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Jaxon Smith-Njigba
vs Derrick Henry

2026 · Week 5 · Half-PPR

Jaxon Smith-Njigba
WR · SEA
Derrick Henry
RB · BAL

The crowd’s lean

Week 5

No weekly comparisons recorded for this pair.

This week

WEEK 5

Smith-Njigba

vs SF

Oct 11 · 4:25 PM ET

Henry

at ATL

Oct 11 · 8:20 PM ET

18.6

Projected

16.8

Projected

Half-PPR
projection

2026 season, per game

Smith-NjigbaHenry
25.2Fantasy pts21.8
4Games4
—Carries22.3
—Rush yds94
—Yds/carry4.2
10.5Targets1.8
8.0Receptions1.8
120Receiving yds—
—Touchdowns—
Smith-NjigbaHenry
17.7Fantasy pts16.0
17Games17
0.4Carries18.1
2Rush yds94
5.1Yds/carry5.2
9.6Targets1.2
7.0Receptions0.9
105Receiving yds9
0.6Touchdowns0.9
Full game log & past seasons +
Jaxon Smith-Njigba
2026 game log
WKOPPFPTSRANKTGTRECYDTD
1
—
22.2
WR7
11
8
122
1
2
—
38.0
WR1
11
9
155
3
3
—
30.4
WR1
14
10
128
2
4
—
10.1
WR35
6
5
76
—
Earlier seasons (2025, 2024)
2025 game log
WKOPPFPTSRANKTGTRECYDTD
1
SF
14.9
WR14
13
9
124
—
2
PIT
14.3
WR19
10
8
103
—
3
NO
18.1
WR7
6
5
96
1
4
ARI
11.0
WR25
5
4
79
—
5
TB
23.2
WR3
9
8
132
1
6
JAX
26.2
WR3
13
8
162
1
7
HOU
22.3
WR7
14
8
123
1
8
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
9
WAS
18.0
WR9
9
8
129
—
10
ARI
17.8
WR9
6
5
93
1
11
LAR
16.1
WR10
12
9
105
—
12
TEN
33.1
WR1
10
8
167
2
13
MIN
3.3
WR71
4
2
23
—
14
ATL
24.6
WR3
10
7
92
2
15
IND
14.8
WR14
9
7
113
—
16
LAR
19.6
WR6
13
8
96
1
17
CAR
11.7
WR22
12
9
72
—
18
SF
11.4
WR16
8
6
84
—
2024 game log
WKOPPFPTSRANKTGTRECYDTD
1
DEN
2.9
WR75
2
2
19
—
2
NE
17.7
WR12
16
12
117
—
3
MIA
5.4
WR59
3
3
39
—
4
DET
9.1
WR40
12
8
51
—
5
NYG
11.1
WR30
7
4
31
1
6
SF
7.8
WR39
9
5
53
—
7
ATL
3.8
WR60
6
3
9
—
8
BUF
9.9
WR42
7
6
69
—
9
LAR
33.5
WR1
13
7
180
2
10
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
11
SF
16.8
WR12
11
10
110
—
12
ARI
16.7
WR11
7
6
77
1
13
NYJ
9.9
WR33
4
4
74
—
14
ARI
17.1
WR15
5
5
82
1
15
GB
13.3
WR23
12
10
83
—
16
MIN
20.0
WR7
12
8
95
1
17
CHI
4.7
WR66
6
3
32
—
18
LAR
3.3
WR82
5
4
9
—
Derrick Henry
2026 game log
WKOPPFPTSRANKATTYDTDTGTRECRYDRTD
1
—
34.8
RB1
24
144
3
1
1
19
—
2
—
16.2
RB7
16
68
1
3
3
19
—
3
—
21.4
RB3
26
89
2
1
1
—
—
4
—
14.9
RB17
23
73
1
2
2
6
—
Earlier seasons (2025, 2024)
2025 game log
WKOPPFPTSRANKATTYDTDTGTRECRYDRTD
1
BUF
28.7
RB1
18
169
2
1
1
13
—
2
CLE
2.3
RB59
11
23
—
—
—
—
—
3
DET
10.2
RB22
12
50
1
1
1
7
—
4
KC
6.8
RB42
8
42
—
3
2
16
—
5
HOU
9.3
RB25
15
33
1
1
—
—
—
6
LAR
13.5
RB13
24
122
—
2
1
8
—
7
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
8
CHI
19.1
RB8
21
71
2
1
—
—
—
9
MIA
12.6
RB14
19
119
—
1
1
2
—
10
MIN
9.9
RB23
20
75
—
3
3
9
—
11
CLE
19.2
RB7
18
103
1
2
2
19
—
12
NYJ
21.8
RB4
21
64
2
2
2
24
—
13
CIN
16.9
RB10
10
60
1
1
1
44
—
14
PIT
10.7
RB23
25
94
—
2
1
8
—
15
CIN
10.0
RB27
11
100
—
—
—
—
—
16
NE
22.8
RB8
18
128
2
—
—
—
—
17
GB
45.6
RB1
36
216
4
—
—
—
—
18
PIT
12.6
RB14
20
126
—
1
—
—
—
2024 game log
WKOPPFPTSRANKATTYDTDTGTRECRYDRTD
1
KC
10.6
RB30
13
46
1
2
—
—
—
2
LV
16.1
RB9
18
84
1
1
1
12
—
3
DAL
29.9
RB3
25
151
2
1
1
23
—
4
BUF
34.4
RB1
24
199
1
3
3
10
1
5
CIN
16.1
RB7
15
92
1
1
1
4
—
6
WAS
25.2
RB3
24
132
2
—
—
—
—
7
TB
24.7
RB5
15
169
—
1
1
13
1
8
CLE
14.2
RB18
11
73
1
1
1
4
—
9
DEN
25.8
RB3
23
106
2
1
1
27
—
10
CIN
13.6
RB12
16
68
1
1
1
3
—
11
PIT
10.5
RB22
13
65
1
—
—
—
—
12
LAC
14.0
RB12
24
140
—
—
—
—
—
13
PHI
12.6
RB19
19
82
—
3
3
29
—
14
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
15
NYG
6.7
RB36
14
67
—
—
—
—
—
16
PIT
19.9
RB11
24
162
—
2
2
27
—
17
HOU
23.5
RB3
27
147
1
2
2
18
—
18
CLE
29.1
RB3
20
138
2
3
2
23
—

Expert takes

Jaxon Smith-Njigba
  • “As impossibly great as Jaxon Smith-Njigba has been, Zay Flowers has been so much better An all-time buy-low. Your in-season Exodia, obscured by injury. Averaging 20.0 FPG and he hasn't hit a 33% snap share in any game thus far.”

    Kemper Trull· Sep 30, 2026
  • “Smith-Njigba has rattled off 122, 155, and 128 receiving yards this year. The alpha wideout has a 37.5% target share, 0.41 TPRR, 44.3% first-read rate, and 52.6% air yard share, supporting his jaw-dropping receiving yardage outputs. Bhayshul Tuten : 55.5 Rushing Yards – Higher The Bengals have allowed 4.46 yards per carry to running backs this season.”

    Josh Shepardson· Oct 1, 2026
  • “Jaxon Smith-Njigba is an obvious start at WR, and Mike’s start of the week at QB is whoever starts at QB for the Seahawks.”

    Jordan Pullett· Sep 25, 2026
See 10 more
  • “Last week, with backup QB Drew Lock starting in place of the injured Sam Darnold (who’s expected back soon), Smith-Njigba had nine catches for 155 yards and three touchdowns. Smith is the Renoir of route runners. The Seahawks were featured in this summer’s HBO “Hard Knocks” series, and there was a fascinating segment that showed Smith-Njigba practicing his routes alone as teammates and coaches talked about his talents.”

    Pat Fitzmaurice· Sep 24, 2026
  • “Through two games, Smith-Njigba has caught 17 of 22 targets for 277 yards and four TDs . That is a 77.3% catch rate while averaging 138.5 receiving yards per game , making it abundantly clear that he is picking up right where he left off as one of the premier WRs in fantasy. Next up is Washington, and as a Commanders fan, I am already preparing for the reckoning.”

    Brooke Morgan· Sep 23, 2026
  • “Jaxon Smith-Njigba – 11 targets, 9 rec Much like ARSB, I don’t need to go into much detail for JSN. He was drafted to be a stud and is paying off through two weeks. He has seen over a 40% target share in both games so far, and there’s no reason to believe that will come crashing down anytime soon, if at all.”

    Aaron Larson· Sep 22, 2026
  • “IMAGN IMAGES via Reuters Connect Jaxon Smith-Njigba – 11 targets, 8 rec Another familiar name on the list, JSN’s 11 targets equated to a massive 46% target share. He led the NFL with a 36% target share last season, which may not be as unsustainable as it seems. Those targets, however, may be coming from Drew Lock for the next few games.”

    Aaron Larson· Sep 15, 2026
  • “It was quite the surprise to see Jaxon Smith-Njigba available after the first four selections. We did weigh some of the running back options available, but ultimately felt that Smith-Njigba is the type of talent that can set you far apart from the rest of the league.”

    Steve Krebs· Sep 5, 2026
  • “Jaxon Smith-Njigba is coming off a season in which he had 35.8% of the Seahawks' targets and 50% of the team’s air yards He also led the league in receiving yards.”

    Curtis Hirsch· Aug 21, 2026
  • “It was a truly special year for Jaxon Smith-Njigba , who led the league in receiving yards (1,793) and helped the Seahawks reach the Super Bowl. He also scored 10 touchdowns and was targeted a whopping 163 times (119 receptions).”

    Tom Strachan· Aug 15, 2026
  • “It was a truly special year for Jaxon Smith-Njigba, leading the league in receiving yards and helping the Seahawks to a Super Bowl. The only cause for concern is Klint Kubiak, the former offensive coordinator, moving to become the Head Coach of the New Orleans Saints and a potential dip in efficiency from Sam Darnold .”

    Tom Strachan· Aug 9, 2026
  • “Like Nacua, Smith-Njigba ranked outside the top 20 wide receivers in total routes run, at just 495 despite perfect health. Seattle was a run-first team by choice last year, but they also played a lot of un-competitive 2nd halves — at times induced by a Smith-Njigba eruption. I could see the team’s PROE rising given the changeover in their backfield, and could especially see the actual pass rate rise if the team plays more competitive games.”

    Jakob Sanderson· Aug 8, 2026
  • “It's hard to ignore how efficient Jaxon Smith-Njigba was in 2025. Smith-Njigba ranked fifth in targets, but was second in receiving yards (1,794). Four of his touchdowns came on passes of 20+ yards downfield, with an absurd 60% catch rate.”

    Tom Strachan· Jul 6, 2026
Derrick Henry
  • “Derrick Henry should see more volume this week and is an auto-start.”

    Jordan Pullett· Oct 10, 2026
  • “Favorite Leverage: Lamar Jackson or Derrick Henry might be the best pure leverage play on the slate. Lamar projects within a couple of points of Lawrence and Allen, but we are getting him at a fraction of the ownership with the same kind of slate-breaking ceiling against the worst team in the league. Henry likely trails CMC in the receiving game, but Henry is more likely to score two rushing TDs.”

    Chris Cash· Oct 3, 2026
  • “Derrick Henry is the first player to make a second appearance in the 10 Most Intriguing article. How could we omit King Henry in a week when he faces his former team, the Tennessee Titans, for the first time ever? Henry played for the Titans from 2016 to 2023.”

    Pat Fitzmaurice· Oct 1, 2026
See 12 more
  • “Derrick Henry did almost all of his damage in the first half (11 carries, 51 yards, the touchdown) before falling off to just 5 carries for 17 yards after intermission as Baltimore’s offense stalled. He got 75% of his rushing yardage in the first half alone, before Baltimore’s offense went cold in the fourth quarter. Overall usage: 16 carries for 68 yards (1 TD), plus a true 4 targets/4 rec/28 yds once his penalty-erased catch is counted.”

    Andrew Erickson· Sep 22, 2026
  • “There is always concern about Henry’s red zone work being siphoned off by the legs of Lamar Jackson , and while the Ravens QB did have a rushing TD, Henry got plenty of work inside the 20, leading the league in rushing yards in the red zone this week. The consistency that Henry brings near paydirt should keep him as a regular on this list for most of the season.”

    Kurt Mullen· Sep 15, 2026
  • “The ageless Derrick Henry rushed for 144 yards and three touchdowns on 24 carries Sunday, becoming the focal point for the offense after receivers Zay Flowers and Jakobi Lane left with injuries.”

    Evan Tarracciano· Sep 14, 2026
  • “Ravens Ravens RB Derrick Henry is 10th all-time in rushing going into the 2026 season with 13,018 yards. A typical season would push him all the way to No. 6 on the list ( Curtis Martin , 14,101 yards), and a classic peak Henry season could propel him past Adrian Peterson at No. 5 (14,918 yards). Henry has had over 1,900 yards rushing twice in his career.”

    Tony Camino· Sep 11, 2026
  • “Derrick Henry is being overlooked as a major value again this year. Even in a “down year,” Henry still had 16 touchdowns on his way to an RB7 finish without a full season of Lamar Jackson and on a dysfunctional offense.”

    FantasyPros Staff· Sep 2, 2026
  • “While Henry is no spring chicken, fantasy players should have no fear drafting him as a low-end RB1. He has played 17 games in three consecutive seasons. Furthermore, the future Hall of Famer has totaled at least 1,150 rushing yards and 12 touchdowns in four consecutive years, finishing as a top-eight running back every season.”

    Mike Fanelli· Aug 18, 2026
  • “Much like fine wine, it just seems like Derrick Henry is getting better with age. However, only the 1972 Miami Dolphins and Father Time are undefeated. King Henry is coming off a career season in which he had 27 carries in the 5-yard line. There isn't anyone challenging him on the depth chart for touches, so the only concern in 2026 is age and the departure of center Tyler Linderbaum.”

    Colt Williams· Jul 8, 2026
  • “Derrick Henry is entering his late-career danger zone, and the depth behind him is paper-thin.”

    Dennis Sosic· Jul 6, 2026
  • “Every season fantasy managers wonder whether Derrick Henry is finally slowing down. Jake Ciely isn't buying it. His reasoning is simple. Henry's draft cost continues to fall even though his production hasn't. Ciely also pointed out that Henry's fantasy scoring remains remarkably consistent regardless of game script, making him one of the safest veteran running backs available. At his current ADP, he's comfortable betting on Henry one more time.”

    FantasyPros Staff· Jul 4, 2026
  • “If Lamar Jackson can bounce back, Henry could inch back closer to his 2024 production (RB4 in fantasy points per game). He's at worst a low-end RB1 with top-five upside.”

    FantasyPros Staff· Jun 29, 2026
  • “For all of his accolades as the league's most physical runner, Henry is a non-factor in Baltimore's passing game. With 20 or fewer receptions in eight of Henry's 10 NFL seasons, a sudden shift turning him into the next Christian McCaffrey or Jahmyr Gibbs is not envisioned.”

    Evan Tarracciano· Jun 25, 2026
  • “Derrick Henry's 30.2 Sleeper ADP is a classic case of dynasty anxiety ruining redraft logic. Managers see his age and automatically assume a total collapse, completely ignoring the fact he ran for 1,500+ yards and 16 touchdowns last season. Henry remains the ultimate hammer in a Baltimore Ravens offense that completely sanitizes his negative game scripts. He retains a locked-in monopoly on goal-line touches and high-value red-zone opportunities.”

    Dennis Sosic· Jun 18, 2026

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Past weeks
Draft history and ADP
ADP 9.4
Jaxon Smith-Njigba
WR · SEA · WR4
ADP 13.7
Derrick Henry
RB · BAL · RB7
VS
The crowd's leanAll time
77.2% would rather draft Smith-Njigba over Henry
77.2%Smith-Njigba
22.8%Henry
Based on 145 comparison results