Jaylen Waddle
vs David Montgomery
2026 · Week 5 · Half-PPR
The crowd’s lean
Week 5No weekly comparisons recorded for this pair.
This week
WEEK 5Waddle
at LAC
Oct 11 · 4:05 PM ET
Montgomery
at TEN
Oct 11 · 1:00 PM ET
10.1
Projected
12.8
Projected
Half-PPR
projection
2026 season, per game
2025 season, per game
Full game log & past seasons +
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | TGT | REC | YD | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | — | 0.7 | WR103 | 3 | 1 | 2 | — |
2 | — | 17.8 | WR12 | 10 | 8 | 138 | — |
3 | — | 5.4 | WR64 | 7 | 2 | 10 | — |
4 | — | 12.0 | WR25 | 6 | 5 | 35 | 1 |
Earlier seasons (2025, 2024)
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | TGT | REC | YD | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | IND | 5.0 | WR57 | 5 | 4 | 30 | — |
2 | NE | 15.3 | WR14 | 6 | 5 | 68 | 1 |
3 | BUF | 12.4 | WR23 | 6 | 5 | 39 | 1 |
4 | NYJ | 6.3 | WR47 | 6 | 3 | 48 | — |
5 | CAR | 20.0 | WR4 | 9 | 6 | 110 | 1 |
6 | LAC | 12.8 | WR17 | 8 | 6 | 95 | — |
7 | CLE | 2.0 | WR86 | 4 | 1 | 15 | — |
8 | ATL | 18.4 | WR4 | 6 | 5 | 99 | 1 |
9 | BAL | 11.2 | WR27 | 9 | 6 | 82 | — |
10 | BUF | 16.9 | WR11 | 7 | 5 | 84 | 1 |
11 | WAS | 6.7 | WR40 | 7 | 3 | 52 | — |
12 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
13 | NO | 5.5 | WR48 | 6 | 3 | 40 | — |
14 | NYJ | 15.6 | WR10 | 7 | 5 | 50 | 1 |
15 | PIT | 3.6 | WR72 | 4 | 2 | 26 | — |
16 | CIN | 9.7 | WR29 | 9 | 5 | 72 | — |
17 | TB | 0.7 | WR118 | 1 | — | — | — |
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | TGT | REC | YD | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | JAX | 13.7 | WR17 | 5 | 5 | 109 | — |
2 | BUF | 6.5 | WR39 | 4 | 4 | 41 | — |
3 | SEA | 4.6 | WR68 | 5 | 4 | 26 | — |
4 | TEN | 5.6 | WR60 | 6 | 4 | 36 | — |
5 | NE | 6.6 | WR48 | 8 | 4 | 46 | — |
6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
7 | IND | 1.6 | WR93 | 2 | 1 | 11 | — |
8 | ARI | 6.5 | WR56 | 6 | 4 | 45 | — |
9 | BUF | 6.6 | WR46 | 2 | 2 | -4 | 1 |
10 | LAR | 7.1 | WR35 | 6 | 3 | 57 | — |
11 | LV | 4.7 | WR57 | 3 | 2 | 37 | — |
12 | NE | 24.4 | WR3 | 9 | 8 | 144 | 1 |
13 | GB | 9.3 | WR36 | 4 | 4 | 53 | — |
14 | NYJ | 16.4 | WR16 | 12 | 9 | 99 | — |
15 | HOU | 0.0 | WR138 | 2 | — | — | — |
16 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
17 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
18 | NYJ | 7.0 | WR52 | 9 | 4 | 44 | — |
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | ATT | YD | TD | TGT | REC | RYD | RTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | — | 27.4 | RB6 | 20 | 60 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 1 |
2 | — | 3.4 | RB47 | 6 | 10 | — | 2 | 2 | 14 | — |
3 | — | 5.8 | RB36 | 11 | 33 | — | 2 | 2 | 15 | — |
4 | — | 4.3 | RB46 | 10 | 24 | — | — | — | 19 | — |
Earlier seasons (2025, 2024)
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | ATT | YD | TD | TGT | REC | RYD | RTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | GB | 6.3 | RB35 | 11 | 25 | — | 4 | 4 | 18 | — |
2 | CHI | 12.6 | RB23 | 11 | 57 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | — |
3 | BAL | 28.9 | RB2 | 12 | 151 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13 | — |
4 | CLE | 1.2 | RB62 | 9 | 12 | — | 1 | — | — | — |
5 | CIN | 17.7 | RB9 | 18 | 65 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | — |
6 | KC | 7.1 | RB25 | 4 | 24 | — | 2 | 2 | 37 | — |
7 | TB | 4.9 | RB36 | 13 | 21 | — | 3 | 2 | 18 | — |
8 | BYE | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
9 | MIN | 10.0 | RB21 | 11 | 40 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 10 | — |
10 | WAS | 9.6 | RB25 | 15 | 71 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
11 | PHI | 4.2 | RB43 | 6 | 27 | — | 1 | 1 | 10 | — |
12 | NYG | 5.2 | RB36 | 5 | 18 | — | 3 | 3 | 19 | — |
13 | GB | 11.8 | RB22 | 8 | 32 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 16 | — |
14 | DAL | 13.8 | RB15 | 6 | 60 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | — |
15 | LAR | 9.2 | RB30 | 7 | 32 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — |
16 | PIT | 1.4 | RB63 | 4 | 14 | — | — | — | — | — |
17 | MIN | 5.0 | RB40 | 10 | 25 | — | 2 | 2 | 15 | — |
18 | CHI | 6.0 | RB35 | 8 | 42 | — | 1 | 1 | 13 | — |
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | ATT | YD | TD | TGT | REC | RYD | RTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | LAR | 15.8 | RB14 | 17 | 91 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | — |
2 | TB | 15.0 | RB13 | 11 | 35 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 35 | — |
3 | ARI | 19.7 | RB8 | 23 | 105 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 17 | — |
4 | SEA | 14.5 | RB18 | 12 | 40 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 40 | — |
5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
6 | DAL | 20.5 | RB5 | 12 | 80 | 2 | 1 | 1 | — | — |
7 | MIN | 6.5 | RB35 | 9 | 31 | — | 4 | 3 | 39 | — |
8 | TEN | 14.4 | RB17 | 9 | 33 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | — |
9 | GB | 11.1 | RB24 | 17 | 73 | — | 3 | 3 | 23 | — |
10 | HOU | 12.1 | RB16 | 12 | 32 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 24 | — |
11 | JAX | 23.0 | RB4 | 15 | 75 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 20 | — |
12 | IND | 14.8 | RB10 | 8 | 37 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 36 | — |
13 | CHI | 13.9 | RB15 | 21 | 88 | — | 3 | 3 | 36 | — |
14 | GB | 16.9 | RB10 | 14 | 51 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 33 | — |
15 | BUF | 5.5 | RB37 | 5 | 4 | — | 4 | 4 | 31 | — |
Expert takes
“Waddle has a 19.3% target share, 1.70 YPRR, two red zone targets, four deep targets, and a 28.2% first-read share. It has been tough when you can see Waddle getting open on film, but he can’t toss the ball to himself. If Bo Nix can get himself together this week, Waddle could have a nice game, but that’s a huge question mark.”
FantasyPros Staff· Oct 8, 2026“His 8.0 FPPG are well below every other receiver on your roster, and even though I have voiced my concern over Denzel Boston ’s season-long outlook, Waddle is no more than your WR4…arguably your WR5 behind Matthew Golden , so I would have no hesitation in trading him away for a solid RB2 who may also be currently underperforming; but who could you target? We can split this list into “ guys who are significantly underperforming compared to their draft spot ” and “ guys who are significantly overperforming compared to their draft spot ”…with both offering potential for a bargain. Let’s start with the underperformers.”
PaulMarnie· Oct 3, 2026“Nix/Waddle is a bet on DEN getting its TDs through the air, and I would keep that as a secondary tournament build.”
Chris Cash· Oct 10, 2026
See 8 more
“Jaylen Waddle was the prince who was promised to solve all of Denver’s offensive issues and to finally be the joker that Sean Payton craved for the Broncos. Unfortunately, over four games, he has as many weekly finishes below 5.5 half-PPR points as he does above 12.0. half-PPR points While it can be frustrating to see that kind of return from Waddle, it’s abundantly clear when you look at the film and the stats that this isn’t on him.”
Tom Strachan· Oct 8, 2026“This year, we have JK Dobbins swearing to the old gods and new that he will play 17 games, and a rookie RB Jonah Coleman getting rave reviews in camp (ready to step in when Dobbins does inevitably get hurt); Jaylen Waddle is exactly what this team needs offensively , offering up YAC opportunities, strong route running in the short + intermediate part of the field, and a level of improvisation with Nix that Franklin + Mimms just weren’t able to offer.”
Ryan Steinberg· Sep 13, 2026“Waddle should get a wonderful infusion of volume this season, moving from an offense that was 29th in neutral passing rate to one that was fourth in that metric last season.”
FantasyPros Staff· Sep 5, 2026“Now the alpha receiver for the Broncos, Waddle will bring his electric route-running to an offense that thrives upon precision and isn’t afraid to sling it. Fantasy managers can look for a spike in Waddle’s yards per route run and target rate, as Courtland Sutton draws away defensive attention downfield.”
Evan Tarracciano· Sep 3, 2026“Jaylen Waddle (WR – DEN) “ Jaylen Waddle is one of my favorite targets this year because I think people are looking too much at last season’s final numbers and not enough at how well he actually played. He ranked 12th in targets per route run, 12th in yards per route run, and seventh in first downs per route run, so the talent and efficiency are clearly still there.”
FantasyPros Staff· Aug 27, 2026“4.11: Jaylen Waddle (WR – DEN) Jaylen Waddle is being overlooked as he enters his first year with the Broncos. Evan Silva of Establish The Run projects him to a huge year under Sean Payton, comparing him to Brandin Cooks during his time in New Orleans.”
Kurt Blakeway· Aug 25, 2026“Adding Jaylen Waddle is not some small improvement.”
Ellis Johnson· Aug 19, 2026“The arrival of Jaylen Waddle will change that this year. Sutton still can be a highly productive player in a pass-happy offense, but he’ll take a backseat to Waddle.”
FantasyPros Staff· Aug 11, 2026
“Montgomery has seen only 1.02 yards before contact per attempt and has been hit at or behind the line of scrimmage with 55.3% of his carries. I don’t see Montgomery finding any more running room this week. Tennessee has allowed the eighth-lowest explosive run rate and yards per carry, the sixth-fewest yards before contact per attempt, and the 13th-lowest EPA per rush.”
FantasyPros Staff· Oct 8, 2026“David Montgomery has been horrendous this season. We’re looking at just 2.7 YPA, 2.26 yards after contact per attempt (YCO/A) and only seven receptions in four games. As mentioned last week, Woody Marks hasn’t been much better analytically, and the blame shouldn’t be solely placed on them.”
Jim Moorman· Oct 6, 2026“After opening the season with 20 carries, 79 scrimmage yards, and three touchdowns, Montgomery has averaged nine carries and 36 scrimmage yards over his last three games, without scoring a touchdown in any of them. Even worse, Montgomery has turned his 47 carries this season into just 127 rushing yards — a miserable 2.7 yards per carry — and Woody Marks stole Houston’s lone rushing touchdown on Sunday. The workload is shrinking, the efficiency isn’t there and the touchdowns that were masking both problems have disappeared.”
Tim Brosnan· Oct 6, 2026
See 10 more
“Through three games, David Montgomery is averaging a whopping 2.7 YPA. He’s seeing about 52% of the touches, nowhere near the workhorse numbers everyone projected in the offseason. Woody Marks looks like the more explosive back of the two, though his numbers aren’t much better.”
Jim Moorman· Sep 29, 2026“Montgomery has a 4.5% explosive run rate, 1.54 yards after contact per attempt, and a 12% missed tackle rate. If Houston can play with a lead, Montgomery could have a bounceback game this week against Indy’s putrid run defense. Indy has allowed the third-highest explosive run rate, the sixth-highest rushing success rate, the seventh-most yards before contact per attempt, and the fourth-highest missed tackle rate.”
FantasyPros Staff· Sep 26, 2026“We have not seen much usage from Woody Marks yet, but David Montgomery should feast and may leave Marks (RB36) with some decent scraps. Blake Corum , RB, Los Angeles Rams The back half of 2025 saw Corum have an increase in workload with significant touches leading into the playoffs. Corum appears to be maintaining a similar workload and is due for a trip to the endzone.”
Peter Kettering· Sep 24, 2026“On the bright side, Montgomery does still have all four of the Texans’ carries inside the 10-yard line. But goal-line work alone is a recipe for an inconsistent FLEX play, not a viable RB2. The whole thesis behind Montgomery this season was his workhorse volume, and it hasn’t been there through two weeks (he’s also been fairly inefficient, for what it’s worth).”
Ted Chmyz· Sep 23, 2026“David Montgomery will likely operate as the team’s workhorse.”
FantasyPros Staff· Sep 12, 2026“David Montgomery (RB – HOU) I’m not buying the offseason narratives that the Texans backfield will be a 50/50 split. David Montgomery will likely operate as the team’s workhorse.”
FantasyPros Staff· Sep 11, 2026“Longshot Bet: David Montgomery to Lead the NFL in Rushing Yards (+8000) David Montgomery has bell-cow history.”
Curtis Hirsch· Sep 2, 2026“David Montgomery (HOU) At his cost in the middle rounds, Montgomery has the potential to win your league.”
Joshua Poniatowski· Sep 2, 2026“For all those reasons, David Montgomery is a player I am not leaving any drafts with, especially because this potential top-12 running back can be drafted.” – Adam Dove ( The Fantasy Couriers ) Travis Etienne Jr.”
FantasyPros Staff· Aug 30, 2026“Montgomery has played seven seasons in the NFL and has had 201 carries or more in five of them. He fell under that number in the last two seasons (185 in 2024 and 158 in 2025), but that was mostly due to how utterly unstoppable Jahmyr Gibbs is.”
Richard Janvrin· Aug 29, 2026
Who scores most this week?
Choose your top 3 from upcoming games.
Tap players in order to build your rankings.