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Breece Hall vs Justin Jefferson

2026 draft comparison · half-PPR

Updated Aug 30, 2026

ADP 32.6
Questionable
Breece Hall
RB · NYJ · RB16
ADP 12.4
Justin Jefferson
WR · MIN · WR6
VS
The crowd's leanAll time
80% would rather draft Jefferson over Hall
20%Hall
80%Jefferson
Based on 25 comparison results

Should you draft Breece Hall or Justin Jefferson?

Last season — 2025, per game

Hall16 games
2025
Jefferson17 games
11.9Fantasy pts9.4
16Games17
0Pass yds0
0.1Pass TD0.0
15.2Carries0.1
67Rush yds0
4.4Yds/carry3.5
3.0Targets8.3
2.3Rec4.9
22Rec yds62
0.3TD0.1
Full game log & past seasons
Breece Hall
2025 game log
WKOPPFPTSRANKATTYDTDTGTRECRYDRTD
1
PIT
15.5
RB9
19
107
0
4
2
38
0
2
BUF
4.8
RB43
10
29
0
3
2
9
0
3
TB
7.2
RB32
9
21
0
6
4
31
0
4
MIA
13.6
RB19
14
81
0
6
5
30
0
5
DAL
15.5
RB13
14
113
0
5
4
42
0
6
DEN
5.9
RB30
22
59
0
0
0
0
0
7
CAR
6.2
RB31
11
38
0
3
2
14
0
8
CIN
31.9
RB3
18
133
2
3
2
14
0
9
10
CLE
19.0
RB6
21
83
0
1
1
42
1
11
NE
7.4
RB33
14
58
0
2
2
6
0
12
BAL
11.9
RB16
16
44
0
4
4
75
0
13
ATL
14.6
RB16
19
68
1
2
2
8
0
14
MIA
4.3
RB44
14
43
0
1
0
0
0
15
JAX
4.7
RB46
12
23
0
2
2
14
0
16
NO
7.3
RB40
16
54
0
3
2
9
0
17
NE
19.9
RB9
14
111
1
3
2
18
0
Earlier seasons (2024)
2024 game log
WKOPPFPTSRANKATTYDTDTGTRECRYDRTD
1
SF
15.8
RB15
16
54
1
6
5
39
0
2
TEN
20.9
RB4
14
62
0
8
7
52
1
3
NE
16.3
RB12
16
54
1
5
4
29
0
4
DEN
2.8
RB56
10
4
0
5
2
14
0
5
MIN
5.2
RB40
9
23
0
4
3
14
0
6
BUF
19.4
RB8
18
113
0
6
5
56
0
7
PIT
23.1
RB8
12
38
1
9
6
103
0
8
NE
9.4
RB31
16
80
0
3
1
9
0
9
HOU
9.5
RB28
15
74
0
4
2
11
0
10
ARI
10.3
RB20
10
52
0
4
4
31
0
11
IND
27.6
RB3
16
78
1
7
7
43
1
12
13
SEA
6.0
RB43
12
60
0
1
0
0
0
14
15
JAX
12.1
RB19
9
30
1
2
2
21
0
16
LAR
11.5
RB24
14
52
0
6
5
38
0
17
BUF
5.8
RB33
10
45
0
1
1
8
0
18
MIA
16.7
RB8
12
57
0
5
3
15
1
Justin Jefferson
2025 game log
WKOPPFPTSRANKTGTRECYDTD
1
CHI
12.8
WR20
7
4
44
1
2
ATL
9.6
WR38
6
3
81
0
3
CIN
10.0
WR33
7
5
75
0
4
PIT
17.6
WR9
11
10
126
0
5
CLE
15.8
WR11
11
7
123
0
6
BYE
7
PHI
10.4
WR26
10
5
79
0
8
LAC
10.9
WR26
11
7
74
0
9
DET
13.7
WR18
9
6
47
1
10
BAL
5.7
WR44
12
4
37
0
11
CHI
8.6
WR27
9
5
61
0
12
GB
6.8
WR39
6
4
48
0
13
SEA
1.4
WR95
6
2
4
0
14
WAS
2.1
WR81
4
2
11
0
15
DAL
3.2
WR77
8
2
22
0
16
NYG
11.5
WR26
8
6
85
0
17
DET
5.0
WR52
5
4
30
0
18
GB
14.4
WR10
11
8
101
0
Earlier seasons (2024)
2024 game log
WKOPPFPTSRANKTGTRECYDTD
1
NYG
13.9
WR15
6
4
59
1
2
SF
21.3
WR7
7
4
133
1
3
HOU
17.1
WR14
8
6
81
1
4
GB
17.5
WR11
8
6
85
1
5
NYJ
12.2
WR23
14
6
92
0
6
BYE
7
DET
17.9
WR5
8
7
81
1
8
LAR
15.5
WR13
9
8
115
0
9
IND
18.1
WR9
9
7
137
0
10
JAX
7.3
WR33
9
5
48
0
11
TEN
11.1
WR29
8
6
81
0
12
CHI
3.7
WR64
5
2
27
0
13
ARI
13.4
WR23
9
7
99
0
14
ATL
28.7
WR4
7
7
132
2
15
CHI
16.8
WR15
14
7
73
1
16
SEA
31.4
WR1
13
10
144
2
17
GB
13.2
WR29
11
8
92
0
18
DET
6.9
WR55
9
3
54
0

Latest takes

Breece Hall
  • Breece Hall suffered a groin strain earlier this month and was initially expected to miss 2-3 weeks. The encouraging part is that the Jets and their trainers continue to believe he’ll be ready for Week 1.

    Ryan Kirksey· Aug 29
  • Breece Hall suffered a groin injury in the middle of August, and Aaron Glenn gave a 2-to-3 week timetable for his return . Hall, barring a setback, will be ready for Week 1. #Jets Breece Hall – Groin.

  • Breece Hall , same team and year, averaged 18.0.

See 12 more
  • Breece Hall (RB – NYJ) | ADP: 32.7 Overall (RB17) I understand the reluctance to draft Breece Hall in the first couple of rounds, but let’s not forget just how good he is. Even in a putrid Jets offense last year, Hall managed to clear 1,000 yards rushing.

    Chad Workman· Aug 25
  • Breece Hall’s reception totals have declined every season, but I’m hoping that with more consistent quarterback play from Geno Smith and more weapons at the receiver and tight end positions, his usage will be much better in 2026. Still, Hall did turn 243 carries and 36 catches into more than 1,400 total yards.

  • You could also add a running back such as Breece Hall or Jeremiyah Love .

    Tom Strachan· Aug 11
  • De’Von Achane , Breece Hall, and Kenneth Walker

  • 9 | Diff: +2 Breece Hall had a tough time last year despite finishing as the RB20 in fantasy points per game.

  • 30 overall, giving him strong enough draft capital to matter, yet a crowded offense with Garrett Wilson, Kenyon Sadiq, and Breece Hall points more toward a complementary early role than instant target dominance.

  • Gamers are still operating with one foot in and the other out on Breece Hall and Garrett Wilson, but the upside potential is still on the table.

    Rich Hribar· Jul 23
  • Breece Hall (NYJ) — ECR: RB16 | Projection Rank: RB13 | Projected FPTS: 229.8 Breece Hall had a tough time last year despite finishing as the RB20 in fantasy points per game. New York’s quarterback play was dreadful, and the offense overall was a mess, which led to them ranking 29th in points per game and red zone scoring opportunities per game.

  • Hall should see an increase in targets, especially considering Ashton Jeanty saw 69 targets with Smith under center for the Raiders last season. If Hall sees more opportunities in the passing game, his receiving role alone justifies taking him in the dead zone.

    Kyle Zeigler· Jul 20
  • Specific round targets mentioned include Breece Hall and Javonte Williams in round three, and Cam Akers and David Montgomery in round four, with DeAndre Swift as a round five option.

  • With Geno Smith commanding the offense, this may be the most stable quarterback Hall has played with in his young career. That said, we are also coming off a horrific season for Smith with the Raiders in 2026.

    Ellis Johnson· Jul 17
  • Do keep that in mind when you draft Wilson and Hall because if you are aiming for ceiling, you might airball.

    Colt Williams· Jul 13
Justin Jefferson
  • Justin Jefferson (WR – MIN) | ADP: 11.8 (WR6) While he has been a fantasy superstar since entering the NFL, Justin Jefferson is coming off a massively disappointing season.

    Mike Fanelli· Aug 29
  • Justin Jefferson (WR – MIN) Condolences if you rostered Justin Jefferson in 2025. According to our data, Jefferson teams had a 3.54% win rate in 2025. That level of return stings and isn’t something fantasy managers forget in a hurry, but there are reasons for optimism in 2026.

    Tom Strachan· Aug 28
  • Justin Jefferson (WR – MIN) Finishes Outside the Top 20 Wide Receivers The prediction: Jefferson, currently going as a top-six receiver, finishes this season outside the top 20 at his position. This is partly a skepticism play on his new starting quarterback’s fit in this specific offense, particularly real questions about accessing the middle of the field effectively. Even last year, on a per-route basis, Jefferson already graded as only a fringe top-15 to top-17 receiver in efficiency metrics, not a true elite option, once poor quarterback play is set aside.

See 12 more
  • Justin Jefferson failed to live up to his ADP, while Jordan Addison couldn’t be trusted with anyone but Wentz starting. The veteran averaged 7.5 targets and 16 PPR fantasy points per game during the four contests he played with Wentz, totaling 15.1+ points in all but one outing.

    Mike Fanelli· Aug 25
  • Justin Jefferson (WR – MIN) | Under 1,376 Receiving Yards & 293.71 Fantasy Points As is the case with Drake London, Justin Jefferson finds himself in a quarterback situation where neither candidate is particularly promising. Kyler Murray is by far the more reliable option over J.J.

    Steve Krebs· Aug 25
  • Round 3: Justin Jefferson (QB – MIN) I feel great about Justin Jefferson this season with Kyler Murray as his quarterback.

  • Round 12: Jauan Jennings (WR – MIN) Jauan Jennings enters a crowded offense with Justin Jefferson , Jordan Addison and T.

  • Brown , Jaxon Smith‑Njigba , Justin Jefferson and CeeDee Lamb all provide stable weekly production because their offenses run directly through them.

  • Jefferson has been a fantasy superstar since he entered the NFL. Unfortunately, the veteran is coming off a massively disappointing season, finishing last year as the WR21, averaging 11.9 PPR fantasy points per game despite finishing seventh in the league with 141 targets.

    Mike Fanelli· Aug 15
  • With a better quarterback, Justin Jefferson is a top-five pick, but with J.J. McCarthy ‘s past poor play and the uncertainty of Kyler Murray , we get a discount on one of the best wide receivers in the league.

    Kurt Blakeway· Aug 14
  • Last year, Jefferson was still sixth in target share (28.5%) and seventh in first-read share (35.1%), so we should all expect the Minnesota passing attack to run through their alpha wide receiver again in 2026.

  • Last year, Justin Jefferson had a horrible runout as the WR28 in fantasy points per game (WR14 in expected fantasy points per game). Obviously, a ton of his season was impacted by the level of quarterback play, but Jefferson also slid to 36th in separation score and 38th in route win rate (among 109 qualifying receivers, per Fantasy Points Data).

  • Justin Jefferson is the fifth-best wide receiver in the Madden universe, apparently

  • Tate isn’t entering the NFL with the pedigree of a Ja’Marr Chase or Justin Jefferson , for example, but his combination of age, draft capital, and college production is extremely appealing

    Ryan Kirksey· Aug 6
  • Having Justin Jefferson , Jordan Addison , and Jauan Jennings at your disposal is an embarrassment of riches

    Kyle Zeigler· Aug 6