Breece Hall vs Derrick Henry

“Gamers are still operating with one foot in and the other out on Breece Hall and Garrett Wilson, but the upside potential is still on the table.”

“Breece Hall (NYJ) — ECR: RB16 | Projection Rank: RB13 | Projected FPTS: 229.8 Breece Hall had a tough time last year despite finishing as the RB20 in fantasy points per game. New York’s quarterback play was dreadful, and the offense overall was a mess, which led to them ranking 29th in points per game and red zone scoring opportunities per game.”

“Hall should see an increase in targets, especially considering Ashton Jeanty saw 69 targets with Smith under center for the Raiders last season. If Hall sees more opportunities in the passing game, his receiving role alone justifies taking him in the dead zone.”

“Specific round targets mentioned include Breece Hall and Javonte Williams in round three, and Cam Akers and David Montgomery in round four, with DeAndre Swift as a round five option.”

“With Geno Smith commanding the offense, this may be the most stable quarterback Hall has played with in his young career. That said, we are also coming off a horrific season for Smith with the Raiders in 2026.”

“Do keep that in mind when you draft Wilson and Hall because if you are aiming for ceiling, you might airball.”

“Breece Hall blows his RB14 ADP out of the water and finishes as a top 5 back. Hall quietly logged 243 carries (11th in the NFL) and 17.4 touches per game last season despite playing in one of football's least efficient offenses, yet found the end zone just five times on 291 opportunities, a glaring positive regression candidate.”

“Hall is also due for some positive regression in the passing game. After catching 76 passes in 2023 and 57 in 2024, he was held to just 36 last season. Hall still posted the third-best yards per reception among running backs last season.”

“The projections call for more than 1,500 total yards, nearly 50 receptions, and close to double-digit touchdowns. Hall remains one of the league's most efficient runners on a per-touch basis.”

“Their rebuild just so happens to be consuming Breece Hall and Garrett Wilson, plus the addition of Sadiq and Cooper.”

“Vikings HC Kevin O'Connell complimented Jets GM Darren Mougey on how they handled some of their internal situations, including getting their running back Breece Hall re-signed.”

“The Jets signed RB Breece Hall to a three-year, $45.75 million extension this offseason. Hall expressed confidence about the team's direction, saying "Getting that nucleus paid and having that core group of guys that they're investing in that they expect to change the franchise, it means a lot for us."”

“Top-12 Drafted RBs in 2025 RB 2025 ADP 2024 Finish 2025 Games Played Bijan Robinson RB1 RB3 17 Saquon Barkley RB2 RB13 16 Jahmyr Gibbs RB3 RB4 17 Christian McCaffrey RB4 RB1 17 Derrick Henry RB5 RB7 17 Ashton Jeanty RB6 RB12 17 Josh Jacobs RB7 RB15 15 De’Von Achane RB8 RB6 16 Jonathan Taylor RB9 RB2 17 Bucky Irving RB10 RB33 10 Chase Brown RB11 RB8 17 Kyren Williams RB12 RB9 17 2025 RB Health Last season, nine out of 12 top RBs drafted finished as an RB1, resulting in a mostly chalky season at the top for RBs.”

“Overall, the increase of under-center snaps favors Derrick Henry , which poses a specific siphoning risk related to rushing TD opportunity.”

“Other skill-position players with a similar LTV include fellow veteran Derrick Henry and Sam LaPorta.”

“Baltimore now turns to head coach Jesse Minter, whose offseason reviews highlight a more explosive and creative scheme. That shift should benefit Henry's usage and the offense as a whole. The veteran's current average draft position in the middle rounds is a clear value.”

“Every season, managers expect Derrick Henry to decline, and every season he proves them wrong. Henry turned 32 in January, yet his power, durability and efficiency remain intact. He finished as the RB8 in PPR formats last year with 279.5 fantasy points and continues to play well beyond typical age curves.”

“Much like fine wine, it just seems like Derrick Henry is getting better with age. However, only the 1972 Miami Dolphins and Father Time are undefeated. King Henry is coming off a career season in which he had 27 carries in the 5-yard line. There isn't anyone challenging him on the depth chart for touches, so the only concern in 2026 is age and the departure of center Tyler Linderbaum.”

“Derrick Henry is entering his late-career danger zone, and the depth behind him is paper-thin.”

“Every season fantasy managers wonder whether Derrick Henry is finally slowing down. Jake Ciely isn't buying it. His reasoning is simple. Henry's draft cost continues to fall even though his production hasn't. Ciely also pointed out that Henry's fantasy scoring remains remarkably consistent regardless of game script, making him one of the safest veteran running backs available. At his current ADP, he's comfortable betting on Henry one more time.”

“If Lamar Jackson can bounce back, Henry could inch back closer to his 2024 production (RB4 in fantasy points per game). He's at worst a low-end RB1 with top-five upside.”

“Last year was another impressive year for Derrick Henry. He didn't show any signs of slowing down with 307 rushing attempts, 1,595 rushing yards, 16 total touchdowns, and an RB8 finish in fantasy points per game.”

“For all of his accolades as the league's most physical runner, Henry is a non-factor in Baltimore's passing game. With 20 or fewer receptions in eight of Henry's 10 NFL seasons, a sudden shift turning him into the next Christian McCaffrey or Jahmyr Gibbs is not envisioned.”

“The Ravens run first and do everything else second, and they run through Lamar Jackson and Derrick Henry, leaving few rush attempts for Randall.”