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A.J. Brown vs Jaxon Smith-Njigba

2026 draft comparison · half-PPR

Updated Aug 10, 2026

ADP 18.2
A.J. Brown
WR · NE · WR8
ADP 7.3
Jaxon Smith-Njigba
WR · SEA · WR3
VS
The crowd's leanRecent vs all time
92.9% would rather draft Smith-Njigba over Brown

Last 7 days: Brown 5.6%Smith-Njigba 94.4%

7.1%Brown
92.9%Smith-Njigba

Should you draft A.J. Brown or Jaxon Smith-Njigba?

Last season — 2025, per game

BrownWR14 finish
2025
Smith-NjigbaWR2 finish
12.1Fantasy pts17.7
15Games17
8.1Targets9.6
5.2Rec7.0
67Rec yds105
0.5TD0.6
Full game log & past seasons
A.J. Brown
2025 game log
WKOPPFPTSRANKTGTRECYDTD
1
DAL
1.3
WR100
1
1
8
0
2
KC
5.2
WR72
8
5
27
0
3
LAR
19.9
WR3
10
6
109
1
4
TB
1.7
WR98
9
2
7
0
5
DEN
6.8
WR51
8
5
43
0
6
NYG
11.0
WR21
9
6
80
0
7
MIN
26.1
WR3
6
4
121
2
8
9
10
GB
2.3
WR73
3
2
13
0
11
DET
8.4
WR29
11
7
49
0
12
DAL
21.0
WR5
10
8
110
1
13
CHI
30.2
WR1
12
10
132
2
14
LAC
13.0
WR16
13
6
100
0
15
LV
11.1
WR27
2
2
41
1
16
WAS
14.0
WR17
12
9
95
0
17
BUF
9.3
WR31
7
5
68
0
Earlier seasons (2024)
2024 game log
WKOPPFPTSRANKTGTRECYDTD
1
GB
20.4
WR7
10
5
119
1
2
3
4
5
6
CLE
20.6
WR3
9
6
116
1
7
NYG
17.4
WR7
5
5
89
1
8
CIN
10.9
WR36
6
5
84
0
9
JAX
4.6
WR62
4
2
36
0
10
DAL
13.4
WR16
7
5
109
0
11
WAS
9.0
WR36
8
5
65
0
12
LAR
19.9
WR5
7
6
109
1
13
BAL
9.1
WR38
6
5
66
0
14
CAR
6.3
WR46
4
4
43
0
15
PIT
21.0
WR9
11
8
110
1
16
WAS
19.7
WR8
15
8
97
1
17
DAL
11.1
WR36
5
3
36
1
Jaxon Smith-Njigba
2025 game log
WKOPPFPTSRANKTGTRECYDTD
1
SF
14.9
WR14
13
9
124
0
2
PIT
14.3
WR19
10
8
103
0
3
NO
18.1
WR7
6
5
96
1
4
ARI
11.0
WR25
5
4
79
0
5
TB
23.2
WR3
9
8
132
1
6
JAX
26.2
WR3
13
8
162
1
7
HOU
22.3
WR7
14
8
123
1
8
9
WAS
18.0
WR9
9
8
129
0
10
ARI
17.8
WR9
6
5
93
1
11
LAR
16.1
WR10
12
9
105
0
12
TEN
33.1
WR1
10
8
167
2
13
MIN
3.3
WR71
4
2
23
0
14
ATL
24.6
WR3
10
7
92
2
15
IND
14.8
WR14
9
7
113
0
16
LAR
19.6
WR6
13
8
96
1
17
CAR
11.7
WR22
12
9
72
0
18
SF
11.4
WR16
8
6
84
0
Earlier seasons (2024)
2024 game log
WKOPPFPTSRANKTGTRECYDTD
1
DEN
2.9
WR75
2
2
19
0
2
NE
17.7
WR12
16
12
117
0
3
MIA
5.4
WR59
3
3
39
0
4
DET
9.1
WR40
12
8
51
0
5
NYG
11.1
WR30
7
4
31
1
6
SF
7.8
WR39
9
5
53
0
7
ATL
3.8
WR60
6
3
9
0
8
BUF
9.9
WR42
7
6
69
0
9
LAR
33.5
WR1
13
7
180
2
10
11
SF
16.8
WR12
11
10
110
0
12
ARI
16.7
WR11
7
6
77
1
13
NYJ
9.9
WR33
4
4
74
0
14
ARI
17.1
WR15
5
5
82
1
15
GB
13.3
WR23
12
10
83
0
16
MIN
20.0
WR7
12
8
95
1
17
CHI
4.7
WR66
6
3
32
0
18
LAR
3.3
WR82
5
4
9
0

Latest takes

A.J. Brown
  • After being traded to New England, Brown should immediately command massive volume and reclaim high-end WR1 upside, with an ascending quarterback in Drake Maye .

  • The other side of it is that the Eagles moved on from A.J. Brown this offseason

  • A.J. Brown (WR – NE): Up 2 spots to No. 14 – Tier 3 into Tier 2 A two-spot move that’s the most significant riser of the summer, because of where it happened. Brown crossed from Tier 3 into Tier 2, joining the elite handful of receivers the consensus treats as set-and-forget WR1s.

See 12 more
  • There’s no doubting Brown’s talent; however, I do wonder if the way to replace a slot receiver (Diggs) that was the key piece of your offense is to add a physical outside receiver like Brown. There are also my concerns about his knee in the long term.

  • At 28, Brown is a big upgrade for a Patriots passing game that ranked fifth in the league, a huge improvement from the Eagles’ 27th-ranked unit.

  • A.J. Brown was the round two pick, built on a significant situational upgrade. His new offense ranked ninth in neutral passing rate last year, compared to his old offense’s 15th-ranked mark, and that gap could widen further with continued quarterback development, a new star receiver alongside him, and a tougher schedule that should force more passing.

  • Even in a “down” season, Brown topped 1,000 yards receiving on a run-first offense and scored seven touchdowns. In ESPN’s open score and PFF’s receiving grade — both metrics that seek to evaluate a wide receiver’s performance even if he’s not targeted on a passing play — Brown ranked No. 9 and No. 13 out of over a hundred wideouts.

    Logan Ulrich· Jul 19
  • Getting AJ Brown, who was the WR5 over the final seven games of 2025, cannot hurt Maye. All three Ballers think he is a receiver who could truly finish as the WR1 overall.

    Colt Williams· Jul 13
  • Brown gives Drake Maye the true alpha this offense needed. Now he climbed into Maye's draft pocket, and while he can still pay off pick 16, the price feels closer to stacking tax than pure value.

    Chris Cash· Jul 9
  • Andrew Erickson isn't worried about A.J. Brown's "down" season. He believes it created a buying opportunity. Despite modest touchdown totals last year, Brown still produced at a high level while commanding an elite target share. Erickson expects Josh McDaniels to feature Brown as the unquestioned focal point of New England's passing attack. If that happens, Brown could easily return to top-three fantasy wide receiver production.

  • A.J. Brown and Dallas Goedert each missed just one game due to injury. Brown has since been traded.

  • Repeating a first-place ranking in both categories is unlikely, and it will be even more challenging if the offensive line can't take a step forward in protecting Maye, even with A.J. Brown added to the receiver room.

  • Since entering the league in 2019, Brown has consistently demonstrated an ability to rack up massive yards after the catch (YAC) numbers, but has never been a true volume-based receiver. If one were to remove his totals for the 2023 season (which was an outlier), Brown averaged fewer than 70 receptions per season.

  • The analysts believe fantasy managers may be underestimating just how much upside exists in A.J. Brown's new situation. Derek Brown pointed to improvements in offensive philosophy and red-zone passing opportunities as reasons for optimism, and there was confidence that Brown remains one of the league's premier target earners.

  • In a putrid Eagles' passing attack last season, Brown was ninth in target share, 13th in air yards and eighth in red-zone target share. Now he moves to a team with an ascending passing quarterback and an offense that targets its receivers downfield.

    Ryan Kirksey· Jun 18
Jaxon Smith-Njigba
  • It was a truly special year for Jaxon Smith-Njigba, leading the league in receiving yards and helping the Seahawks to a Super Bowl. The only cause for concern is Klint Kubiak, the former offensive coordinator, moving to become the Head Coach of the New Orleans Saints and a potential dip in efficiency from Sam Darnold .

    Tom Strachan· Aug 9
  • Like Nacua, Smith-Njigba ranked outside the top 20 wide receivers in total routes run, at just 495 despite perfect health. Seattle was a run-first team by choice last year, but they also played a lot of un-competitive 2nd halves — at times induced by a Smith-Njigba eruption. I could see the team’s PROE rising given the changeover in their backfield, and could especially see the actual pass rate rise if the team plays more competitive games.

  • WR5 in expected PPG last year (17.4), just ahead of Jaxon Smith-Njigba (17.2) Most combined red-zone + downfield (15+ yard) targets per game in 2025: 1

See 12 more
  • Perhaps waiting to take Darnold for the stack with Jaxon Smith-Njigba in the final round may have been wiser.

  • 4th in yards per route run behind Puka Nacua , Jaxon Smith-Njigba and Luther Burden .

  • Flowers’ draft classmate, Seahawks WR Jaxon Smith-Njigba , reset the market at over $42 million a year this offseason.

    Logan Ulrich· Jul 19
  • It was a truly special year for Jaxon Smith-Njigba , who led the league in receiving yards (1,793) and helped the Seahawks reach the Super Bowl.

    Tom Strachan· Jul 18
  • Smith-Njigba is coming off a remarkable season, catching 119 passes for a league-leading 1,793 yards and 10 touchdowns. He became the first player in the Super Bowl era to lead the NFL in receiving yards while playing for a team in the bottom three in pass rate.

    Rich Hribar· Jul 10
  • Jaxon Smith-Njigba proved last season that he is one of the best receivers in the league. He is a true No. 1 weapon, finishing with 1,700+ receiving yards and 10 touchdowns, nearly tripling the next-closest player on the team.

  • It's hard to ignore how efficient Jaxon Smith-Njigba was in 2025. Smith-Njigba ranked fifth in targets, but was second in receiving yards (1,794). Four of his touchdowns came on passes of 20+ yards downfield, with an absurd 60% catch rate.

    Tom Strachan· Jul 6
  • Jaxon Smith-Njigba is the reigning Offensive Player of the Year after leading the NFL with 1,793 receiving yards.

  • The only cause for concern is Klint Kubiak leaving to become the head coach of the Las Vegas Raiders, which could lead to a dip in Sam Darnold's efficiency. The positive side, though, is that the team didn't make any major additions at receiver, aside from bringing back Rashid Shaheed. If Zach Charbonnet isn't back and rookie Jadarian Price can't adapt to the NFL quickly, could we see even more volume from Smith-Njigba?

    Tom Strachan· Jun 17
  • Other notable cap hit: Jaxon Smith-Njigba, $10,371,329 (3.44 percent)

    Logan Ulrich· Jul 5
  • The Seahawks wasted no time rewarding reigning Offensive Player of the Year Jaxon Smith-Njigba with the biggest wide receiver contract in NFL history this offseason.

    Nikhil Mehta· Jun 27
  • The Seahawks have one of the league's best wide receivers in Jaxon Smith-Njigba.

    Nikhil Mehta· May 10