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A.J. Brown vs Nico Collins

2026 draft comparison · half-PPR

Updated Aug 10, 2026

ADP 18.2
A.J. Brown
WR · NE · WR8
ADP 18.5
Nico Collins
WR · HOU · WR9
VS
The crowd's leanAll time
65.7% would rather draft Brown over Collins
65.7%Brown
34.3%Collins
Based on 70 comparison results

Should you draft A.J. Brown or Nico Collins?

Last season — 2025, per game

BrownWR14 finish
2025
CollinsWR9 finish
12.1Fantasy pts12.7
15Games15
8.1Targets8.0
5.2Rec4.7
67Rec yds74
0.5TD0.5
Full game log & past seasons
A.J. Brown
2025 game log
WKOPPFPTSRANKTGTRECYDTD
1
DAL
1.3
WR100
1
1
8
0
2
KC
5.2
WR72
8
5
27
0
3
LAR
19.9
WR3
10
6
109
1
4
TB
1.7
WR98
9
2
7
0
5
DEN
6.8
WR51
8
5
43
0
6
NYG
11.0
WR21
9
6
80
0
7
MIN
26.1
WR3
6
4
121
2
8
9
10
GB
2.3
WR73
3
2
13
0
11
DET
8.4
WR29
11
7
49
0
12
DAL
21.0
WR5
10
8
110
1
13
CHI
30.2
WR1
12
10
132
2
14
LAC
13.0
WR16
13
6
100
0
15
LV
11.1
WR27
2
2
41
1
16
WAS
14.0
WR17
12
9
95
0
17
BUF
9.3
WR31
7
5
68
0
Earlier seasons (2024)
2024 game log
WKOPPFPTSRANKTGTRECYDTD
1
GB
20.4
WR7
10
5
119
1
2
3
4
5
6
CLE
20.6
WR3
9
6
116
1
7
NYG
17.4
WR7
5
5
89
1
8
CIN
10.9
WR36
6
5
84
0
9
JAX
4.6
WR62
4
2
36
0
10
DAL
13.4
WR16
7
5
109
0
11
WAS
9.0
WR36
8
5
65
0
12
LAR
19.9
WR5
7
6
109
1
13
BAL
9.1
WR38
6
5
66
0
14
CAR
6.3
WR46
4
4
43
0
15
PIT
21.0
WR9
11
8
110
1
16
WAS
19.7
WR8
15
8
97
1
17
DAL
11.1
WR36
5
3
36
1
Nico Collins
2025 game log
WKOPPFPTSRANKTGTRECYDTD
1
LAR
4.0
WR70
5
3
25
0
2
TB
12.7
WR29
9
3
52
1
3
JAX
18.4
WR5
11
8
104
1
4
TEN
9.9
WR27
6
4
79
0
5
BAL
14.0
WR16
5
4
52
1
6
7
SEA
4.7
WR59
10
4
27
0
8
BYE
9
DEN
11.0
WR28
11
7
75
0
10
JAX
19.1
WR5
15
7
136
0
11
TEN
19.7
WR4
10
9
92
1
12
BUF
7.0
WR37
3
3
55
0
13
IND
19.0
WR10
10
5
98
0
14
KC
14.1
WR14
8
4
121
0
15
ARI
22.0
WR4
4
3
85
2
16
LV
7.9
WR38
9
4
59
0
17
LAC
7.2
WR40
4
3
57
0
Earlier seasons (2024)
2024 game log
WKOPPFPTSRANKTGTRECYDTD
1
IND
14.7
WR14
8
6
117
0
2
CHI
23.5
WR4
10
8
135
1
3
MIN
10.6
WR36
10
4
86
0
4
JAX
27.1
WR1
15
12
151
1
5
BUF
14.8
WR16
2
2
78
1
6
7
8
BYE
9
10
11
DAL
7.4
WR46
7
4
54
0
12
TEN
17.7
WR8
9
5
92
1
13
JAX
15.9
WR15
11
8
119
0
14
15
MIA
15.7
WR19
6
4
17
2
16
KC
9.5
WR37
10
7
60
0
17
BAL
7.4
WR46
6
3
59
0
18
TEN
12.3
WR26
5
5
38
1

Latest takes

A.J. Brown
  • After being traded to New England, Brown should immediately command massive volume and reclaim high-end WR1 upside, with an ascending quarterback in Drake Maye .

  • The other side of it is that the Eagles moved on from A.J. Brown this offseason

  • A.J. Brown (WR – NE): Up 2 spots to No. 14 – Tier 3 into Tier 2 A two-spot move that’s the most significant riser of the summer, because of where it happened. Brown crossed from Tier 3 into Tier 2, joining the elite handful of receivers the consensus treats as set-and-forget WR1s.

See 12 more
  • There’s no doubting Brown’s talent; however, I do wonder if the way to replace a slot receiver (Diggs) that was the key piece of your offense is to add a physical outside receiver like Brown. There are also my concerns about his knee in the long term.

  • At 28, Brown is a big upgrade for a Patriots passing game that ranked fifth in the league, a huge improvement from the Eagles’ 27th-ranked unit.

  • A.J. Brown was the round two pick, built on a significant situational upgrade. His new offense ranked ninth in neutral passing rate last year, compared to his old offense’s 15th-ranked mark, and that gap could widen further with continued quarterback development, a new star receiver alongside him, and a tougher schedule that should force more passing.

  • Even in a “down” season, Brown topped 1,000 yards receiving on a run-first offense and scored seven touchdowns. In ESPN’s open score and PFF’s receiving grade — both metrics that seek to evaluate a wide receiver’s performance even if he’s not targeted on a passing play — Brown ranked No. 9 and No. 13 out of over a hundred wideouts.

    Logan Ulrich· Jul 19
  • Getting AJ Brown, who was the WR5 over the final seven games of 2025, cannot hurt Maye. All three Ballers think he is a receiver who could truly finish as the WR1 overall.

    Colt Williams· Jul 13
  • Brown gives Drake Maye the true alpha this offense needed. Now he climbed into Maye's draft pocket, and while he can still pay off pick 16, the price feels closer to stacking tax than pure value.

    Chris Cash· Jul 9
  • Andrew Erickson isn't worried about A.J. Brown's "down" season. He believes it created a buying opportunity. Despite modest touchdown totals last year, Brown still produced at a high level while commanding an elite target share. Erickson expects Josh McDaniels to feature Brown as the unquestioned focal point of New England's passing attack. If that happens, Brown could easily return to top-three fantasy wide receiver production.

  • A.J. Brown and Dallas Goedert each missed just one game due to injury. Brown has since been traded.

  • Repeating a first-place ranking in both categories is unlikely, and it will be even more challenging if the offensive line can't take a step forward in protecting Maye, even with A.J. Brown added to the receiver room.

  • Since entering the league in 2019, Brown has consistently demonstrated an ability to rack up massive yards after the catch (YAC) numbers, but has never been a true volume-based receiver. If one were to remove his totals for the 2023 season (which was an outlier), Brown averaged fewer than 70 receptions per season.

  • The analysts believe fantasy managers may be underestimating just how much upside exists in A.J. Brown's new situation. Derek Brown pointed to improvements in offensive philosophy and red-zone passing opportunities as reasons for optimism, and there was confidence that Brown remains one of the league's premier target earners.

  • In a putrid Eagles' passing attack last season, Brown was ninth in target share, 13th in air yards and eighth in red-zone target share. Now he moves to a team with an ascending passing quarterback and an offense that targets its receivers downfield.

    Ryan Kirksey· Jun 18
Nico Collins
  • Alec Pierce, Nico Collins – 3.7 How to support a QB on a rookie deal ( Drake Maye ):

  • Collins was productive again in 2025, catching 71 passes for 1,117 yards and 6 touchdowns. He did take a slight dip in per-game output. After 5.3 and 5.7 receptions per game in C.J. Stroud's first two seasons, Collins averaged 4.7 catches per game in 2025.

    Rich Hribar· Jul 10
  • Nico Collins is a bona fide stud, and we are hopeful that Jayden Higgins will emerge as a startable fantasy asset this year.

    Kemper Trull· Jul 10
See 12 more
  • A healthy Nico Collins will also be a huge factor, as the connection between those two has consistently elevated Stroud's efficiency and touchdown production since coming into the league.

  • At worst, Collins profiles as a reliable fantasy WR1/WR2 hybrid with one of the strongest WR efficiency profiles in the NFL.

  • Nico Collins continued his run as Houston's unquestioned WR1 in 2025, posting his third 1,000-yard season in the last four years while finishing as a top-10 fantasy receiver once again. Despite battling injuries, Collins remained highly efficient and continued to dominate targets and red-zone usage in the Texans offense.

  • The Texans have a lot of passing game weapons, but outside of Schultz and Nico Collins, none of them are very good at all.

    Jeff Krisko· Jun 21
  • On the flip side, what if you have Nico and got a value on Jacobs (as his ADP free-falls thanks to off-field issues)? Montgomery would make more sense there for the stack-and-run back correlation.

    Chris Cash· Jun 6
  • Nico Collins' ADP is essentially one round behind his ECR in a 12-team league, with a 66% gap between his ADP and ECR that trails only Ja'Marr Chase. Although he has been "just" a back-end fantasy WR1 over the last two years, the 27-year-old is a genuine top-tier talent at the position, ranking seventh, second and fifth among qualified receivers in Pro Football Focus receiving grade over the last three seasons.

    Ted Chmyz· Jun 5
  • Nico Collins was discussed as a receiver whose combination of physical traits and offensive role keeps him firmly in the upper fantasy conversation. The analysis focused heavily on his ability to command targets while also producing explosive plays. There was a sense throughout the discussion that Collins has moved beyond simply being a breakout candidate and now belongs in the tier of receivers fantasy managers can trust weekly.

  • Collins saw a career-high 120 targets in 2025. Furthermore, he had six receiving touchdowns after totaling 15 over the previous two years.

    Mike Fanelli· May 19
  • Top cap hit: Nico Collins, $14,939,529 (4.96 percent)

    Logan Ulrich· Jul 5
  • Houston will head into training camp later this month with back-to-back Pro Bowler Nico Collins continuing to lead its receiving corps. Stroud has formed a strong connection with Collins, a 1,000-yard receiver three years in a row.

    Connor Byrne· Jul 3
  • Nico Collins has since received a raise as part of the Texans' changes to their wide receiver room.

    Sam Robinson· Jun 19
  • Coming off a rough stretch to end the year, Texans WR Nico Collins outlined the different mindset from QB C.J. Stroud. "Different guy, different dude, man on a mission," Collins said. "Man, he's ready to hunt."