Garrett Wilson
vs Tyler Warren

“Garrett Wilson will vacuum up the targets in his absence.”

“According to the Fantasy Points Data Suite 2.0, Wilson has rock-solid or better marks of a 21.5% target share, 0.24 targets per route run (TPRR), 33.3% first-read rate and 37.5% air yard share this season. Mitchell’s 25% first-read rate trails behind Wilson’s. However, Mitchell is pacing the Jets in target share (23.1%), targets per route run (0.26 TPRR) among players with at least 30 routes and air yard share (59.4%).”

“Zack Rosenblatt of The Athletic pointed out that Wilson led all Jets receivers with 42 targets during camp — the next closest was Adonai Mitchell with 27. I don’t think Smith will suddenly find the fountain of youth, but if he plays with remote levels of competence, volume alone should drive Wilson into low-end WR1 territory without issues.”

“Wilson is cheaper, his QB situation is better, and his early schedule is the second-easiest. This might finally be the year I’m buying.”

“his counterpart for the Jets, Garrett Wilson, is coming off a much less severe season-ending injury. Potentially playing with the best QB of his career in Geno Smith.”

“Honorable mention: DeVonta Smith and Luther Burden .” – Mark Ringo ( Sleepers and Busts ) Garrett Wilson (WR – NYJ) “ Garrett Wilson is an elite talent stuck on a team lacking elite quarterback play.”

“Garrett Wilson will easily lead the Jets in targets if he stays healthy.”

“Add in the fact that Wilson has more competition than ever — first-round tight end Kenyon Saddiq, first-round receiver Omar Cooper Jr., and Adonai Mitchell, who the team acquired last year in the Sauce Gardner deal — and I’m just feeling faded by the Jets’ leading wideout.”

“Warren has been used near the line of scrimmage so far, averaging only 1.9 air yards per target. 36.4% of his targets have been at or behind the line of scrimmage, the third-highest rate among tight ends with double-digit targets. That said, he is playing a ton of snaps and getting regular targets.”

“Tyler Warren played 94.4% of the snaps, ran 92.7% of the routes, and had a 27.8% target share. Laquon Treadwell filled in for Pierce, running clear-out routes. Downs, Allen, and Warren all had good days, scoring 12.7, 18.3, and 14.7 PPR points, respectively.”

“While the Colts signed Darius Slay ton as Pierce’s replacement in the offense, Josh Downs and Tyler Warren will likely benefit the most from Pierce’s absence. TE Quick Hitters Brock Bowers | TE, Las Vegas Raiders (QUESTIONABLE) – Bowers is officially questionable after getting in two limited practices to start the week and then not practicing Friday. The Raiders indicated that Bowers’ Friday absence was planned and not a setback.”

“Tyler Warren is being asked to pass block more in 2026 (11.9% versus 6.9% last year) and his aDOT is a paltry 1.4 yards.”

“Tyler Warren had a fantastic rookie season as the TE10 in fantasy points per game, but there was plenty of meat left on the bone that should have fantasy gamers excited going into 2026.”

“Over his first 10 games of 2025, Warren averaged 5.0 catches, 61.7 receiving yards and 11.1 half-point PPR fantasy points per game, with four touchdowns. Over his last seven games, Warren averaged 3.7 catches, 28.6 receiving yards and 5.6 half-point PPR fantasy points per game, with one touchdown.”

“Warren was excellent last year on a per-route basis. Among 59 qualifying tight ends, he was sixth in target share, ninth in receiving yards per game, 18th in yards per route run and first downs per route run, and sixth in first-read-read share (per Fantasy Points Data). His target share and first-read share should increase this season with Pittman Jr. gone, and his per-route productivity should also improve if Daniel Jones can stay healthy for the entire season and be at least a shadow of his healthy self.”

“Obviously, Tyler Warren will see a great deal, and Alec Pierce just secured the bag, but Downs should not be forgotten”

“While Daniel Jones appears healthy heading into 2026, I expect to see more of Warren taking snaps at quarterback, as he did at Penn State. Warren offers unique upside that has received little discussion this offseason.”

“The Colts offense took a big step forward in 2025, and they will need to rely even more on Tyler Warren to keep that momentum going. Warren had an outstanding rookie year after leading the Colts in targets last season. The departure of Michael Pittman (PIT) will lead to even more looks for Warren's second season.”

“Warren had a strong rookie season, catching 76 of 112 targets for 817 yards and 4 touchdowns. He also added a rushing touchdown. Warren played 84% of the snaps as a rookie, running a route on 83.6% of the team's dropbacks.”

“In the games that Tyler Warren played with Daniel Jones, he averaged 12.36 PPR points and 53.7 yards. In the four that he played in without Jones, his numbers dropped to 6.95 points and 29.5 yards.”