WR57 | 3 | 2 | 37 | — |
12 | NE | 24.4 | WR3 | 9 | 8 | 144 | 1 |
13 | GB | 9.3 | WR36 | 4 | 4 | 53 | — |
14 | NYJ | 16.4 | WR16 | 12 | 9 | 99 | — |
15 | HOU | 0.0 | WR138 | 2 | — | — | — |
16 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
17 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
18 | NYJ | 7.0 | WR52 | 9 | 4 | 44 | — |
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | ATT | CMP | YD | TD | INT | RuYD | RuTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | — | 25.0 | QB7 | 25 | 17 | 324 | 1 | — | 40 | 1 |
2 | — | 15.8 | QB16 | 31 | 21 | 235 | 1 | 1 | 34 | — |
3 | — | 20.4 | QB13 | 20 | 15 | 186 | 2 | — | 50 | — |
4 | — | 18.9 | QB11 | 20 | 15 | 222 | 2 | — | 20 | — |
Earlier seasons (2025, 2024)
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | ATT | CMP | YD | TD | INT | RuYD | RuTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | BUF | 29.4 | QB4 | 19 | 14 | 209 | 2 | — | 70 | 1 |
2 | CLE | 26.3 | QB3 | 29 | 19 | 225 | 4 | — | 13 | — |
3 | DET | 27.0 | QB3 | 27 | 21 | 288 | 3 | — | 35 | — |
4 | KC | 11.7 | QB27 | 20 | 14 | 147 | 1 | 1 | 48 | — |
5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
9 | MIA | 25.6 | QB9 | 23 | 18 | 204 | 4 | — | 14 | — |
10 | MIN | 16.6 | QB15 | 29 | 17 | 176 | 1 | — | 36 | — |
11 | CLE | 6.7 | QB29 | 25 | 14 | 193 | — | 2 | 10 | — |
12 | NYJ | 7.2 | QB25 | 23 | 13 | 153 | — | — | 11 | — |
13 | CIN | 7.5 | QB27 | 32 | 17 | 246 | — | 1 | 27 | — |
14 | PIT | 22.1 | QB7 | 35 | 19 | 219 | 1 | 1 | 43 | 1 |
15 | CIN | 15.6 | QB20 | 12 | 8 | 150 | 2 | 1 | 26 | — |
16 | NE | 4.7 | QB29 | 10 | 7 | 101 | — | — | 7 | — |
17 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
18 | PIT | 21.4 | QB7 | 18 | 11 | 238 | 3 | 1 | 9 | — |
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | ATT | CMP | YD | TD | INT | RuYD | RuTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | KC | 25.1 | QB5 | 41 | 26 | 273 | 1 | — | 122 | — |
2 | LV | 17.4 | QB9 | 34 | 21 | 247 | 1 | 1 | 45 | — |
3 | DAL | 26.0 | QB4 | 15 | 12 | 182 | 1 | — | 87 | 1 |
4 | BUF | 23.6 | QB6 | 18 | 13 | 156 | 2 | — | 54 | 1 |
5 | CIN | 33.4 | QB3 | 42 | 26 | 348 | 4 | — | 55 | — |
6 | WAS | 19.9 | QB12 | 26 | 20 | 323 | 1 | 1 | 40 | — |
7 | TB | 34.4 | QB1 | 22 | 17 | 281 | 5 | — | 52 | — |
8 | CLE | 24.2 | QB8 | 38 | 23 | 289 | 2 | — | 46 | — |
9 | DEN | 23.6 | QB6 | 19 | 16 | 280 | 3 | — | 4 | — |
10 | CIN | 32.9 | QB2 | 33 | 25 | 290 | 4 | — | 33 | — |
11 | PIT | 15.9 | QB23 | 33 | 16 | 207 | 1 | 1 | 46 | — |
12 | LAC | 22.6 | QB5 | 22 | 16 | 177 | 2 | — | 15 | 1 |
13 | PHI | 25.4 | QB6 | 36 | 23 | 237 | 2 | — | 79 | — |
14 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
15 | NYG | 36.1 | QB3 | 25 | 21 | 290 | 5 | — | 65 | — |
16 | PIT | 21.5 | QB12 | 23 | 15 | 207 | 3 | 1 | 22 | — |
17 | HOU | 29.4 | QB6 | 15 | 10 | 168 | 2 | — | 87 | 1 |
18 | CLE | 23.0 | QB10 | 32 | 16 | 217 | 2 | — | 63 | — |
Expert takes
“Waddle has a 19.3% target share, 1.70 YPRR, two red zone targets, four deep targets, and a 28.2% first-read share. It has been tough when you can see Waddle getting open on film, but he can’t toss the ball to himself. If Bo Nix can get himself together this week, Waddle could have a nice game, but that’s a huge question mark.”
FantasyPros Staff· Oct 8, 2026“His 8.0 FPPG are well below every other receiver on your roster, and even though I have voiced my concern over Denzel Boston ’s season-long outlook, Waddle is no more than your WR4…arguably your WR5 behind Matthew Golden , so I would have no hesitation in trading him away for a solid RB2 who may also be currently underperforming; but who could you target? We can split this list into “ guys who are significantly underperforming compared to their draft spot ” and “ guys who are significantly overperforming compared to their draft spot ”…with both offering potential for a bargain. Let’s start with the underperformers.”
PaulMarnie· Oct 3, 2026“Nix/Waddle is a bet on DEN getting its TDs through the air, and I would keep that as a secondary tournament build.”
Chris Cash· Oct 10, 2026
See 8 more
“Jaylen Waddle was the prince who was promised to solve all of Denver’s offensive issues and to finally be the joker that Sean Payton craved for the Broncos. Unfortunately, over four games, he has as many weekly finishes below 5.5 half-PPR points as he does above 12.0. half-PPR points While it can be frustrating to see that kind of return from Waddle, it’s abundantly clear when you look at the film and the stats that this isn’t on him.”
Tom Strachan· Oct 8, 2026“This year, we have JK Dobbins swearing to the old gods and new that he will play 17 games, and a rookie RB Jonah Coleman getting rave reviews in camp (ready to step in when Dobbins does inevitably get hurt); Jaylen Waddle is exactly what this team needs offensively , offering up YAC opportunities, strong route running in the short + intermediate part of the field, and a level of improvisation with Nix that Franklin + Mimms just weren’t able to offer.”
Ryan Steinberg· Sep 13, 2026“Waddle should get a wonderful infusion of volume this season, moving from an offense that was 29th in neutral passing rate to one that was fourth in that metric last season.”
FantasyPros Staff· Sep 5, 2026“Now the alpha receiver for the Broncos, Waddle will bring his electric route-running to an offense that thrives upon precision and isn’t afraid to sling it. Fantasy managers can look for a spike in Waddle’s yards per route run and target rate, as Courtland Sutton draws away defensive attention downfield.”
Evan Tarracciano· Sep 3, 2026“Jaylen Waddle (WR – DEN) “ Jaylen Waddle is one of my favorite targets this year because I think people are looking too much at last season’s final numbers and not enough at how well he actually played. He ranked 12th in targets per route run, 12th in yards per route run, and seventh in first downs per route run, so the talent and efficiency are clearly still there.”
FantasyPros Staff· Aug 27, 2026“4.11: Jaylen Waddle (WR – DEN) Jaylen Waddle is being overlooked as he enters his first year with the Broncos. Evan Silva of Establish The Run projects him to a huge year under Sean Payton, comparing him to Brandin Cooks during his time in New Orleans.”
Kurt Blakeway· Aug 25, 2026“Adding Jaylen Waddle is not some small improvement.”
Ellis Johnson· Aug 19, 2026“The arrival of Jaylen Waddle will change that this year. Sutton still can be a highly productive player in a pass-happy offense, but he’ll take a backseat to Waddle.”
FantasyPros Staff· Aug 11, 2026
“Jackson, 29, has missed games due to five different injuries (two ankle issues to go with knee, hamstring and back problems) since 2021. He also did not look himself for a while following the 2025 hamstring issue, and the Ravens needed Huntley — brought back because of Cooper Rush ’s struggles in the QB2 role last season — again when Jackson sustained the back injury late last season. Although Jackson’s injury issues bring obvious concern given his play style, the Ravens armed their top player with extraordinary leverage this offseason by restructuring his deal .”
Sam Robinson· Oct 10, 2026“Lamar Jackson | QB, Baltimore Ravens (OUT) Lamar Jackson is recovering from an ankle sprain that has been described as “neither low nor high.” Timelines for recovery have been all over the place, but a one or two-week absence appears to be the consensus. Tyler Huntley is the backup and will step in for Jackson.”
Jonathan Lange· Oct 10, 2026“Ravens Ravens QB Lamar Jackson is the focal point of OC Declan Doyle ‘s offense, with HC Jesse Minter noting that he and Jackson were looking forward to working together as a group.”
Wyatt Grindley· Sep 27, 2026
See 10 more
“In both of his matchups with the Cowboys, Jackson has run for 181 yards and a TD.”
Julia Papworth· Sep 25, 2026“Lamar Jackson has a massive ceiling in what projects to be a high-scoring matchup against the Cowboys. Dallas was getting torched by Jayden Daniels before he went down with an injury, which bodes well for Jackson’s outlook in this spot. With his ability to make plays through the air and on the ground, Jackson has the potential to put up a monster performance here.”
Frank Ammirante· Sep 25, 2026“But Jackson has looked far more like his electric self at the start of this season than he did in 2025. By the end of the season, he should be right up next to (OK, maybe behind) Allen as a top-tier fantasy quarterback.”
Ted Chmyz· Sep 23, 2026“Unfortunately, Jackson had arguably his worst season as a starter in 2025. He missed four games because of injury and played part of the year hurt. The superstar finished as the QB14 on a points-per-game basis among qualifying quarterbacks, averaging 19.8 fantasy points per contest. However, I expect a bounce-back season for Jackson, especially with Declan Doyle taking over as Baltimore’s offensive coordinator.”
Mike Fanelli· Aug 16, 2026“If Lamar Jackson can bounce back, Henry could inch back closer to his 2024 production (RB4 in fantasy points per game).”
FantasyPros Staff· Aug 5, 2026“With plenty of time to recover from last season, Jackson is a ticking time bomb for fantasy production.”
Ellis Johnson· Jul 23, 2026“Jackson's 2025 performance was marred by injury and a subpar level of play (by his standards). Therefore, while he has tremendous leverage by virtue of the restructure and the $84.34MM cap number it created for 2027, he may want to come to the negotiating table on the heels of a better season.”
Rory Parks· Jul 12, 2026“Jackson mentioned that Doyle is running a completely different system from what Todd Monken deployed last season, while there are some concepts from what Greg Roman ran in 2022. Jackson expects more "explosiveness" this season, and Doyle is proving to be a very creative playcaller. "I feel like there's going to be a lot of explosiveness this year," Jackson said. "The way Declan calls plays and his creativity with his mind — how detailed he is — it's mind-blowing. I'm excited."”
Tony Camino· Jul 10, 2026“It was only a season ago that we saw Jackson finish as the QB1 with 425 fantasy points. That was his second time surpassing 400 fantasy points, a threshold that Allen has never exceeded.”
Ellis Johnson· Jul 10, 2026“Over his final eight starts, Jackson was the QB29 in fantasy points per game (11.9). He completed just 57.6% of his passes (28th) with 7 touchdowns and 6 interceptions. He had the highest inaccurate throw rate in the league over that span (15.8%).”
Rich Hribar· Jul 9, 2026
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