DJ Moore
vs David Montgomery

“In those two games, Moore has had ELITE usage and production with a 30.9% target share, 3.55 YPRR, two red zone targets, four deep targets, 0.170 FD/RR, and a 33.3% first-read share. I’m mentioning Moore here because this week he possibly gets a shadow from Christian Gonzalez , but in most weeks he is a set-and-forget must-start. This season, Christian Gonzalez has followed DK Metcalf , Jaxson Smith-Njigba, and Brian Thomas following them on 50-86.4% of their routes.”

“DJ Moore posted a 15.3% TPRR in 2025 while playing in a crowded Bears receiving corps. His Buffalo debut posted a casual 33.3% TPRR on 24 routes. What stands out to me is that this was on the road against the vaunted Houston defense.”

“It’s a logical move: DJ Moore is a bonafide WR1 and is particularly good at both running precise routes at the start of a play and finding an opening for his QB when a play breaks down.”

“DJ Moore (WR – BUF) DJ Moore already finished as a WR1 earlier in his career, back in 2023, when his 96/1,364/8 resulted in a WR6 finish.”

“DJ Moore (WR – BUF) Buffalo’s offense enters 2026 with one of the clearest target vacuums in the league. With Stefon Diggs leaving three years ago and no true alpha wide receiver on the roster, the Bills needed a reliable veteran who could immediately step into a featured role. After shaking off a brief lower‑body scare early in camp, DJ Moore returned to full participation and instantly clicked with Josh Allen .”

“DJ Moore (WR – BUF) After years of dealing with subpar quarterbacks, Moore gets to play with Josh Allen in 2026. Yet, he has been productive, averaging 14 or more PPR fantasy points per game in five of seven seasons since his rookie year despite never being an elite touchdown scorer.”

“Moore could have similar success with Allen under center.”

“The addition of DJ Moore will certainly hurt Khalil Shakir’s stock, but in a half-PPR league, he’ll have some value.”

“However, I’m imploring you to go after the market share of the receiving work in PPR formats, because DJ Moore is an extremely cheap bellcow WR.”

“Moore has a new home for 2026 and beyond after being traded to Buffalo as Josh Allen ‘s new WR1.”

“DJ Moore will finish the season as a WR1. Coming off the worst season of his career (50 REC, 682 YDS, 6 TDs, WR35 in Half PPR), Moore was traded from the Bears to the Bills. He is now catching passes from arguably the best QB in the league, Josh Allen.”

“Both Brown and Erickson believe playing with Josh Allen creates a dramatically different fantasy outlook than Moore has experienced previously. Brown also argued that Buffalo didn't acquire Moore simply to make him another complementary piece. The expectation is that Moore becomes a featured receiver within the offense.”

“Through three games, David Montgomery is averaging a whopping 2.7 YPA. He’s seeing about 52% of the touches, nowhere near the workhorse numbers everyone projected in the offseason. Woody Marks looks like the more explosive back of the two, though his numbers aren’t much better.”

“Montgomery has a 4.5% explosive run rate, 1.54 yards after contact per attempt, and a 12% missed tackle rate. If Houston can play with a lead, Montgomery could have a bounceback game this week against Indy’s putrid run defense. Indy has allowed the third-highest explosive run rate, the sixth-highest rushing success rate, the seventh-most yards before contact per attempt, and the fourth-highest missed tackle rate.”

“We have not seen much usage from Woody Marks yet, but David Montgomery should feast and may leave Marks (RB36) with some decent scraps. Blake Corum , RB, Los Angeles Rams The back half of 2025 saw Corum have an increase in workload with significant touches leading into the playoffs. Corum appears to be maintaining a similar workload and is due for a trip to the endzone.”

“On the bright side, Montgomery does still have all four of the Texans’ carries inside the 10-yard line. But goal-line work alone is a recipe for an inconsistent FLEX play, not a viable RB2. The whole thesis behind Montgomery this season was his workhorse volume, and it hasn’t been there through two weeks (he’s also been fairly inefficient, for what it’s worth).”

“David Montgomery will likely operate as the team’s workhorse.”

“David Montgomery (RB – HOU) I’m not buying the offseason narratives that the Texans backfield will be a 50/50 split. David Montgomery will likely operate as the team’s workhorse.”

“Longshot Bet: David Montgomery to Lead the NFL in Rushing Yards (+8000) David Montgomery has bell-cow history.”

“David Montgomery (HOU) At his cost in the middle rounds, Montgomery has the potential to win your league.”

“For all those reasons, David Montgomery is a player I am not leaving any drafts with, especially because this potential top-12 running back can be drafted.” – Adam Dove ( The Fantasy Couriers ) Travis Etienne Jr.”

“Montgomery has played seven seasons in the NFL and has had 201 carries or more in five of them. He fell under that number in the last two seasons (185 in 2024 and 158 in 2025), but that was mostly due to how utterly unstoppable Jahmyr Gibbs is.”