A.J. Brown vs Bijan Robinson
2026 draft comparison · half-PPR
Updated Aug 10, 2026
Should you draft A.J. Brown or Bijan Robinson?
Last season — 2025, per game
Full game log & past seasons
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | TGT | REC | YD | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | DAL | 1.3 | WR100 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 0 |
2 | KC | 5.2 | WR72 | 8 | 5 | 27 | 0 |
3 | LAR | 19.9 | WR3 | 10 | 6 | 109 | 1 |
4 | TB | 1.7 | WR98 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 0 |
5 | DEN | 6.8 | WR51 | 8 | 5 | 43 | 0 |
6 | NYG | 11.0 | WR21 | 9 | 6 | 80 | 0 |
7 | MIN | 26.1 | WR3 | 6 | 4 | 121 | 2 |
8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
10 | GB | 2.3 | WR73 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 0 |
11 | DET | 8.4 | WR29 | 11 | 7 | 49 | 0 |
12 | DAL | 21.0 | WR5 | 10 | 8 | 110 | 1 |
13 | CHI | 30.2 | WR1 | 12 | 10 | 132 | 2 |
14 | LAC | 13.0 | WR16 | 13 | 6 | 100 | 0 |
15 | LV | 11.1 | WR27 | 2 | 2 | 41 | 1 |
16 | WAS | 14.0 | WR17 | 12 | 9 | 95 | 0 |
17 | BUF | 9.3 | WR31 | 7 | 5 | 68 | 0 |
Earlier seasons (2024)
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | TGT | REC | YD | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | GB | 20.4 | WR7 | 10 | 5 | 119 | 1 |
2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
6 | CLE | 20.6 | WR3 | 9 | 6 | 116 | 1 |
7 | NYG | 17.4 | WR7 | 5 | 5 | 89 | 1 |
8 | CIN | 10.9 | WR36 | 6 | 5 | 84 | 0 |
9 | JAX | 4.6 | WR62 | 4 | 2 | 36 | 0 |
10 | DAL | 13.4 | WR16 | 7 | 5 | 109 | 0 |
11 | WAS | 9.0 | WR36 | 8 | 5 | 65 | 0 |
12 | LAR | 19.9 | WR5 | 7 | 6 | 109 | 1 |
13 | BAL | 9.1 | WR38 | 6 | 5 | 66 | 0 |
14 | CAR | 6.3 | WR46 | 4 | 4 | 43 | 0 |
15 | PIT | 21.0 | WR9 | 11 | 8 | 110 | 1 |
16 | WAS | 19.7 | WR8 | 15 | 8 | 97 | 1 |
17 | DAL | 11.1 | WR36 | 5 | 3 | 36 | 1 |
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | ATT | YD | TD | TGT | REC | RYD | RTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | TB | 21.4 | RB2 | 12 | 24 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 100 | 1 |
2 | MIN | 18.3 | RB7 | 22 | 143 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 25 | 0 |
3 | CAR | 13.6 | RB14 | 13 | 72 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 39 | 0 |
4 | WAS | 26.1 | RB5 | 17 | 75 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 106 | 0 |
5 | BYE | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
6 | BUF | 32.8 | RB1 | 19 | 170 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 68 | 0 |
7 | SF | 18.2 | RB9 | 14 | 40 | 0 | 8 | 6 | 52 | 1 |
8 | MIA | 4.3 | RB39 | 9 | 25 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 0 |
9 | NE | 13.6 | RB12 | 12 | 46 | 0 | 10 | 8 | 50 | 0 |
10 | IND | 9.8 | RB24 | 17 | 84 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
11 | CAR | 28.3 | RB4 | 23 | 104 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 39 | 0 |
12 | NO | 13.7 | RB14 | 14 | 70 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 37 | 0 |
13 | NYJ | 27.8 | RB1 | 23 | 142 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 51 | 0 |
14 | SEA | 8.4 | RB29 | 20 | 86 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 0 |
15 | TB | 25.5 | RB4 | 19 | 93 | 1 | 11 | 8 | 82 | 0 |
16 | ARI | 26.3 | RB5 | 16 | 76 | 0 | 11 | 7 | 92 | 1 |
17 | LAR | 37.4 | RB2 | 22 | 195 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 34 | 1 |
18 | NO | 5.8 | RB36 | 15 | 33 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 0 |
Earlier seasons (2024)
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | ATT | YD | TD | TGT | REC | RYD | RTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | PIT | 13.6 | RB19 | 18 | 68 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 43 | 0 |
2 | PHI | 14.2 | RB15 | 14 | 97 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 0 |
3 | KC | 12.2 | RB17 | 16 | 31 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 0 |
4 | NO | 9.4 | RB27 | 7 | 28 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 46 | 0 |
5 | TB | 9.2 | RB27 | 12 | 61 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 0 |
6 | CAR | 24.0 | RB4 | 15 | 95 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 0 |
7 | SEA | 21.8 | RB10 | 21 | 103 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 40 | 0 |
8 | TB | 20.1 | RB8 | 13 | 63 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 43 | 1 |
9 | DAL | 18.0 | RB11 | 19 | 86 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 59 | 0 |
10 | NO | 27.9 | RB1 | 20 | 116 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 28 | 0 |
11 | DEN | 8.3 | RB27 | 12 | 35 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 0 |
12 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
13 | LAC | 22.5 | RB2 | 26 | 102 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 33 | 0 |
14 | MIN | 19.1 | RB8 | 22 | 92 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 0 |
15 | LV | 14.0 | RB14 | 22 | 125 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 0 |
16 | NYG | 23.3 | RB8 | 22 | 94 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 0 |
17 | WAS | 23.3 | RB4 | 17 | 90 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 0 |
18 | CAR | 30.3 | RB2 | 28 | 170 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
Latest takes
“After being traded to New England, Brown should immediately command massive volume and reclaim high-end WR1 upside, with an ascending quarterback in Drake Maye .”
FantasyPros Staff· Aug 9“The other side of it is that the Eagles moved on from A.J. Brown this offseason”
Ellis Johnson· Aug 6“A.J. Brown (WR – NE): Up 2 spots to No. 14 – Tier 3 into Tier 2 A two-spot move that’s the most significant riser of the summer, because of where it happened. Brown crossed from Tier 3 into Tier 2, joining the elite handful of receivers the consensus treats as set-and-forget WR1s.”
FantasyPros Staff· Jul 24
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“There’s no doubting Brown’s talent; however, I do wonder if the way to replace a slot receiver (Diggs) that was the key piece of your offense is to add a physical outside receiver like Brown. There are also my concerns about his knee in the long term.”
Jonathan Lange· Jul 23“At 28, Brown is a big upgrade for a Patriots passing game that ranked fifth in the league, a huge improvement from the Eagles’ 27th-ranked unit.”
Brittney Foxworth· Jul 23“A.J. Brown was the round two pick, built on a significant situational upgrade. His new offense ranked ninth in neutral passing rate last year, compared to his old offense’s 15th-ranked mark, and that gap could widen further with continued quarterback development, a new star receiver alongside him, and a tougher schedule that should force more passing.”
FantasyPros Staff· Jul 20“Even in a “down” season, Brown topped 1,000 yards receiving on a run-first offense and scored seven touchdowns. In ESPN’s open score and PFF’s receiving grade — both metrics that seek to evaluate a wide receiver’s performance even if he’s not targeted on a passing play — Brown ranked No. 9 and No. 13 out of over a hundred wideouts.”
Logan Ulrich· Jul 19“Getting AJ Brown, who was the WR5 over the final seven games of 2025, cannot hurt Maye. All three Ballers think he is a receiver who could truly finish as the WR1 overall.”
Colt Williams· Jul 13“Brown gives Drake Maye the true alpha this offense needed. Now he climbed into Maye's draft pocket, and while he can still pay off pick 16, the price feels closer to stacking tax than pure value.”
Chris Cash· Jul 9“Andrew Erickson isn't worried about A.J. Brown's "down" season. He believes it created a buying opportunity. Despite modest touchdown totals last year, Brown still produced at a high level while commanding an elite target share. Erickson expects Josh McDaniels to feature Brown as the unquestioned focal point of New England's passing attack. If that happens, Brown could easily return to top-three fantasy wide receiver production.”
FantasyPros Staff· Jul 4“A.J. Brown and Dallas Goedert each missed just one game due to injury. Brown has since been traded.”
Josh Shepardson· Jul 1“Repeating a first-place ranking in both categories is unlikely, and it will be even more challenging if the offensive line can't take a step forward in protecting Maye, even with A.J. Brown added to the receiver room.”
Josh Shepardson· Jul 1“Since entering the league in 2019, Brown has consistently demonstrated an ability to rack up massive yards after the catch (YAC) numbers, but has never been a true volume-based receiver. If one were to remove his totals for the 2023 season (which was an outlier), Brown averaged fewer than 70 receptions per season.”
Evan Tarracciano· Jun 25“The analysts believe fantasy managers may be underestimating just how much upside exists in A.J. Brown's new situation. Derek Brown pointed to improvements in offensive philosophy and red-zone passing opportunities as reasons for optimism, and there was confidence that Brown remains one of the league's premier target earners.”
FantasyPros Staff· Jun 24“In a putrid Eagles' passing attack last season, Brown was ninth in target share, 13th in air yards and eighth in red-zone target share. Now he moves to a team with an ascending passing quarterback and an offense that targets its receivers downfield.”
Ryan Kirksey· Jun 18
“Last year’s PPR RB2 in fantasy points per game, and now free from Tyler Allgeier , Bijan Robinson feels primed to take a big step forward in 2026.”
Tom Strachan· Aug 9“Round 1 starts with a coin flip between Bijan Robinson and Jahmyr Gibbs at the top — Fitzmaurice gives a slight edge to Robinson’s bigger frame, but calls it close enough that he’d be comfortable with either in different leagues. Whichever one he lands, he’s generally committing to a Hero RB build and staying away from a second running back for several rounds.”
FantasyPros Staff· Aug 8“Bijan Robinson Love has yet to play an NFL snap; Bijan has 5,600+ career yards and 34 TDs”
The FF Newsletter· Aug 6
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“Bijan Robinson got a new deal recently now it's Taylor's turn”
FFToday· Aug 6“Another generic one that is pretty popular. I’ve named my fantasy team this a couple of times when drafting Bijan Robinson . As if you need another excuse to draft the Falcons superstar running back. He’s my 1.01 this year.”
Frank Ammirante· Aug 4“While getting QBs early in a SuperFlex draft is much more typical than in a 1QB system, Jason chose to get an RB in Bijan Robinson to start his draft.”
Kurt Mullen· Jul 29“The RB1 Debate The Bijan Robinson vs Jahmyr Gibbs debate has been discussed multiple times on recent shows, but the consensus is that both RBs are clearly above the rest of the field.”
Jordan Pullett· Jul 29“Top-12 Drafted RBs in 2025 RB 2025 ADP 2024 Finish 2025 Games Played Bijan Robinson RB1 RB3 17 Saquon Barkley RB2 RB13 16 Jahmyr Gibbs RB3 RB4 17 Christian McCaffrey RB4 RB1 17 Derrick Henry RB5 RB7 17 Ashton Jeanty RB6 RB12 17 Josh Jacobs RB7 RB15 15 De’Von Achane RB8 RB6 16 Jonathan Taylor RB9 RB2 17 Bucky Irving RB10 RB33 10 Chase Brown RB11 RB8 17 Kyren Williams RB12 RB9 17 2025 RB Health Last season, nine out of 12 top RBs drafted finished as an RB1, resulting in a mostly chalky season at the top for RBs.”
Jordan Pullett· Jul 29“Players such as Christian McCaffrey , Jahmyr Gibbs , Bijan Robinson and De’Von Achane all cleared 60 receptions last season. They produce in every phase of the game.”
Lawrence Iacona· Jul 27“As is the case with Jahmyr Gibbs, Bijan Robinson has an opportunity to highly benefit from more time on the field in 2026.”
Steve Krebs· Jul 23“The No. 1 overall player based on PlayerProfiler’s Lifetime Value Metric is Jahmyr Gibbs with a value of 392.9. In case you were wondering, Bijan Robinson is second with 373.30.”
Jonathan Lange· Jul 21“We know the offense is going to flow through Bijan Robinson, Drake London, and Kyle Pitts.”
Matthew Betz· Jul 19“Robinson is just as good as everyone thought he'd be coming out of Texas. The problem for the Falcons is exactly what everyone thought as well: they don't have the infrastructure to maximize Robinson's talents.”
Ethan Woodie· Jul 11“Robinson had a pitiful 49.3% red zone rushing share. With Allgeier and the previous coaching staff gone, Robinson should enjoy more usage near paydirt in 2026.”
FantasyPros Staff· Jul 9“Last year, Bijan Robinson was the RB2 in fantasy points per game. Robinson was incredibly efficient with his workload last season, which is a reflection of his insane talent. He finished top-three among running backs (minimum 100 carries, 20 targets) in receiving yards per game, target share, yards per route run, first downs per route run, missed tackles forced per attempt, and yards after contact per attempt.”
FantasyPros Staff· Jul 9