DJ Moore
vs Lamar Jackson

“DJ Moore posted a 15.3% TPRR in 2025 while playing in a crowded Bears receiving corps. His Buffalo debut posted a casual 33.3% TPRR on 24 routes. What stands out to me is that this was on the road against the vaunted Houston defense.”

“It’s a logical move: DJ Moore is a bonafide WR1 and is particularly good at both running precise routes at the start of a play and finding an opening for his QB when a play breaks down.”

“DJ Moore (WR – BUF) DJ Moore already finished as a WR1 earlier in his career, back in 2023, when his 96/1,364/8 resulted in a WR6 finish.”

“DJ Moore (WR – BUF) Buffalo’s offense enters 2026 with one of the clearest target vacuums in the league. With Stefon Diggs leaving three years ago and no true alpha wide receiver on the roster, the Bills needed a reliable veteran who could immediately step into a featured role. After shaking off a brief lower‑body scare early in camp, DJ Moore returned to full participation and instantly clicked with Josh Allen .”

“DJ Moore (WR – BUF) After years of dealing with subpar quarterbacks, Moore gets to play with Josh Allen in 2026. Yet, he has been productive, averaging 14 or more PPR fantasy points per game in five of seven seasons since his rookie year despite never being an elite touchdown scorer.”

“Moore could have similar success with Allen under center.”

“The addition of DJ Moore will certainly hurt Khalil Shakir’s stock, but in a half-PPR league, he’ll have some value.”

“However, I’m imploring you to go after the market share of the receiving work in PPR formats, because DJ Moore is an extremely cheap bellcow WR.”

“Moore has a new home for 2026 and beyond after being traded to Buffalo as Josh Allen ‘s new WR1.”

“DJ Moore will finish the season as a WR1. Coming off the worst season of his career (50 REC, 682 YDS, 6 TDs, WR35 in Half PPR), Moore was traded from the Bears to the Bills. He is now catching passes from arguably the best QB in the league, Josh Allen.”

“Both Brown and Erickson believe playing with Josh Allen creates a dramatically different fantasy outlook than Moore has experienced previously. Brown also argued that Buffalo didn't acquire Moore simply to make him another complementary piece. The expectation is that Moore becomes a featured receiver within the offense.”

“DJ Moore is the favorite to lead the team in targets after Buffalo sent a second-round pick to Chicago to acquire him this offseason, and if his ADP sticks around the round 5-6 turn, it will be hard to turn down his potential targets from Josh Allen in 2026.”

“In both of his matchups with the Cowboys, Jackson has run for 181 yards and a TD.”

“Lamar Jackson has a massive ceiling in what projects to be a high-scoring matchup against the Cowboys. Dallas was getting torched by Jayden Daniels before he went down with an injury, which bodes well for Jackson’s outlook in this spot. With his ability to make plays through the air and on the ground, Jackson has the potential to put up a monster performance here.”

“But Jackson has looked far more like his electric self at the start of this season than he did in 2025. By the end of the season, he should be right up next to (OK, maybe behind) Allen as a top-tier fantasy quarterback.”

“Unfortunately, Jackson had arguably his worst season as a starter in 2025. He missed four games because of injury and played part of the year hurt. The superstar finished as the QB14 on a points-per-game basis among qualifying quarterbacks, averaging 19.8 fantasy points per contest. However, I expect a bounce-back season for Jackson, especially with Declan Doyle taking over as Baltimore’s offensive coordinator.”

“If Lamar Jackson can bounce back, Henry could inch back closer to his 2024 production (RB4 in fantasy points per game).”

“With plenty of time to recover from last season, Jackson is a ticking time bomb for fantasy production.”

“Jackson's 2025 performance was marred by injury and a subpar level of play (by his standards). Therefore, while he has tremendous leverage by virtue of the restructure and the $84.34MM cap number it created for 2027, he may want to come to the negotiating table on the heels of a better season.”

“Jackson mentioned that Doyle is running a completely different system from what Todd Monken deployed last season, while there are some concepts from what Greg Roman ran in 2022. Jackson expects more "explosiveness" this season, and Doyle is proving to be a very creative playcaller. "I feel like there's going to be a lot of explosiveness this year," Jackson said. "The way Declan calls plays and his creativity with his mind — how detailed he is — it's mind-blowing. I'm excited."”

“It was only a season ago that we saw Jackson finish as the QB1 with 425 fantasy points. That was his second time surpassing 400 fantasy points, a threshold that Allen has never exceeded.”

“Over his final eight starts, Jackson was the QB29 in fantasy points per game (11.9). He completed just 57.6% of his passes (28th) with 7 touchdowns and 6 interceptions. He had the highest inaccurate throw rate in the league over that span (15.8%).”